Saturday 24th August
3.35 York – Ebor Handicap
16/314, 63p
16/16 carried 8-13-9-9 (exc claims, did not: 0/71, 11p)
16/16 top 3 at least once last three starts (were not: 0/52,4p)
16/16 placed at least once last three starts (did not: 0/60, 4p)
16/16 had 0-4 flat turf wins (5+ : 0/50,8p)
16/16 0-2 wins under todays jockey (4+ : 0/45, 8p)
15/16 NOT drawn stall 1-5 (were: 1/69, 11p)
15/16 had 0-1 course runs prev (2+ : 1/93, 13p)
12/16 aged 5 or 6 (were not: 4/167, 34p, does inc 2 of last 3)
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Applying the trends…
Not the best of trends races but a strict application of 16/16 trends would leave a very long list of x13…
Epic Poet, Hipop De Loire, Magical Zoe, Fairbanks, Naqeeb, Burdett Road, My Mate Mozzie, Onesmoothoperator, Chillingham, Crystal Delight, Sea King, Iron Lion, Kihavah
Applying the 15/16 stats, IF upholding (a low drawn horse has won) would point to five…
Fairbanks, Naqeeb, My Mate Mozzie, Chillingham, Sea King, Iron Lion
Age 5-6 has been a sweet spot but other ages have won, but applied to the long list above would point to six…
Epic Poet, Magical Zoe, Onesmoothoperator, Chillingham, Crystal Delight, Sea King
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Hipop De Loire
- Onesmoothoperator
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Friday 23rd Aug
5.20 York
11/167, 38p
11/11 had 3-5 runs this season (did not: 0/54, 4p)
11/11 ran 16+ days ago (0-15: 0/35,2p)
10/11 had 5-8 runs in prev 365 days (did not: 1/63, 7p)
10/11 rated 93< on last start (94+ : 1/53, 11p)
9/11 drawn stall 2-8 (Dosman, Mount Teide, Golden Mind, Tokenomics, Volterra, Zain Blue, Usuario Amigo)
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Applying the trends…
The two 11/11 stats , IF upholding, would point to a longer list of nine… a couple of those represent previous winning yards which may be of some use also…
Midnight Gun, Native Warrior, Crown Estate, Treasure Time, Ususario Amigo, Volterra, Madame De Sevigne, Apiarist, Indian Run
The 10/11 stats don’t help too much, ‘removing’ just Indian Run.
Gong back to the original long list… of those drawn 2-8… Volterra and Usuario Amigo
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Mount Teide
- Paborus
- Crown Estate
- Treasure Time
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END
One Response
Hello josh
Another xl ant preview of first race at York . I feel listening to you that your true first choice was the second.
Keep on track your dedication to horses and formulas will bring large earnings
The games afoot. Sherlock
Will todd