Cheltenham Festival Ante-Post Chat

Festival Ante-Post chat


This is the annual ‘ante post’ chat post for those of you who like musing over such things. I’m not really an ante-post player but I know a few of you are, and will no doubt have a few you fancy already for the Festival, bet’s struck, and horse’s you’re looking forward to. All such comments are welcome down below, just post away.

I look forward to reading, Josh


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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

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  1. A couple to kick things off:

    Arkle: Quilixios e/w 12/1 NRNB- With the Arkle picture being muddled at the weekend I feel something from left field will win it this year. I’m not convinced about anything from UK nor the Irish Arkle so I wanted something else on aside. Barring the favourite he is the only Festival winner in this which I think is always a plus. Looking at the last ten Triumph winners of the three which went to Cheltenham during their novice chasing campaign their record reads 112 (Tiger/Defi/Farclas). Obviously needs to find more but every chance he does given his back class. I thought he jumped really well last time and Henry who has won this twice compared him to Sizing Europe after his last run. The race always tends to cut up and you rarely even get 8. This is his only entry and also happens to be the only horse Henry has in this and same goes for Cheveley Park so you would expect him to run here. I’d be mildly surprised if he was a double figure price on the day. Not totally sure why he missed the race last weekend but if he doesn’t we get our money back in case there is an issue.

    Antepost Brown Advisory: Stay Away Fay e/w NRNB-9/2-5/1 Looks like a very solid bet here. Fact To File is surely going to end up in the Turners (twice as big on exchanges for Brown vs Turners) particularly as Willie seems to be keeping faith with Facile Vega for the Arkle. Grey Dawning is not a good enough jumper around Cheltenham. He made several sketchy jumps before his mistake when last here. Looking down the field I am struggling to see anything else being good enough to win, so I really think this is a match between Stay and Grangeclare West. I would personally have him slightly shorter given he is a Festival winner and has experience over fences around the track. His run LTO would have been just about good enough to win the race last year having posted an RPR of 162 which is better than any novice chaser this season bar Fact to File’s 164. He is ground versatile. Barring a fall I cannot see him out of the first 3.

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