17.05 Galway
15/296, 60p
15/15 sent of 22/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 0/104, 13p)
15/15 had 1+ runs pre 90 days (0: 0/42, 5p)
15/15 had 0-2 runs this season (3+: 0/38, 4p)
15/15 had placed at least once last two starts (had not: 0/72, 8p)
15/15 had 0-2 handicap hurdle wins (3+ : 0/34, 7p)
15/15 did not run over 16.5-17f on last start (did: 0/74, 10p)
15/15 did not run in a beginners, maiden, or novices last start (did: 0/50, 8p)
15/15 ran in a race for 3YO+ or 4yo+ last race (did not: 0/41, 2p)
15/15 did not run at Punchestown or Killarney last start (did: 0/62, 10p)
14/15 were between 1lb lower and 9lb higher than last race (were not: 1/71, 12p)
14/15 had run at G1 or G2 level in carer (had not: 1/45, 6p)
14/15 on last start ran in a non-handicap,’hurdle’ or ‘handicap’ as defined by HorseRaceBase (did not: 1/136, 18p)
12/15 Aged 6 or 7 (4-5: 1/82; 8+ :2/70, 13p)
Trainers
- W Mullins: 4/45, 10p
- Tony Martin: 4/21, 7p
- M Winters: 2/2
- x1: P Flynn, D McCain, Joseph O’Brien, Patrick J Flynn, JE and T Kiely
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Applying the trends…
A strict application of the 15/15 stats would point to 15/15 (15/100, 34p, +170 BFSP) and IF upholding, (always an if!) would point to just four…
Party Central, Jesse Evans, Da Capo Glory, Cash Back
Applying the 14/15 stats would leave 14/15 (14/55 runners, 23p, +167) and IF upholding…
Party Central, Jesse Evans, Da Capo Glory,
Those three are also the ‘age sweet-spot’, 6 or 7.
I’m sure this race won’t be as easy as that, but a starting point!
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- All of Willie Mullins x4
- Tudor City
- Prairie Dancer
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