3.55 Market Rasen – NONE
I have decided to leave it and if you can be bothered to read my fence sitting anguish, here it is….
Florida Calling looks the most interesting just because he is young, unexposed, and still in the ‘could be anything’ category. George can ready them after a break and he could also be the pace angle- he did jump a bit left the last day at Perth and having watched video he didn’t look most straightforward when coming under pressure. He is ‘only’ 7/2 here- given his inexperience, unsure as to depth of form LTO, and the fitness Q, that seems short enough for me. He may lead them all a merry dance but I will leave.
By The Boardwalk- (WON 6/1, cosily, boll**ks) is around the 9/2 mark – I am on the fence a bit with both in fairness at the prices and in that situation, when dealing with single odds etc, and in form I am in probably best to leave. IF a lack of fitness was the reason for his poor run LTO then he may put this lot to the sword given he could come on for it a bundle. That was just a bit too poor for me though I think given his record fresh. Torn. It was an ok race, stronger than this one I think. (Baileys Gallery Exhibition ran cracker after long break at Fakenham today so maybe they will hit form soon. Bailey has found no illness issues with yard for recent form, according to his blog) 9/2 isn’t quite big enough for me to go ‘sod it’ I don’t think- whereas he was 10s the last day. But then, at times last jumps season plenty of losing tips would win on one of their next three starts. His form in this rest pattern doesn’t inspire much confidence either- 0/11,1 p 8-60 days rest. 0/7,0 places chasing 8-30 days.
The Ellison horse is interesting in the sense that he is unexposed/untried to an extent over this distance. And some of the others wouldn’t be without a squeak.
Hopefully they run good races but I will sit it out and hopefully have got it right. I wouldn’t back both either I don’t think and not quite sure which one I would plump for if pushed, maybe By The Boardwalk.
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
None. I will leave this for Sat. Had a flick through Ascot card but I would be writing content for the sake of it. There are a few below and in members post to flick through also.
1.05 MR- One Forty Seven DNQ UP(NO ticks against my notes, does qualify on separate non-hncp hurdle micro for NTD)
1.35 MR – Southport DNQ WON 16/1 (NO ticks as above, albeit also as above qualifies on another micro for NTD– WON 16/1)
1.50 Ffos L – Bendomingo 2nd 14s>6s (ticks 1 run 90 days and 21-60 days rest, and extreme weight trend)
5.20 Ffos L- Woodfort WON 2/1 (after R4) (ticks 1 run in 90 days positive)
Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio
Note: these are new and untested live and while they look good on paper some caution advised
3.50 Strat – Diamond Rock (unexp hurdlers) WON 10/1>8/1
4.20 Strat – Jack Snipe NR (unexp chasers..just ran at Wincanton over hurdles as I write I think)
4.45 Ffos Las – Storming Strumpet NR