Scottish Grand National: Trends & Trainers (upd1)

3.35 Ayr

15/378, 60p

15/15 had 3-6 runs this season (did not: 0/100, 14p)

15/15 had all won at least once last x6 starts (had not: 0/87 12p)

15/15 had 3-7 runs in prev 365 days (did not: 0/70,8p)

15/15 had 1+ handicap wins (0: 0/53,5p)

14/15 had 4-7 career wins (did not: 1/132, 19p)

14/15 Official Rating 133-146 (were not: 1/126, 18p)

12/15 had won at least once last three starts (had not: 3/189, 27p)

Other

• Jockey claiming 3-5lb : 0/52,7p
• Horse PU last start: 0/43,6p

*

Applying the 15/15 stats, IF upholding, would leave a long list of 14…

Macdermott, Anglers Crag, Git Maker, Inis Oirr, My Silver Lining, Beauport, Whacker Clan, Mr Vango, Autonomous Cloud, Surrey Quest, Broken Halo, Egbert, Elvis Mail, Whistleinthedark.

4-7 career wins and OR 133-146 , would have found 13/15, applied to the above long list, IF upholding would leave seven…

Anglers Crag, Git Maker, My Silver Lining, Beauport, Surrey Quest, Broken Halo, Whistleinthedar.

All bar Whistleinthedark had won at least once last three starts for all I wouldn’t necessarily just use that stat to throw him out.

*

Trainers (to have won race last x15/with runners)

• Stay Away Fay, Broken Halo
• Inis Oirr
• Beauport
• Egbert
• Punitive

*