A bet for Monday

I am writing this rather sore having catapulted myself down a few too many steep slopes on my first ever mornings skiing. Certainly it was rather  different from Milton Keynes snowdome!!

Anyway we are all knackered and while sat on the couch relaxing I have had a look at tomorrow’s racing. It is rather atrocious as you would expect for a monday and there is nothing from a pure pace perspective. However having had my best week in a while in the staying chase division with 14/1 8/1 and 14/1 winners I thought I would look at the staying chase at Plumpton.

2.30 Petit Ecuyer 1 point win 8/1 (bet365, WilliamHill)

This is a poor race and I like the two at the top of the market but I don’t like the prices. I think the Longsdon runner is the most likely winner but I think 8/1 is too big for the selection . These are poor animals,inconsistent and they don’t win very often. Maybe 1/2 a point would be more wise but we have had a good week (minus pace selections) so I will stick with the standard bet. Anyway, he has a decent track record, ground is fine and he is a small field bully who runs well when returning to the track within 7 days. For a poor animal he has a clear winning profile. The one niggle is the trip but with a pro jock on board and given how he ran at market raisen I think there is hope. Now this may be one race too many ,he could be tailed off but as I say I think 8/1 is a bit too big so he will do.

Good Luck

 

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