Last year I backed a few Joe Fanning front runners to success, and following a comment on the blog a few days ago I thought I would dig a bit deeper and see what else cropped up. If there are any Fanning front runners I back moving forward I will do my best to highlight them. As ever if you can check the blog regularly, any posts will be up here by 10am,(bit later at weekends) and if they are later they get emailed out.
2010 – ; Handicaps; 12/1 or under…
Stats that catch the eye…
(as usual with me, these stats all focus on HANDICAPS)
Joe Fanning – A master in small fields…
No surprise here but his record on fancied runners, 5/1 or under, in races with 5 or fewer runners is impressive, when compared to races with more runners. One would think that he dictates the pace in plenty of these races…
6/1 or over = 27 bets / 2 wins / 7 places / -10.5 / AE 0.64
Joe Fanning has the best win % of any flat jockey in those conditions above, and is also the most profitable to date. Another to keep an eye on is Adam Kirby…
26 bets / 12 wins / 15 places / +15 points / AE 1.41
Now obviously in races with more runners you expect them to be more competitive, and as such harder to win. But even so his stats do drop off considerably…
6-12 runners…(still 5/1 or under)
Trainer Track Combo
Joe Fanning / Mark Johnston / Hamilton / 5/1 or under
6/1 – 18/1 = 33 bets / 2 wins / 9 places / -13 points / AE 0.56
They have had 1 winner at 20/1 from 1 bet, and don’t have many bigger priced runners. They are generally hard to find when unfancied (6/1+) but that doesn’t stop you trying to unearth them.
NO qualifiers today from what i can see, although Fanning does ride at the track today.
Beverley / 10f-12.5f / 12/1 or under
10 runners or under: 13/35, 17 places, +32 points SP
11 runners+ : 1/12, 3 places, + 1 point
Ffos Las, 12/1 or under
He doesn’t go there very often, and hasn’t been there for a couple of years, but is definitely worth noting if he turns up there again in future.
This is just a quick look through. I could spend a lot longer digging no doubt. Nothing else has stood out in line with the categories above. If you have any angles of interest you would like me to look at (in handicaps) for Joe Fanning let me know.
That ‘June Trainer’ had 1 runner in a handicap yesterday at 12/1 or under, Mississippi, which won at 12/1 (-10p R4) backed into 15/2, 8.10 Ripon. I hope you were on. If we include his winner last Saturday (it was nearly June! – I didn’t back him) then he is now 2/2, +23 points or so.
I would be keen to back Mississippe again next time, although he has never been the most consistent. But, he had a troubled passage, was stopped in his run, and Lee still didnt need to pick up the whip. He did benefit from a strong pace, to the eye at least. Barkston Ash ran a cracker – i thought he may lead up the rail but he started slowly again, and ran on really well having been behind horses on the rail. He needs some riding but it was nice to see him return to form. If he can get away on terms, and get an easy/uncontested lead, he should be winning soon
Midgley has 1 qualifier again today…
4.30 Hamilton Orient Sky 10/1
He is unexposed and the trainer does ok at the track, Either way, it is June, so he should run ok! I will be having a small EW bet, with plenty left after yesterday’s win.
Epsom starts tomorrow and I will be going on Saturday for the first time. I suspect I will be backing something tomorrow and will let you know in due course.