Paddy Power Gold Cup... a preview of sorts… the summary… I thought Stolen Silver looked a bet at 6/1 for a bit of TV interest. Umbrigado interesting to some degree also to my eyes. Hopefully I may say something interesting…
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Big Race Trends
Saturday
2.20 Chelt – Gold Cup Handicap Chase
14/253, 56p
14/14 had run at course at least twice previously (0-1: 0/54, 10p)
14/14 had 0-3 handicap wins (4+ : 0/51, 7p)
14/14 had 0-2 handicap chase wins (3+ : 0/50, 9p)
13/14 had 10< runs in handicaps (11+ : 1/84, 12p)
12/14 aged 7-9 (12/173, 40p ; age 5-6: 2/59, 15p)
12/14 sent off 14/1 or shorter (bigger: 2/144, 19p)
12/14 official rating 148 or lower (149+ : 2/88, 18p)
12/14 had 0-7 runs in handicap chases (8+ : 2/75, 10p)
11/14 top 2 at least once last three starts (did not: 3/66, 11p)
11/14 had run at G1 level in career (had not: 3/93, 15p)
9/14 ran 11-45 days ago (inc the last 6) (9/145, 29p)
Other
- Bottom weights: 0/31, 6p
Trainers
- NTD: 3/18, 6p
- P Nicholls: 2/33, 9p
- Jonjo O’Neill: 2/12 3p
- X1: Kerry Lee, E O’Grady, E Williams, A King, G Moore, D Pipe, S Smith
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Trends Shortlist
Paddy Power Gold Cup
The 14/14 strictly applied, point to 14/14 winners (14/146, 38p) and IF upholding, would point to six… (some caution as the ‘place’ stats for the 0/X numbers on brackets are solid, so the trends maybe not the strongest)
Stolen Silver H1, Galahad Quest, Happygolucky, Mister Fisher, Slate House, Deyrann De Carjac
0-10 runs in handicaps has been a positive, and of those, only three hit that…
Stolen Silver, Happygolucky, Mister Fisher
Trainers (to have won the race/with runners)
- Il Ridoto, Simply The Betts
- Editeur Du Gite, Nassalam
- Coole Cody
- Umbrigado
- Storm Control
- Deyrann de Carjac
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END.
Who do you fancy?
GL with any bets,
Josh