‘The’ big handicap hurdle in focus this week, in what could be very tough conditions
3.20 Newbury: William Hill Hurdle (formerly, ‘The Betfair Hurdle’)
16/313 runners, 61 places
– 16/16 aged 5, 6 or 7
- 14/16 Aged 5-6, 7YO (2/73,12p, inc 2 of last 4), 8+ (0/50,8p)
16/16 carried 10-6 to 11-8 (exc jockey claims) (did not: 0/85,10p)
- 10-11 – 11st, 0/66,9p (could be a random/illogical stat)
16/16 NOT Top or Bottom weights (inc joints) (were: 0/56, 3p)
15/16 had 0-1 wins over the distance (2+ : 1/47, 7p)
14/16 had 6 or fewer career runs over hurdles (7+: 2/160, 19p)
14/16 Top 3 on last start (4th or lower: 2/144, 17p)
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Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Un Sens A La Vie
- Tutti Quanti
- Wreckless Eric, Wellington Arch
- Poet Laureate
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Applying the trends…
Aged 5-7, carrying 10-6-11-8 (and as such not also Top or Bottom weights), would have found 16/16 and IF upholding would have us looking at a longer list of eight, cutting the field in half…
Let It Rain, Un Sens A La Vie, All In You, Lanesborough, Hot Fuss, The Hardest Geezer, Wellington Arch and Wreckless Eric
Of those with 0-1 wins over the distance (15/16, inc last nine winners) would just remove Wreckless Eric, leaving 7 if upholding.
14/16 had 6< hurdle runs and applied to the seven above, would further point to just three…
Let It Rain, Un Sens A La vie, All in You
A top three finish LTO has been a big plus, and if applied to the longer list of seven, would point to four…
Let It Rain, Un Sens A La vie, All in You, Hot Fuss
Let It Rain and The Hardest Geezer fall in that 10-11>11st weight carrying bracket (0/66,9p), but as above, that could be a random stat with little logic, placed horses solid, but still a stat of sorts for those two to overcome.
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