Just the one big field handicap in focus this Saturday, from Ascot…
3.35 Ascot – The Challenge Cup
15/282, 57p
15/15 OR was at least 1lb higher than last win (was not: 0/42, 3p)
15/15 had 2-6 career wins (did not: 0/53, 11p)
15/15 had 0-3 wins over the distance (4+ : 0/39, 4p)
15/15 had 1+ handicap wins (0: 0/33,8p)
15/15 Top 8 on last start (9th> : 0/63, 5p)
15/15 ran in C1 or C2 last start (did not: 0/28, 3p)
14/15 OR 96 or higher (95<: 1/52, 9p)
14/15 had 2-10 runs over the distance in career (did not: 1/98, 15p)
Other
- Top Rated horse: 0/16, 1p
- Did NOT run at Ascot or Doncaster LTO (did: 0/71, 14p)
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Applying the trends…
The 15/15 stats/profile (15/116, 36p, +100 BFSP), IF upholding, would cut the field in half and leave us with x9 to focus on…
Qirat, Fresh, Volterra, Carrytheone, Akkadian Thunder, Rebel Territory, Popmaster, Divine Libra, Brewing
IF the ‘LTO Track’ stat holds, with Ascot and Donny with poor records, it would leave just four from that list…
Qirat, Volterra, Carrytheone, Divine Libra
Going back to the original list of nine, and applying the two 14/15 stats, IF upholding, would point to… four, two of which hit the ‘track stat’ above also…
Qirat, Rebel Territory, Divine Libra, Brewing
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Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
No trainer has won this more than once as yet in prev 15 renewals, we’ll see if that changes this year…
- Volterra
- Germanic, Brewing
- Carrytheone,
- Rhoscolyn, Bopedro, Arkadian Thunder, Mirsky,
- Golden Mind
- Star of Orion, Streets of Gold
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