Hello, thanks for stopping by,
Below you can find a video preview of York’s Skybet Dash, 2.40pm Saturday.
- I touch on the two horses I quite fancy
- My trends (repeated down below also),
- Which trainers are in red hot form (worth noting more generally)
- x3 trainer/jockey combos worth noting more generally
- The ‘Geegeez’ Instant Expert profiles
- The Pace Map
- A meander through some of the opposition
- A horse for the notebook for later in the season/next season… (or maybe’ she’ll hack up in this race!)
Click ‘play’ to watch… as always, any questions do post down below… and do tell us who you fancy! That’s the great thing about this game, between us we may fancy at least half the field!
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Big Race Trends
2.40 York – Skybet Dash
14/239, 50p
13/14 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 1/137, 19p)
13/14 had run over further previously in career (had not: 1/53, 1p)
12/14 aged 3-6 (older: 2/57, 6p)
12/14 drawn stall 12 or lower (13+ : 2/90, 15p)
12/14 had 0-6 wins in career (7+ : 2/51, 6p)
12/14 ran in Class 2 last start (C1: 1/16,1p; C3: 1/53, 11p; C4 0/8,1p)
12/14 ran over 6f+ last start (5f: 2/67, 8p) (does include 2 of last 3)
11/14 running off same rating or higher than last race (lower: 3/119, 24p) (does include 3 of last 4 winners)
11/14 placed at least once on last two runs (did not: 3/117, 24p) (although inc 3 of last 4 winners)
5/14 had 8 or fewer career runs (5/17 runners, 6p, +30)
To date, 14/14 ran at seven courses last start: Hamilton (4), Newcastle (4), Ascot (2), Ripon, Chester, Warwick, Windsor
Other
- Horse had yet to win beyond 5f: 0/19, 0p
- Horse ran at York last start: 0/31, 4p
Trainers
- T Easterby: 2/30, 6p
- X1: J Goldie, T Barron, M Johnston, M Dods, R Fahey, C Hills, D Ivory, M Easterby, W Haggas, K Burke, D O’Meara
- K Ryan: 0/18, 3p
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Applying the trends…
2.40 York
A profile of the horse being aged 3-6, 1+ run over further in career, 6< career wins, and ran over 6f+ LTO… would point to 11/14 winners (11/96, 35p) and IF upholding, would point to five horses…
Silver Samurai H3, Nationwide, Aberama Gold, Fortamour, Atomic Lady
Of those who ran in a C2 LTO… Silver Samurai , Atomic Lady
8 or fewer career runs has been a positive, against the number of runners, and within that trends profile it’s 5/13 runners, 6p… one horse hits that… (and the only horse in the race)
Nationwide
Of that original list, those to have run at a prep track that’s produced winners to date…
Silver Samurai, Fortamour,
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Gale Force Maya H1
- Hyperfocus H4, Music Society, Atomic Lady, Kind Review
- Venturous (last year’s winner)
- Nomadic Empire
- Gabrial The Devil
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Best of luck,
Josh