Cheltenham Festival 2022: Your Fancies (+ preview notes)

Your Cheltenham thoughts & fancies

Hello… this is just a post for you to chat down in the comments about all things Cheltenham…

Who are you really keen on at this stage?

Are you sitting on any healthy looking Ante-Post bets? Do share!

Which race are you most looking forward to?

Is there a horse who’d you’d enjoy seeing hack up? (not necessarily punting wise)

Is there any trainer, or trainers, you think will dominate?

All thoughts, comments and questions welcome down below…

*

Festival Preview

Thanks to Paul E for providing the following notes on the recent preview evening he attended…

*

Skybet Cheltenham Preview – Tuesday 8th March 2022

Hosted by Ed Chamberlain and Oli Bell with inputs from people below. The thing about previews is loads of horses and opinions are said, and its difficult to keep track. I’ve split this into 3 main areas.

  1. My three main takeouts from the session
  2. Day by Day
  3. Key points from Willie Mullins interview in my opinion

Panel

Days 1 and 2 – Graeme Cunningham (GC), Dave Ord (DO), Michael Shinners (MS), Billy Timeform (BT)

Days 3 and 4 – GC, Ben Linfoot (BL), Dan Barber (DB), MS

Some insights from Daryl Jacob too (DJ). Daryl is back riding at Cheltenham hopefully on the Friday. His injury looked terrible. Daryl’s nap is Allaho, thinks Blue Lord is a nice horse in Arkle.

My three main takeouts from the session

1.Thursday – Pertemps Final – Sire du Berlais – MS went to Elliott yard last week who said “the race doesn’t look strong” and he has another horse as favourite. Sire record at Cheltenham Festival is first, first, second, 2 wins in this, DB said really good ew bet, BL said 7lbs claimer already booked for it

Honest Vic – Thursday Pertemps final. Around 20-1, really liked by Oli Bell and BL

2.Tuesday – Queens Brook, Mares Hurdle “DO reports thrived since last run and money for it”

3.Wednesday – Tiger Roll. Barely a mention all night. MS says “if soft, Delta Work is a good thing”

Day by Day

Day 1

RaceGCDOBillyMS
SupremeSir Gerhard Dysart Dynamo if SG doesn’t runJonbon, big field, fast paceThinks D Dynamo will run here, will take beatingJonbon, forgotten horse
ArkleClosely matched set of horses, Saint Sam plausibleNo opinionHaut En Coleurs potentially best in timeEdwardstone may drift on day
ChampionTommys Oscar in without fav marketHoneysuckle 10lbs lower than last yearHoneysuckle wont be beatHundreds of request a bets have Honeyscukle in
Other BestsRun Wild FredQueens BrookDysart Dynamo HMS Seahorse ew

Day 2

RaceGCDOBillyMS
BallymoreSir Gerhard or Dysart DynamoSir Gerhard throwback to Barton, Monsignor etcSir Gerhard runs he wins
Brown AdvisoryBravemansgame “tremendous attitude”BravemansgameBritish win here, Gaillard Du Mesnil ew possiblyEd C – unless a deluge, L’Homme Presse will run here
Queen MumAt price, EnergumeneShishkin will winShishkin takes all beatingChacun well supported
Other BestsGood Risk At All if gets in Drop The AnchorAndy Dufresne – Grand AnnualDrop The AnchorDelta Work on soft

Day 3

RaceGCBLDBMS
TurnersBob Olinger, more functionalLeans towards Bob OlingerNo bet race, soft spot for Galopin des Champs
RyanairAllahoHopes Shan Blue has a war with AllahoJanidil each-way at 12s, thinks it will cut upAllaho in many accas and request a bets
StayersThyme Hill is solid oneQuite likes Sporting JohnPaisley Park if you can get him to start
Other BestsImperial AlcazarHonest Vic and Impervious – mares novicesSire du Berlais, great ew betSire du Berlais

Day 4

RaceGCBLDBMS
Gold CupWatch weather closely. If soft prefers Galvin, if not soft/heavy A Plus TardLike to see Conflated run here with hood off, no strong viewsTactical affair, no strong pace, A plus Tard only had 4 staying chases.Personal – no mention of any UK horses
Other BestsFil DorTop Bandit Chemical Energy Hollow Games (Martin pipe) State Man is fav in 3 hcaps

Willie Mullins key points

He’s most looking forward to Facile Vega

Day 1 – I got the hunch Willie will run Sir Gerhard in the Supreme with Kilcruit. “have to see how we divide them”. Dysart they are teaching how to settle and he doesn’t have to make the running

Appreciate It “in great order, did a beautiful piece of work”, think they’re looking forward to a crack at Honeysuckle

Gaelic Warrior I sense will be his only Boodles runner

Stattler didn’t work well at The Curragh.

Day 2 –

Energumene “very tough to beat Shishkin/overturn form”

His eyes lit up at Facile Vega, he did mention about 5 other Bumper horses, Madmansgame he thought would relish the hill, never stopped at Navan

Day 3 –

Galopin Des Champs – “likes to get on with it, favouring Turners, but depends on talks with jockey”

Allaho “in good form, repeats last year, hard to beat”

Melon “worked very well, pulled away from his work companion”

Day 4 – Vauban “progessing all time”

Icare Allen “wouldn’t discount him from Triumph”

Al Boum Photo – “tough for him to win Gold Cup, jockey pleased with him”

Tornado Flyer – “Gold Cup will suit, extra 2 furlongs will suit him”

*

Thanks to Paul for those notes,

Josh

Facebook
Twitter
Pinterest
LinkedIn
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

16 Responses

  1. Hi,
    My good and bad ante post bets are detailed on my regular videos on my You Tube channel.

    My best at present is Honeysuckle at 7/4.

    My worst…a few non runners but that is ante post betting!

    I am going for my fourth consecutive year of profit in 2022.

    Good luck.

    Martin Colwell

    Good luck.

  2. I have a 25/1 ante post voucher for Galopin Des Champs for the 3 mile Novice Chase on the Wednesday and will consider it an act of cruelty to animals if Willie Mullins runs him over shorter again. My letter to the RSPCA has already been drafted 🙂

  3. Ante-post wise, a mixed bag really. Losers on Buzz, Blazing Khal, Gerri Colombe.

    Some half decent positions depending of course on if they go for their races, such as Sir Gerhard, Galopin Des Champs and Dysart thingy.

    Who are you really keen on at this stage?
    Galvin for the Gold Cup. Last time out winner, 3m 2f on the new course looks tailor made for him and progressive

    Are you sitting on any healthy looking Ante-Post bets? Do share!
    Like Ian, Galopin at 25s, Stattler at 8s, American Mike at 8s, Facile Vega at 10s, Galvin at 8s, Elimay at 17-2
    Plenty of rubbish also such as Buzz, Blazing Khal and Gerri Colombe

    Which race are you most looking forward to?
    The Supreme. Obviously it kicks off the meeting but we have some smart looking novices taking each other on. Let’s hope they all get there in one piece.

    Is there a horse who’d you’d enjoy seeing hack up? (not necessarily punting wise)
    Tiger Roll. I’m going Wednesday, want to try to get to the Cross Country fences, see them close up and a win for the old boy would be fantastic.

    Is there any trainer, or trainers, you think will dominate?
    Obviously the big 3 of Mullins, Elliot and De Bromhead. I could see Mullins getting 10 winners. I hope the British are competitive and for the North, be good if Ahoy Senor could run a big race.

  4. I will have a new you tube video out Thursday or Friday this week. I will post the link on this blog then.

    I will list all my good and bad ante post bets then.

    I am there on Tuesday and Wednesday this year.

    I do not really have a favourite race but dislike the Bumper and the Hunters chase.

    Good luck Martin

  5. Bob Olinger v Galopin Des Champs would really be a race to savour.
    My bets so far….
    Petite Tonnerre and Ill Etait Temps in the Boodles Juvenile Hurdle on the opening day.
    Minella Crooner in the Albert Bartlett.
    Good Risk At All in the Coral Cup
    Teddy Blue in the Triumph.
    Royal Kahala in the Stayers.
    Galliard Du Mensil EW in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase.Mal

  6. Hi Josh, can this be moved back up to the top every few days, thanks!
    Apart from one, I managed to hold off from ante post until NRNB – the early one is Telmesomethinggirl in the mares on Tuesday 14/1 e/w
    The handicapper has given the home team a chance, so I hope to see a closer contest this year – some early fancies are Saint Segal in the Boodles on Tuesday (I like the form with Porticello), a Twister double in Ultima and Coral Cup Fantastikas/Gowel Road, and a good day for the Skeltons on Friday, West Cork in County hurdle Langer Dan in Martin Pipe double + Protektorat e/w in the Gold Cup – excitement growing daily! JB

    1. Good to see NTD stable going well with a big chase win on Saturday and much improved 14 day win and place stats JB

  7. My latest Cheltenham preview video is now out and there is a link to it here: https://youtu.be/lbmXb-ENraw

    I go through my ante post bets and where they are at. This is the fourth year of me doing this and the past three have been profitable.

    And there is a mention for RTP as well.

    Good luck Martin

  8. I’ve just got a couple on at the moment.. Jesse Evans 25/1 in the County Hurdle… I’ve heard done good stuff about that horse. Also For Pleasure in the Grand Annual 33/1.
    I also did Whatdeawant in the AB and Ballymore on NRNB… not sure if it will run in either of those.

  9. Like everyone, I’m looking forward to the Champion Chase rematch between Shishkin and Energumene – with a week to go I’m prepared to take the risk of a non runner, have wagered at 4.3/1 Energumene on Betfair. I think the price differential is too big and will close, esp if Willie starts firing in some winners, and that he is the more natural 2 miler – it will be tactical for sure, and I think the course will help the speedier horse. I hope he can save energy early and use his speed coming off the bend. Shishkin will come late up the hill and may get there, but already looks more of a 3 miler to me. Willie says Chacun is the best, and he would be a worthy winner if bringing his A game to Cheltenham. Nube Negra goes best fresh, but this year’s race looks better, a very classy renewal, can’t wait! JB

  10. I’ve sent Josh my doc from the Skybet preview last night which has a lot of detail so I’m hoping Josh can put up a link for you to view the content. These below are my 3 x main takeouts. It was agreed that the Champion Chase is a cracker and should be talked about more as the race of the tournament:

    My three main takeouts from the session
    1. Thursday – Pertemps Final – Sire du Berlais – Michael Shinners (Skybet) went to Elliott yard last week who said “the race doesn’t look strong” and he has another horse as favourite. Sire’s record at Cheltenham Festival is first, first, second, 2 wins in this, Dan Barber (Timeform) said really good ew bet, Ben Linfoot (Sporting Life) said 7lbs claimer already booked for it (Rob James).

    Honest Vic – Thursday Pertemps final. Around 20-1, really liked by Oli Bell and Ben Linfoot.
    2. Tuesday – Queens Brook, Mares Hurdle “Dave Ord (Sporting Life) reports thrived since last run and money for it”
    3. Wednesday – Tiger Roll. Barely a mention of it all night. Michael Shinners says “if soft, Delta Work is a good thing”

  11. A bit to add to Paul’s notes…. I git done snippets from a preview they held in Ireland the other night.. David Casey and Jamie Codd were there….
    Arkle – they all said Riviere Detel.

    They had Gordon Elliott on the phone.. he said Zanahir has the best chance to beat Honeysuckle… rates him better than Teahupoo.

    I’ll add to this shortly

  12. Meeting snippets that got posted

    Hollow Games going to MartinPipe.. very bullish about it

    All tipped Jonbon for the supreme

    All tipped Rivière Detel for Arkle

    Mares Hurdle:
    Casey – Stormy Island
    Todd – Queens Brook (Very Confident)
    Russel – Queens Brook (Very Confident)
    Gary O’Brien – Queens Brook

    Ballymore
    Codd – Dysart Dynamo (if he goes) if not then Ginto

    Codd says don’t worry about Mullins.. American Mike is the man

    Mercurey not going to the bumper but the other Ricci horse is and is a unbelievable horse (33/1)

    Russell have Mullenbeg in the bumper to finish top 4

    Stayers hurdle
    Codd – Champ
    Russell – Champ
    Gary O’Brien – Champ

    Codd says he’s riding smoking gun in the Kim muir but frontal assault is a better horse.

    Charity bets
    Codd – American Mike
    Casey – billaway
    Ian armond – mighty potter
    Gary o brien – Icare Allen
    Russell – hollow games (Martin pipe, apparently they bogged him up big time)

    Al Blum photo wearing cheek pieces

  13. A rare appearance for me, but if (and we all know it’s a big big big if) this comes off it would have been a shame not to have shared it….

    DidTheyLeaveYouOutTo in the Pertemps ….. 40-1 Hills (as of yesterday, lower elsewhere, haven’t looked today but wouldn’t be surprised if that 40-1 has disappeared) 48s Betfair as of this morning .

    Been following DidThey for years, and it’s run some nice races over time.

    Listed bumper winner early on in career
    Won a Class2 Ascot handicap over a questionably inadequate 2 miles early on
    Ran well and not beaten far in another big Kempton 2.5 mile handicap

    Trainer Nick Gifford has readied horses for big runs in valuable handicaps before

    Owned by JP McManus. I believe not so interested these days in taking bookies to the cleaners, but still will likely pay heavy attention to any planning that will see the colours in the winners enclosure.

    But it’s this year where it really gets interesting………….

    Notice the gap between races leading up to the first this season, 90 odd days. Means they can bring it back from a few month’s layoff to run well in a big race.

    And note the race distances (first time in career stepping up to 3 miles )

    That first race was the 2.5 mile Silver Trophy at Chepstow. As we know, the first major Grade 3 handicap in the UK racing calendar. Our boy jumped the last 6 lengths down and got beat a length (go and watch it, an eye-opener)

    So they step him up to 3m in another high-quality race at Newbury. Gets beat by another of my old favourites Stoney Mountain. Running on well and closing at the finish with no obvious signs of running on empty. The important thing to note is that this race was a qualifier.

    So, one reading you could give it is this…..

    They wanted to test the 3m capability after the good run at 2.5 in the Silver Trophy….and at the same time (if DidThey got the 3m) it would be sensible to have proved it in a qualifier. ( and it’s possible this years Pertemps has really been a target for a number of years).

    The next run in a Grade 3 3 miler not so good…but very possible be this was intentional. The horse already was rated highly enough to get in to the field (with a good racing weight), it’s already qualified, they did not want to win another race and risk an increase in weight (I don’t know if winning that would have knocked him higher, just guessing but assume so). So, just gets a runaround at the necessary point, leading in to a 3-4 month break before Cheltenham. Comes to the race fresh and in a similar state to coming in the Silver Trophy and almost winning.

    Note the jockey for the first 2 runs. Nial Houlihan. Has a good enough record riding for McManus. And trainer Nick Gifford’s FB states Houlihan has been in the yard this week riding out. Plus mentions DidThey has been working well.

    All points to a carefully prepared plan to get the horse there on the day for what’s possibly the biggest day of his racing life. He’s in with 10-4, could well feel like he’s running on air.

    The problems?

    The ground. All the evidence (and early career comments) suggest good ground is best. The (smallish) amount of rain recently after a good dry spell has been bad news. More the worry is what might come (but doesn’t sound a lot) and what they have already (and might yet still, if they’re completely nuts) put down. ….you got to be joking me, have they really been watering!!!)

    At this point, it doesn’t look ideal. But enough days in between to dry out a bit, and there’s always the chance (if you go NRNB rather than the exchange) they pull him on the day and retarget.

    23 other runners, ofc. It might be the culmination of a 3-4 year plan for some of these. But I’d suggest DidThey has the beating (on a going day and right ground) of anything else from GB. The Irish runners, not sure.

    Our guy is 9. Arguably not an ideal age…but….actually hasn’t had a heavy career…and older horses do win the long-distance races sometimes.

    Yeah, DidThey stays 3 miles. But at the frenetic pace of a premium Cheltenham handicap? Who knows. But the signals from the early runs this season suggest there’s potential.

    *************

    Much of above also applies in similar ways to The Mighty Don in the Kim Muir. Beaten Enrilo before. Take a look at the Cheltenham race last April. I’d say he was still tanking till that mistake at the second last (ha, I was counting the money – fatal mistake but one we’ve probably all made before!!). Virtually stopped, but somehow regathered and was running again at the finish.

    But I think the ground is also a big deal, maybe bigger in this case. Highly likely needs to dry out or not be quite so soft as it appears to be now.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.