As always I like to keep on top of the ‘officially advised’ results for the blog. As you know I back everything I ‘officially advise’ (indicated by a staking amount) to £20 per point and I obviously want the blog to be profitable! I started ‘advising’ on the blog last November, picking the winner of the Hennessy Gold Cup. These results do not cover the Tip of The Day Trial.
Since then it has been up and down with a few areas to improve on. My performance at the main festivals (Cheltenham/Aintree/Royal Ascot) has been abject at best this year. Although the Cheltenham posts had many winners, and I personally came out in profit, the official bets did not. Aintree was a shocker and even though I had a more limited approach to Royal Ascot it was still a 9 point loss. Clearly I need to get better during those weeks, although it is meant to be tough given it is the best racing of the year!
Also, despite telling myself to have at least 1 point on all big race preview bets (esp the big field races), I haven’t. I/we have backed winners Oscar Time (33/1), Wayward Prince (33/1) and Rene Mathis (25/1) in that time. However I have only had 1/2 a point on the win side of the bet. With a bit more confidence there is another 40 points sitting there. Even 1/2 point EW + 1/2 point win would be better. Something for me to think about. It is hard picking winners at those prices and in those race types so you want to get properly paid on them.
Given how competitive a lot of the races are and the prices I am playing at there will be long losing runs but so far, 9 months in, it is going ok and the profit levels are decent enough.
Headline Results…
Running Total:
Since beginning (Nov 2014):
126 bets / 15 wins / +62.25 points to advised stakes/odds (BOG)
Excluding Cheltenham/Aintree/Royal Ascot =
63 bets / 12 wins / +90.5 points
Post Aintree: 30 bets / 4 wins / 3 places (that have profited from) / +43.75 points
All bets detailed below…
Many Clouds – WON 9/1 + 4.5 points
Rocky Creek – UP -1 point
Burton Port – UP -1 point
Oscar Time – 33/1 WON + 20.5 points
Alfie Spinner – 25/1 4th + 2.6 points
Hadrians Approach UP – 1 point
Bold Sir Brian UP -1 point
Kilcooley 11/2 WON +8.25 points
Hey Big Spender 14/1 UP -1 point
Kings Apollo UP – 1 point
Cape Tribulation 9/1 2nd – 2 points
Presented UP -2 points
Silviniaco Conti 3/1 WON + 6 points
Withy Mills – UP – 1point
Kudu Shine – F – 1 point
Cantlow – UP – 1 point
Hawkes Point – 1 point
One In Milan F -1 point
Mountainous PU – 1/2 point
Scotswell 8/1 WON + 8 point
Settledoutofcourt UP – 1 point
Caruuthers UP – 1 point
Hawkes Point WON 14/1 + 14 point
Petit Ecuyer UP – 1 point
Corrin Wood PU – 1 point
Green Flag PU – 1 point
Whispering Harry 3/1 WON +3 point
Club House (P) – 1 point
Chavoy 4/1 2nd – 1 point
Sadler’sFlaure UP 12/1 -1point
The Job Is Right UR 12/1 -1point (decent 2nd when UR last)
Grandads Horse UP -1 point
Night In Milan 3rd – 1 point
Umberto Dolivate 3rd – 1 point
Kingscombe (P) UP – 1 point
Rigadin De Beauchene – 1 point
Shotgun Paddy -2 points
Portrait King -1 point
Theatre Queen -1 point
Samingarry -1 point
CHELTENHAM -4.25 points
Goonyella WON + 9 points
No Secrets -1 point
AINTREE -15 points
Allez Vic -1 point
Caid Du Berlais -0.5 points
Harry The Viking -2 points
Wayward Prince WON 33/1 +20.625 points
Grand Jesture -1.5 points
Algernon Pazham -1 point
Vics Canvas -0.5 point
Bright New Dawn -1 point
Best Boy Barney -1.25 point
Gallery Exhibition -0.75 point
Lincoln – 2nd 40/1
Emell – 5th 22/1 +13.5 points (inc Lincoln)
KickBoxer -1 point
Balmont Mast -1 point
Astaire -2 points
Zanetto -1 point
Secretinthepark -1 point
Willbeme 2nd 14/1 +2.5 points
Fire Fighting -0.5 points
Sennockian Star -0.5 points
Desert Law WON 16/1 + 20 points
Bronze Beau – 2 points
Munfallet 9/2 WON +4.5 points
High Ron -1 point
ROYAL ASCOT -9 points (poor week)
Shore Step – 2 points
Rene Mathis 25/1 WON + 15.625 points
Lulu The Zulu -0.5 points
Jallota -0.5 points
Supplicant -1.5 points
***
3 Responses
Excellent results ….well done
Hi Josh – Well done with Mon Brav yesterday, what a great finish and the jockey sure earned his money. Excellent results detailed above – its all about profitability over a period and you have demonstrated that. I’ve just got to make sure I never miss one of your big price winners !!
Great Stuff
Cheers Bob…I am certainly more a profit over winners punter. Pleased that outside of Festivals it is a 20% or so win SR, if I could nudge that nearer to 25% that would be nice but at odds I play at on blog 20% more than enough for decent profits over the long term. Yep those big priced winners really make difference and they are hard to come by, but they do, in time.