You can find a new blog post below. If you are planning on reading/following anything on this blog next week I would say it is a must read – well some of it is a must read. I discuss my approach, my ‘points’ budget, what races I will be betting in, my step by step checklist for race analysis plus a few other bits and pieces. You should be left in no doubt what will be going on here next week, and what wont be!
Make a cup of tea and enjoy….
NEW BLOG POST: CHELTENHAM 2016: WHAT YOU CAN EXPECT>>>
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Well it really is the quiet before the ‘storm’ with nothing tipping/system wise to get stuck into tomorrow. I have posted up some trends/stats for The Imperial Cup that you can find using the ‘blog’ tab above.
Tomorrow morning I will post up a Cheltenham related post, the first two thirds of which is a must read for anyone who is going to follow my tips.
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TIPS
None, again. Discipline has served up well this season so I wont go chasing bets in races I don’t wish to play in. More time to ponder next week!
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MICRO SYSTEMS
All micro system research can be viewed HERE>>
No potential qualifiers.
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STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
That crack team of Swinbank/Moloney (discussed in this week’s weekly diary) have two running at Carlisle, where they are 7/19, 11 places in recent years.
-2.35 Ten Trees goes at 25/1 – it is a novice hurdle and their record in those could be better – she hasnt shown much and the market suggests this race is between two – I dont think I will playing.
-3.40 – Fly Home Harry is of more interest in this novice handicap chase, around 5/1 – ‘shorter’ prices and market support usually a good sign for this yard and this team. I have yet to look at the horse or race in depth, will leave that to you!
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That is all for today.
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2 Responses
Hi Josh,
just managed to fit in the Cheltenham guide you have produced and it is excellent. I will read it again and have made abbreviated notes to take with me to the festival and to test the pundits at the London Racing Club preview evening on Thursday (tomorrow). I will ask them the question if they go against the stats that are clearly stated in your piece. Thanks again.
Good stuff Martin, glad you like it. I am sure most of them are not stats types and will palm you off with something! 🙂 Just remind them that I believe Willie Mullins is a big user of big race trends/stats and he works backwards with them, to help campaign his horses – if its good enough for him! (that was in some ATR interview i think, a while back – interesting that Patrick on that racingpost podcast was throwing the odds decent stat around – so think my memory is correct)