Royal Ascot: Day 3

The Royal Hunt Cup was a disaster and I am still picking the egg off my face. I still can’t believe that serial hold up/mid div performers Serius Prospect and Bronze Angel were setting a pace that the near side couldn’t match. There were no form/profile shocks in the top 5 (if ignoring race set up) so that is something but it is frustrating when the race is over 3f from home! I was really confident a couple would at least go close so that is disappointing. Anyway, that happens and if I looked at the race again I am not sure if I would have come up with a different conclusion. I still can’t believe how far the near side finished behind with runners strung out – indeed I think all 3 of mine are still running.

5.00 Ascot

Mutarakez 10/1 1/2 point win

Sahaafy 10/1 1/2 point win

Another open handicap and it is for 3 year olds only – not the type of race I would usually look at but I wanted some action on Day 3 and it is the only race I am tempted to dive into. I have gone 1/2 point stakes because there are so many unknowns with horses open to any amount of improvement.

A top 5 finish last time out seems imperative (17/18) and indeed 15/18 were top 3. 13/18 had only 1 or 2 starts this season. That is not a decisive stat but interesting. Those dropping in class are 0/54.

There is not too much more I can add really. That leaves a long shortlist (ignoring 2 starts this season stat). The two selections were impressive winners last time out, are clearly open to any amount of improvement and have proven stamina. I expect they will run their race and I would like to think both will go close. Hanagan has made the wrong call with his owners horses before so maybe Dane O’Neill will benefit here! A 1-2 would be nice!

In anticipation of more egg on my face, the pace really does appear to be high here, with plenty of it! However there are the odd front runners drawn low so it may not be too bad. It looks like there are more pace pushers high that will sustain a pace for longer, we shall see. Of course with 3yo’s the race could be over in the preliminaries.

Anyway, in what looks a very open race I thought these two at 10s were worth a small play. Yorskshire Dales is an interesting outsider and it will be interesting to see how he gets on.


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