Royal Ascot: Day 5 (part 1 & 2)

stats quals, trends shortlist

ROYAL ASCOT REPORT: READ HERE >>>

DAY 5 >>>

Part 1

Qualifiers against the angles within the report above plus any trends shortlists etc

I have also detailed some ‘ratings pointers’, noting any that are top 3 on Horse Race Base Ratings (H1, H2, H3) and/or top 3 on Geegeez Speed Ratings (G1, G2, G3) These are simply there to add further context/info, to use in any way you please.

As always, don’t forget to ‘refresh’ the page to see any new content inc readers’ comments.

With any luck the below is a useful ‘way in’ or ‘starting point’ and helps you find a few winners, or help construct a placepot or the free ITV 7 game etc.

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Trainers

AOB

2.30 – Point Lonsdale H1

SMS (14/1< guide)

3.40 – Highest Ground

4.20 – Dream of Dreams H3

Gosden (any odds, 9/1< best)

2.30 – Reach For The Moon

3.40 – Logician

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Jockeys

Frankie (17/2<)

2.30 – Reach For The Moon

3.05 – Fundamental

3.40 – Logician

4.20 – Final Song

Jim Crowley

3.05 – Mutasaabeq (#1, #2)

3.40 – Hukum (#2) H2

4.20 – Happy Power (#1)

5.00 – Raeeb (#1)

5.35 – Alfaadhel (#2)

Trainer/Jockey Combos

3.05 – Mutasaabeq

3.40- Pablo Escobar

5.35 – Alfaadhel

6.10 – Stratum

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Big Race Trends

5pm – The Wokingham Stakes

stats and trends…

looking at a profile of those who’s maximum distance run was between 7 and 8f, had 1-10 runs in the class, 0-3 runs this calendar year and ran over 6f+ on last start… would point to 11/13 winners, 11/102 runners, 21p, +177 BFSP… and would point to seven horses if upholding… (most renewals won’t have been run on such soft ground, if the rain continues into Friday, which may make the stats more irrelevant, that’s if the meeting goes ahead…)

Ropey Guest, Snazzy Jazzy, Fleeting Prince, Above, Air Raid, Raaeb, Repartee

Trainers (to have won race/with runners)

  • Fresh
  • Mr Lupton
  • Gulliver
  • Hey Jonesy / Repartee

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Part 2

At last a winner yesterday for my notes a handful of placed efforts also. What better way to finish the week than by attacking The Wokingham…

Ropey Guest – (16s+) I’ve stuck to my trends list above in this as it looks its usual minefield and this one may outrun his odds at an EW price. He’s having just his 4th run in a handicap and while he does find winning hard, he does have some solid form to his name and he runs well here. He returns just 2 days after running in the Buckingham Palace Stakes where he was on the wrong side and the ground was probably too quick for him. He does seem best with plenty of juice and I found it interesting they’re running him again. He ran well in The Victoria Cup on his return and maybe a fast run 6f here, in soft, may be ideal, as he usually moves through his races well. He could be on the right side of the track also. Maybe he will cause a mild surprise in a race that was starting to give me a headache.

Raaeb – (50s+) , one at a big price and maybe he won’t be good enough but it’s only the 9th run of his life, Saeed’s in superb form, the horse gets a 1st visor and it’s the first time he’s run on ground like this – he may hate it, or relish it, who knows – plenty of his sire’s offspring relish the mud, so there’s hope. He’s on the other side of the draw and maybe in the headgear Jim will make his mind up and set sail for home up that far rail. You never know. He’s 50s after all and it may come to very little, but it’s not a race I have a strong opinion on, he’s on the trends shortlist and it’s a bit of fun.

Those two will do for me.

GL with any bets in the race and on the final day.

Josh

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