FREE DAILY POST: 08/01/17 (complete/tip)

Whooshhh… well that was a fun day for ‘team Racing To Profit’ – the free post had good micro system winners at 2/1 and 14/1 (16/1 with the generous folk at B365) and, to be honest – mainly as they needed a good winner, the Members Post had a great day… a facile 20/1 winner helping ‘ratings pointers’ followers to around +19 points profit on the day. That adds to Landmarque at 14s earlier in the week and hopefully all those who took the plunge and took the Xmas Trial Offer, now have more confidence in that approach. Had a lull after launch, typically.  Evidence suggests it works, rather well… (well, 77 points or so in around 27  race days of ratings pointers would suggest that, my £770 (ish) for £10 per ‘ttp’ point isn’t to be sniffed at)

(you should take a 14 day free trial HERE>>>, it really is a lot of fun 🙂 )

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You good readers seemed to have a fun time as well. Scanning the comments I can see winners posted at 50/1 (well,3rd,but still), 12/1 and 28/1 (Pete The Feat, Joe thought that price was big, and how right he was) and 4/1 at Wolvs. (appears Nick just picked out a 14/1 winner also at Wolvs? Well, what a day all round…) Well done all.

I think that must be the most profitable day ‘team Racing To Profit’ has ever had, winners flying in all over the place

They all had one thing in common- they didn’t carry any of my money. That will teach me. Still, I won’t complain.

The icing on the cake would have been Pete The Feat who I dismissed a bit too readily (didn’t mention him, poor form that) and was clearly the ‘biggie’ that deserved more attention- ‘clearly’, in the sense that he won! Someone who I follow on twitter who is a fine value judge fancied him and I did ask why, he said the main positives being… ‘very genuine,prominent racer which around here best,decent mark,low racing weight,has a will to win’

And of course, he was 28s. Why was I cold on him. Well he was rock bottom of the HRB ratings, and that had some influence, as did the trainer being a tad ‘cold’ (was 1/35 last 30 days,0/18 last 14,albeit place numbers ok) And I thought, at 13, ‘younger’ legs may prevail!! Relatively speaking. Recent form, given this was a ‘target’ race for all of them, probably didn’t count for much. He ran OK the last day. Clearly more emphasis on his light weight needed and having looked after the race he was 0/3,3p in handicap with these low weights on his back. (slaps wrist) He is a small horse also, and clearly appreciated it. I wasn’t that close to landing on him, which always means there is more room for improvement.

My selections- well- those of you who thought this may happen too quickly for Rocky Creek (nick and others) were spot on I think. Maybe he sulked, maybe he just wasn’t quick enough to hold what was a great early position.

Theatrical Star- ran a cracker in 2nd, and for most of the final 3rd of the race I thought was going to win. Sadly, Pete didn’t stop. But, i had something to cheer all the way to the line, which helps. I partly wish young Brendan had jumped off just behind the leaders, rather than half way, as he will have used plenty of energy to close that gap. If he had been 7l further forward say, all the way round, who knows. Anyway, he wasn’t, we move on…

Hopefully you had a great day!

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Sunday…

TIPS

2.10 Fontwell

So Fine – 1 point win – 6/1 (general)  UP

Ah, no real run. Damn. Maybe something more is up but I wont be backing him over fences again, 2 goes enough. Was happy to take the fav on, wasn’t 100% sure as to his stamina,esp in that ground, at that price, but he has ground that out well. So Fine couldn’t lead but isn’t a necessity. No excuses for me there. Moving on.

I will keep this ‘brief’ as it is a Saturday evening. I need to get some food (none in, rubbish planning for a weekend) and I am off out for the evening. Nothing special- beer and bars I suspect!

So Fine.. well I tipped him LTO I think and I am going to have one more go here. He lost his action the last day, jumping markedly out to his left, just before he was PU. The fact he comes out so quickly suggests there was nothing wrong with him- just one of those. His back end went, Dicky felt it, a sharp PU. Fingers crossed going ‘left handed’ here (figure of 8) will help with that, and he has won over hurdles here. Conditions look fine and I think he may handle soft better than this lot- well he is the only one proven in it I think. I also found it interesting that Dicky comes here and not Chepstow, where Hobbs has a few runners. Maybe he is here for something else (may be worth looking at all his rides, I haven’t as yet) or he is here for him. He will race up there on the pace.

I also don’t think he is up against much and every horse in here has some sort of question now. If he puts it all together- and he travelled and jumped well the last day, until his incident, I think he out-runs these odds. He is also a ‘ratings pointer’ qualifier for TTP (trainer jockey combo stats here in handicaps, + top 3 geegeez speed ratings)

He will do. I thought 6s was generous, and pleasantly surprised when I saw that. Worth 1 point to find out I think. He won’t be the first Hobbs horse to be PU, only to return a few weeks later and win (Sausalito Sunrise always sticks in my mind for that)

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MICRO SYSTEMs/ANGLES

Jumps Angles

Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio – LIVE TEST

Hurdle

4.00 Chep – Major Hindrance

(trainer 5/10,6p with handicap hurdle debutants last 2 years – Greyed A and Horseguardsparade may be worth a look as well…hint…ratings pointers..)

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Right, that will do for Sunday.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend,

Josh