Two handicaps in focus this Saturday…
2.05 Haydock: C1 1m6f Handicap (3YO)
10/84, 23p
10/10 had 2-4 runs this season
10/10 Top Rated or within 10lb of top rated
10/10 Top 2 at least once last three starts
10/10 Sent off 13/2 or shorter SP (bigger, 0/55,10p)
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Ignoring the odds for now, this profile would have found 10//10 (10/43, runners, 15p) , some caution as smaller sample sizes than usual with just the ten renewals, however ‘IF’ it holds, it would leave us with a shortlist of six to focus on… (and we’ll see whether the market is guide)
Dramatic Star, Too Bossy For Us, Wild Waves, Align The Stars, Fouroneohfever, Hampden
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Dramatic Star
- Align The Stars
- Tryfan
- Pappano
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3.15 Haydock – The Old Newton Cup
16/246, 56p
16/16 highest class run in career either a G1, or yet to run above C2
16/16 had not run over 17f or further in career
16/16 max distance had won over was between 10.5f and 16f.
16/16 had not run in the race previously
16/16 won by non-claiming jockeys
15/16 sent off 14/1 or shorter SP
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Using the first two pointers above and the horse not having run in the race previously would have found 16/16 (16/118, 39p), and IF upholding would leave a longer list of eight…
La Yakel, Chillingham, Maghlaak, Iron Lion, Knightswood, If Not Now, Loyal Touch, Kings Code
Of those with a previous career win (2/16 had not won before going into this race), their max distance win between 10.5f-16f, and if upholding would point to five…
La Yakel, Chillingham, Iron Lion, Knightswood, Loyal Touch
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Relentless Voyager, Teumessias Fox
- Epic Poet, Iron Lion
- Knightswood, Loyal Touch
- Flash Bardot
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END
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