Saturday’s ITV Trends & Trainer Pointers

Saturday’s ITV pointers

First up you can find the ITV trainer pointers, followed by a couple of trends handicaps from Ascot…

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ITV Trainer Pointers

Horses representing trainers who’ve won said race previously… indicating the trainer knows the type of horse required to win said race, they may be keen to win it again, and the horse ‘may’ have been aimed at it…

1.20 Wetherby

  • Templehills

1.35 Ascot

  • Kid Commando H1
  • Nassalam

1.55 Wetherby

  • Molly Ollys Wishes H2
  • Maries Rock
  • Her Indoors H4
  • Fiveandtwenty H3

2.10 Ascot

  • Progressive
  • Wild Max H1, Bathsheba Bay

2.30 Wetherby

  • Master Tommytucker H3
  • Proschema H4
  • Ask Dillon H2

2.45 Ascot

  • Amoola Gold H4
  • Getaway Trump H3
  • Frero Banbou
  • Mengli Khan

2.50 Down Royal

  • Minella Indo
  • Galvin, Delta Work, Ravenhill
  • Frodon

3.05 Wetherby

  • Cyrname H1
  • Clondaw Castle H2

3.20 Ascot

  • Vinndication (2019 winner) H1
  • Regal Encore (last years winner) , Sojourn
  • Bennys King H2, Captain Chaos
  • Larry
  • Didero Vallis
  • Glen Forsa

3.40 Wetherby

  • Pagero H1
  • Rattle Owl
  • Sheriff Garrett
  • Another Theatre

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Big Race Trends

2.10 Ascot : 2m Listed Handicap Hurdle

13/158, 39p

13/13 aged 4-6 (7+ : 0/41, 2p) (12/13 aged 5 or 6)

13/13 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 0/70, 6p)

13/13 had 0-3 runs this season (4+ : 0/26,1p)

12/13 had 0-1 run in prev 90 days (2+ ; 1/41, 2p)

12/13 top 9 in the weights (10th> : 1/45, 6p)

12/13 had 0-2 handicap wins (3+ : 1/46, 7p)

10/13 had won at lest once last three starts

7/13 had 4 or fewer hurdles runs (7/24 runners, 11p)

7/13 ran in a Grade 2 or Listed race LTO (7/33 runners, 13p)

Trainers

  • A King: 3/11,4p
  • N Henderson: 2/14,4p
  • P Hobbs: 2/10,3p
  • X1: A Honeyball, P Nicholls, P Phelan, E Lavelle

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Applying the trends…

Well, they don’t help too much in truth… a profile of aged 4-6, 0-1 runs prev 90 days and 0-2 handicap wins… 11/13 (11/76 runners) but leaves a long list of nine, and there are only 14 runners…

Soaring Glory H2, Boothill, Ajero, Megan, Wild Max H1, Elham Valley, Get Your Own, Highway One O Two, Bathsheba Bay

Ignoring those trends and just looking at all runners with 4< hurdle runs…

Boothill, Megan, Get Your Own

And those that ran in a G2 or Listed LTO…

Miss Heritage, Bathsheba Bay

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Trainers (to have won race/with runners)

  • Progressive
  • Wild Max H1, Bathsheba Bay

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3.20 Ascot: London Gold Cup Handicap Chase

13/185, 44p

13/13 IRE or FR bred (GB: 0/36,5p)

13/13 had 0-4 chase wins (5+ : 0/32, 4p)

13/13 ran 21-30 days ago (5/28,9p) or 181+ (8/109, 29p) (20< : 0/33, 5p)

12/13 sent off 14/1 or shorter (bigger: 1/77, 8p)

12/13 had 0-1 run this season (2+ : 1/40, 6p)

10/13 had run at Ascot prev (had not: 3/73, 14p)

8/13 had yet to win beyond 2m6f in careers (8/46 runners, 16p)

Trainers

  • G Moore: 2/6, 2p
  • X1 C Longsdon, V Williams, V Dartnall, D Skelton, E Griffin, N Henderson, K Bailey, A Honeyball, D Pipe, Jonjo O’Neill
  • C Tizzard (0/9,0p), NTD (0/11,3p), P Hobbs (0/10,2p) , P Nicholls (0/20,8p)

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Applying the trends…

Again not overly helpful and a variety of ‘profiles’ have won this over the years… a profile of NOT GB, 0-1 runs this season and 0-4 chase wins would leave 12/13 (12/94 runners, 31p) and reduce the field of 14 down to 9…

Vinndication H1, Johnbb, One More Gleurie, Bennys King H2, Jerrysback, Sojourn, Didero Vallis, Glen Forsa, Checkitout

Of those with course experience… Vinndication, Bennys King, Jerrysback, Didero Vallis

Trainers (to have won race/with runners)

  • Vinndication (2019 winner) H1
  • Regal Encore (last years winner) , Sojourn
  • Bennys King H2, Captain Chaos
  • Larry
  • Didero Vallis
  • Glen Forsa

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