FREE DAILY POST: 13/02/17 (complete)

jumps angles today…

 

TIPS

none today.

 

MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES

Jumps Angles

Trainer/Jockey Combos- Live Test

2.40 Catt- Almost Gemini (#10) (any odds,9/1< best) 3rd

3.40 Catt – Beeno (#10) (any odds, 9/1< best) 2nd

4.10 Catt – I Just Know (12/1<) WON 13/8 

 

Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio– Live Test

4.30 Plump- Dragoon Guard- 2nd 13/2

 

***

that will be all for today. Good luck with any bets.

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

14 Responses

  1. Hi Josh / All

    Not much doing at Wolves tomorrow but a couple of races to note…..

    In the 2.50 3 trainers have excellent stats in class 5, 1M 1/2F, handicaps here

    Ed Walker – 5 runs, 4 wins, 4 places he runs Mikey Ready 7.0 a son of Frankel who has already tried this combination of C & D in a class 5 maiden beaten over 9L but having his 1st handicap run today,

    M W Easterby – 9 runs, 4 wins, 8 places he runs Knightsbridge Liam 23.0 a gelded son of Lilbourne Lad again had his 3 maiden runs and 1st time in a handicap.

    R Beckett – 2 runs, 2 wins, 2 places he runs Haraka 5.0 a daughter of Fastnet Rock having her 1st run on Tapeta and already a handicap winner over 1M at Southwell.

    A case can be made for all 3 but at the odds and the 8 out of 9 places Mr Easterby has in these such races a small EW play for me….

    Another race to note is the 4.50 at Wolves a 5F class 6 sprint Swendab 6.0 won well at Kempton the other day and comfortably tops the speed figs over the distance but only 3rd best in on this surface, Times in Anatefka 5.0 is the interesting one sent over from Ireland by Adrian Brendan Joyce who is 7,2,5 with all runners here having its first try on Tapeta but hasn’t won since nov 2014 but drawn well in 1, Pull the Pin was interesting at 41.0 until I realised his win over C & D was before they changed the track to Tapeta and his only try on Tapeta was a 12th out of 12th place finish here although if finding any of his old form is very well handicapped. Either way he will be pushing for the lead from 3 and if the Irish horse takes the lead will be dangerous but I’m going to stick with Swendab with the doubts over surface and form for the other two…………….

    Good luck with any selections
    Cheers
    Steve

    1. Hi Steve, I have Swendab so far in front on ratings, but has only won once on this surface. However he has placed 8 times…strange.
      Draw is ok….. At 5/1 it’s worth a go….

      BOL.

      Tony Mc.

    2. K L Could have gone in Steve….I thought it was going to do it…went up to 40/1 in running. Maybe that’s the way forward….any thoughts.
      Good EW job though…Cheers mate.

      1. Hi Tony

        Not long in just seen a re-run of the race he was good odds on Betfair exchange 69.65 Betfair SP and 8.73 in the place market, I just split £10.00 £3 on the win at BFSP and £7.00 in the place market BFSP so I was happy to see those odds, Yes the winner got first run and he had to sit and wait for the gap to open still looked as though he might take it but overall happy with the place…..Swendab’s speed figs are very good and hopefully that will be good enough to take this race although polytrack looks to be his favoured surface but still 3rd in on this surface so hopeful……Just done a job at Newcastle racecourse looks like they have a really good setup and the tapeta is bedding in well by all accounts

        Cheers
        Steve

        1. Well Swendab’s race was over at the stalls reared and compromised his position and also failed to quicken when he got the inside run probably just not as good on Tapeta and this may blunt his natural speed, As for Times in Anatefka could be called the winner after 1/2F got the perfect tow from Give us a Belle (surprisingly not pull the pin) and slingshot passed that one on the run in, Just fell on the wrong one there…

    1. From your man Cobden’s blog on geegeez –

      “On Monday, I’m down to ride Dragoon Guard for one of the geegeez.co.uk syndicates. He’s been a hard horse to win with, but I understand he’s had a wind operation since his last run. He shouldn’t mind any ease in the ground – he has a quite pronounced knee action – so if his wind is reasonably sound he’ll hopefully be in the mix.”

      https://www.geegeez.co.uk/harry-cobdens-blog-10th-februry-2017/

    2. I’m off to Plumpton to see my half a leg in Dragoon Guard. Let’s say I travel more in hope than expectation. He’s not very big and 12st 1lb seems a lot. Also he has not really convinced as having much pace yet, never mind the various ailments. No doubt Anthony will have him in fine form and with Harry up should have a chance of a place, it doesn’t look a strong race but those 4yo’s have a good weight advantage. I have not yet had more than £20 on him and see no reason to have more than another sentimental interest today.

  2. Sorry to bother you again josh. I have paid for members club via PayPal. But I still cannot log in. Can you please help?.

    1. Hi Trev. Never need apologise for bothering me. Have you been able to get in before recently? Maybe somethig up with my settings or an issue of a delay in payment. I am on a train at the moment but will have a look asap when back in my flat. Josh

  3. Leading on from yesterday and front runners noted there was 3 x 3 mile + handicap chases today on soft (haven’t seen the first two, going off comments in results section) the first 2.30 Plumpton where the winner Minella on Line took up the running after the 3rd fence and won comfortably, The second was the 3.10 Catterick where Powerful Symbol led from the get go was still going well and 3 lengths clear when unseating and in the last 4.10 Catterick I Just Know made all the running….On early analysis it seems that having a leader going a pace they enjoy after 3/4 mile or say 3 fences on soft going or worse in these handicap chases is a good place to be…Whether an “In Running” bet at this stage is worth considering really depends on the odds available and the frequency of these front runners winning but I’ll keep monitoring these races and see if this angle is worth playing.

    Cheers
    Steve

    1. Yep, thankfully with the geegeez pace maps (and do ATR have pace maps now??) you can get a feel for who will be up there- you need to make sure you are on a good jumper and other conditions fine- but certainly that must be the best bet in racing I think, well over jumps- a solid jumper, lone front runner, likely/proven to stay/handle ground, and is either progressive, or battle hardened/able to win in conditions.
      Weight and handicap mark not very important if you get both those things- as we have seen with both Perfect Candidate and Barton Gift in recent days, both winning from career high marks, aged 10+ . Ability to travel and jump, lead etc can trump most other considerations. I should start using ‘pace’ as a starting point,before moving onto form,which is something I need to consider more than their ‘profile’ say, I think. Perfect Candidate had best form by some way in that race, and to a point Barton Gift arguably did too, and a proven stayer. Always plenty to ponder.

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