[Free Post] The Lincoln Handicap Trends & Trainers

PART 1: Trends & Trainers

3.35 Doncaster – The Lincoln Handicap

15/311, 60p

15/15 sent off 28/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 0/88,5p)

15/15 ran in a race for 3YO, or 3YO+ Last start (4YO+: 0/106, 11p)

15/15 ran 121-240 days ago (did not: 0/129, 13p)

15/15 had 0 runs in prev 90 days (in UK/IRE): (1+ : 0/98,11p)

15/15 had 10 or fewer runs in the last 365 days (11+ : 0/71,8p)

15/15 had 0-1 wins under today’s jockey (2+ : 0/63, 8p)

15/15 had 0-1 run over the CD (2+ : 0/42, 7p)

15/15 had 0-5 handicap wins (6+ : 0/39, 5p)

14/15 ran in a handicap last start (non-handicaps: 1/69, 14p)

14/15 OR 95 or higher (94<: 1/52, 6p)

13/15 had 0-1 runs at the course prev (2+ : 2/120, 18p)

13/15 had won at least once last five runs (had not: 2/112, 17p)

13/15 were Top Rated or within 11lb of top rated (were not: 2/102, 15p)

Other

• Horse drawn in stall 5,6,7,8: 0/57, 5p
• Horse carried a penalty: 0/18, 2p
• Trainer had 3+ runners: 0/35, 7p
• Horse ran at Lingfield/Wolverhampton LTO: 0/88, 12p

Trainers

• C Appleby: 2/4,2p
• J Gosden: 2/8,2p
• R Fahey: 2/35, 8p
• W Haggas: 2/10,4p
• x1: D O’Meara, M Dods, M Channon, D Menuisier, J Ryan, M Tompkins, JJ Quinn

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PART 2: Trends Shortlists

Ignoring the odds (all winners 28/1< SP), applying the 15/15 stats would leave a long list of 11, cutting the field in half… IF upholding…

Awaal, Migration, Lattam, Thunder Ball, Vetiver, Navagio, Parlando, Farhh To Shy, One Night Thunder, Mr Professor, Alpha Crucis

It may not be wise to look beyond that list as a ‘way in’… if this goes to a horse Top rated or within 11lb of top rated, it would reduce that list to three…

Awaal, Migration, Thunder Ball

Of that long list, those with at least one win in last five starts…

Migration, Lattam, Thunder Ball, Navagio, Vetiver, Farhh To Shy, Mr Professor, Alpha Crucis

Trainers (to have won race/with runners)

• Migration (last year’s winner)

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