The Galway Plate
15/324, 60p
15/15 at least 5lb below top weight (Top rated to 4lb lower: 0/44,4p)
15/15 had 0-2 runs this season (3+ : 0/49,4p)
15/15 had 0-3 places in handicap chases (did not: 0/43, 2p)
15/15 did not run in a ‘chase’ last start as defined by HRB (non-handicap, non novice) (did: 0/56, 5p)
14/15 were between 1lb lower and 7lb higher than last start (were not: 1/118, 7p)
14/15 had 1-13 runs in handicaps (did not: 1/93, 11p)
- 10/15 had 1-5 runs in handicaps (10/118, 28p)
14/15 had between 0-5 runs over further than today’s distance (6+ : 1/80,12p)
14/15 had 2-5 runs this calendar year (did not: 1/100,16p)
14/15 had 7 or fewer career wins (8+; 1/76, 15p)
13/15 sent off 16/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 2/158, 11p)
13/15 carried between 10-2 and 10-13 including any jockey claims (did not: 2/143, 22p, – however, those two winners in the last 2 years, 11-5 or more, so maybe classier horses now doing better, we shall see)
12/15 Top 5 last start (or UR) (were not: 3/119,16p)
11/15 had 0 wins in handicap chases (1+ : 4/159, 27p)
Trainers
- G Elliot: 3/30, 6p
- HDB: 2/30,3p
- W Mullins: 2/50, 16p
- x1: T Mullins, JE & Thomas Kieley, JJ Hanlon, CA McBratney, N Meade, P Nicholls, J O’Brien, T Taffe
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Applying the trends…
Applying the 15/15 stats and looking at those rated from 1lb lower up to 7lb higher than last start, would point to 14/15 (14/106, 34p, +220 BFSP) and IF upholding (always an If of course) would point to a list of seven…
Final Orders, Ash Tree Meadow, Hollow Games, Visionarian, Gabby’s Cross, Andy Dufresne, Lieutenant Command
Applying the other 14/15 stats would point to 11/15 winners, and a list of five…
Ash Tree Meadow, Hollow Games, Visionarian, Andy Dufresne, Lieutenant Command
Of that list, Visonarian and Andy Dufresne are in the 10-2 – 10-13 weight range. Applying that weight range to the original list of seven above… Final Orders, Gabby’s Cross , Visonarian and Andy Dufresne
Of that original list of seven, those with 0 handicap chase wins… Hollow Games, Visonarian, Andy Dufresne
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- All of Gordon Elliot’s x6
- All of Willie Mullins x5
- Hewick
- Gabby’s Cross, Upping The Anti
- A Wave of The Sea
- Lieutenant Command
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