*
2.40 York – Skybet Dash
16/269, 56p
16/16 no more than 13lb below top rated (14lb+ : 0/60, 9p)
16/16 carried 8-10 or more (8-9< : 0/46,6p)
16/16 no more than seven runs at York (8+ : 0/36,2p)
15/16 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 1/154, 21p)
10/16 ran at Hamilton, Newcastle or Ascot LTO
*
Trends shortlist…
Historically the market has been a strong guide in this, only one ‘outsider’ (14/1+ SP) winning this in last 16 renewals… ignoring the odds… the 16/16 stats, if upholding, would cut the field in half to seven…
Silkie Wilkie, Bergerac, Radio Goo Goo, Ferrous, Badari, Rage of Bamby, Brazen Bolt
Hamilton/Newc/Ascot LTO have been a good source of winners in this, but only a 10/16 stat of course, but if that held up, it would point to four of the above, but it may be best just focussing on those, with an eye on the market… (for all a biggie will win again one day of course)
Silky Wilkie, Bergerac, Ferrous, Badri
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Trefor
- Silkie Wilkie/ Korker
- Manila Scouse
- Dare To Hope / Rock Opera / International Girl
***
3.00 Ascot – International Stakes
16/381, 64p
16/16 aged 4-7 (not, 0/61,8p)
16/16 NOT youngest or oldest horse in race (0/72,11p)
16/16 had run at the track previously (Ascot debut: 0/70,7p)
16/16 ran in race for 3YO+ LTO (3YO/4YO+ : 0/71, 8p)
15/16 ran in Class 2 LTO (did not: 1/103, 17p)
15/16 had ran over 1m+ in career at least once (had not: 1/77, 13p)
14/16 aged 4-5
14/16 OR 95-106 (were not: 2/164, 21p)
14/16 ran at Ascot Newmarket (July) or Haydock last start
*
Trends Shortlist…
IF upholding, the 16/16 stats would point to a shortlist of six…
Carrytheone, Orazio, Fresh, Northern Express, Fivethousandtoone, Ropey Guest
Of those that ran in a C2 LTO and had run over 1m+ in career previously, would point to three…
Carrytheone, Northern Express, Ropey Guest
Ignoring the ‘in between’ age pointer, which is ‘one of those’ trends which may go one year, would have found 14/16 and would point to five…
Carrytheone, Northern Express, Ropey Guest, Dancing Magic, Metal Merchant
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Fresh
- Hickory
*
END.