3.10 – York – John Smiths Cup
16/303, 64p
16/16 had 0-5 runs this calendar year
15/16 sent off 22/1 or shorter SP
15/16 had never run beyond 1m5f in career
15/16 had 3-9 runs in prev 365 days
15/16 had 0-1 runs under today’s jockey
15/16 had placed at least once last three starts
15/16 had won at least once last six starts
Trainers
- W Haggas: 3/17, 4p
- A Balding: 2/12,5p
- x1: A Murphy, O Burrows, B Millman, P Chapple-Hyam, R Varian, M Bell, Sir Michael Stoute, TD Barron, R Fahey, J Goldie
Shortlist…
a profile of having run no further than 1m5f in career, 3-9 runs in prev 365 days, 0-1 run under today’s jockey, and 0-5 runs this calendar year, would have found 13/16 winners (inc the last 5) and IF upholding would point to a longer list of ten…
Liberty Lane, Botanical, Enfjaar, Box to Box, Dual Identity, Marhaba The Champ, Remaadd, Flyring Frontier, Crack Shot, Machete
Applying the other stats doesn’t help too much, leaving eight…
Liberty Lane, Botanical, Enfjaar, Box to Box, Dual Identity, , Remaadd, Flyring Frontier, Crack Shot,
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Botanical, Enfjaar
- Remaadd, Kingsfisher King
- Tony Montana
- Euchen Glen
*
4.00 -Newmarket – Bunbury Cup
16/277, 61p
16/16 Top rated or within 12lb of top rated
16/16 carried 9-0 or more (exc claims)
16/16 had won at least one handicap
16/16 had at least x3 places (inc wins) in handicaps
16/16 ran at following tracks LTO: Royal Ascot (x9), Newc, Newm (July), Epsom, Chester, Newb, York
15/16 sent off 16/1 or shorter SP
15/16 aged 4-6
15/16 ran over 7f or further LTO
15/16 had won over 7f+ in career
15/16 had 1+ distance win prev in career
15/16 had 2+ runs this season
15/16 won by non-claiming jockeys
14/16 had won at C2+ in career prev
14/16 ran in a C2 LTO
12/16 had 3-4 runs this season
Trainers
- R Fahey: 3/19,6p
- R Hannon: 2/7,3p
- M Johnston (2/15,5p)
- x1: D Simcock, R Fell, R Hannon, D Elsworth, J Osborne, R Beckett, T D Barron, M Botti
Shortlist…
Applying the 16/16 stats (ignoring track LTO) would point to a long list of thirteen…
Carrytheone, Divine Libra, Awaal, Gorak, Percys Lad, Lethal Levi, Talis Evolvere, Ropey Guest, Summerghand, Dark Thirty, Spirit Genie, Darkness, Bless Him
All bar one of those, Summerghand, ran at a ‘LTO’ track
If the age stat holds up, 4-6, we’d be looking at eight and it may be best to just focus on those, if using my trends…
Divine Libra, Awaal, Gorak, Percys Lad, Talis Evolvere, Dark Thirty, Spirit Genie, Darkness,
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Talis Evolvere, Dark Thirty
- Bless Him
*