Summer Flat Trainers to Follow?
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The following research focusses on the core part of the Flat Turf Season (June, July & August) and ten trainer angles to keep an eye on . Stats are from the previous 5 seasons (2016-).
Historical success is never a guarantee of future success of course but with any luck the following angles highlight a few winners and can be used as a useful ‘starting point’.
As always, if you’ve any questions or observations, do fire away down in the comments. Let’s crack on…
Starter set of ‘rules’ for all research that follows, unless stated
- UK Flat Turf
- June, July & August
- 2016-
- Any odds
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# 1 Tony Carroll
- Brighton
- All races
- Horse had 0-1 runs at Brighton previously
- 14/1 or shorter starting price (0/23, 2p bigger)
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 34 | 11 | 32.35 | 44.37 | 22 | 64.71 | 60.97 | 179.31 | 30.8 | 1.87 |
| 2019 | 14 | 4 | 28.57 | 14.74 | 8 | 57.14 | 21.45 | 153.2 | 12.19 | 1.41 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 5.13 | 3 | 75 | 6.34 | 158.5 | 4.9 | 2.82 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 2 | 40 | -5 | -100 | -0.59 | 0 |
| 2016 | 11 | 5 | 45.45 | 29.5 | 9 | 81.82 | 38.18 | 347.08 | 14.3 | 3.4 |
#2 Clive Cox
- Group 1 & Group 2
- Horse aged 2, 3 or 4
- Jockey: Adam Kirby
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 38 | 8 | 21.05 | 167.5 | 14 | 36.84 | 214.84 | 565.38 | 28.15 | 2.26 |
| 2020 | 5 | 3 | 60 | 158.5 | 4 | 80 | 196.35 | 3927.04 | 29.66 | 4.76 |
| 2019 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 3.5 | 2 | 40 | 3.84 | 76.8 | 4.09 | 4.55 |
| 2018 | 11 | 0 | 0 | -11 | 2 | 18.18 | -11 | -100 | -5.5 | 0 |
| 2017 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 1.5 | 4 | 40 | 2.21 | 22.12 | -1.77 | 1.85 |
| 2016 | 7 | 2 | 28.57 | 15 | 2 | 28.57 | 23.44 | 334.85 | 1.66 | 3.23 |
#3 Michael Dods
- York
- All Handicaps
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 65 | 18 | 27.69 | 75.08 | 39 | 60 | 116.39 | 179.05 | 62.02 | 2.81 |
| 2020 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 6.5 | 2 | 20 | 12.3 | 122.96 | -4.08 | 2.9 |
| 2019 | 19 | 5 | 26.32 | 22 | 9 | 47.37 | 30.36 | 159.81 | 8.49 | 3.01 |
| 2018 | 18 | 4 | 22.22 | 13.83 | 13 | 72.22 | 26.41 | 146.7 | 23.68 | 1.8 |
| 2017 | 13 | 5 | 38.46 | 16.25 | 11 | 84.62 | 23.27 | 179.01 | 24.78 | 3.38 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 16.5 | 4 | 80 | 24.05 | 480.96 | 9.14 | 5.56 |
#4 Tim Easterby
- Ripon
- Handicaps
- Class 4
- Any odds (0/8,0p 16/1+ )
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 49 | 15 | 30.61 | 41.16 | 22 | 44.9 | 50.44 | 102.93 | 12.87 | 1.92 |
| 2020 | 12 | 5 | 41.67 | 14.13 | 6 | 50 | 17.9 | 149.18 | 2.34 | 3.09 |
| 2019 | 14 | 3 | 21.43 | 13 | 5 | 35.71 | 16 | 114.28 | 5.26 | 1.73 |
| 2018 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 10.33 | 5 | 50 | 11.65 | 116.5 | 0.53 | 1.62 |
| 2017 | 9 | 2 | 22.22 | 2.2 | 4 | 44.44 | 2.99 | 33.18 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 1.5 | 2 | 50 | 1.9 | 47.5 | 1.24 | 1.35 |
#5 John & Thady Gosden
- Newmarket (July course)
- Handicaps
- Horse aged 3
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 64 | 19 | 29.69 | 30.34 | 24 | 37.5 | 40.33 | 63.01 | -9.88 | 1.41 |
| 2020 | 11 | 6 | 54.55 | 20.63 | 7 | 63.64 | 24.39 | 221.73 | 5.41 | 2.86 |
| 2019 | 11 | 2 | 18.18 | -1.62 | 3 | 27.27 | -0.93 | -8.5 | -5.66 | 1.05 |
| 2018 | 17 | 5 | 29.41 | 0.58 | 6 | 35.29 | 1.82 | 10.69 | -5.08 | 1.23 |
| 2017 | 12 | 4 | 33.33 | 11.25 | 5 | 41.67 | 13.92 | 116.02 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| 2016 | 13 | 2 | 15.38 | -0.5 | 3 | 23.08 | 1.13 | 8.71 | -6.2 | 0.8 |
#6 Richard Hannon (Jnr)
- Newmarket (July course)
- Handicaps
- 9/1 or shorter starting price (bigger: 3/67, 14p, -24 SP)
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 117 | 30 | 25.64 | 49.13 | 59 | 50.43 | 81.07 | 69.29 | 35.35 | 1.53 |
| 2020 | 14 | 6 | 42.86 | 16.66 | 8 | 57.14 | 21.24 | 151.74 | 7.2 | 2.18 |
| 2019 | 20 | 8 | 40 | 23.13 | 13 | 65 | 32.55 | 162.75 | 15.74 | 2.42 |
| 2018 | 32 | 8 | 25 | 14.51 | 16 | 50 | 26.92 | 84.13 | 12.49 | 1.36 |
| 2017 | 25 | 4 | 16 | -2 | 11 | 44 | 0.59 | 2.36 | -1.04 | 1.08 |
| 2016 | 26 | 4 | 15.38 | -3.17 | 11 | 42.31 | -0.23 | -0.9 | 0.96 | 1 |
#7 Mark Johnston
- Newmarket (July course)
- Handicaps
- Class 2
- 10 furlongs or further
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 42 | 13 | 30.95 | 65.75 | 21 | 50 | 103.78 | 247.1 | 21.94 | 2.22 |
| 2020 | 7 | 3 | 42.86 | 12 | 4 | 57.14 | 12.88 | 183.94 | 5.12 | 3.49 |
| 2019 | 9 | 2 | 22.22 | 9 | 4 | 44.44 | 12.85 | 142.72 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| 2018 | 9 | 3 | 33.33 | 13.5 | 3 | 33.33 | 17.8 | 197.82 | -1.17 | 2.42 |
| 2017 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 0.75 | 6 | 75 | 1.28 | 16.02 | 4.87 | 1.24 |
| 2016 | 9 | 3 | 33.33 | 30.5 | 4 | 44.44 | 58.97 | 655.27 | 11.05 | 3.16 |
#8 Mark Johnston
- Haydock
- Novice Races
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 46 | 14 | 30.43 | 35.92 | 26 | 56.52 | 53.59 | 116.51 | 20.4 | 1.45 |
| 2020 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 17.63 | 3 | 37.5 | 30.02 | 375.19 | 4.78 | 1.41 |
| 2019 | 8 | 3 | 37.5 | 9 | 5 | 62.5 | 10.09 | 126.15 | 1.66 | 2.03 |
| 2018 | 13 | 4 | 30.77 | 5.79 | 8 | 61.54 | 8.36 | 64.28 | 6 | 1.38 |
| 2017 | 9 | 2 | 22.22 | 0.5 | 4 | 44.44 | 0.94 | 10.42 | 3.08 | 1.38 |
| 2016 | 8 | 3 | 37.5 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 4.19 | 52.41 | 4.88 | 1.26 |
#9 Mark Johnston
- All Class 1
- Horse 1st or 2nd at least once last three starts
- Jockey: Frankie Dettori, James Doyle, Franny Norton, Silvestre De Sousa
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 116 | 30 | 25.86 | 73 | 46 | 39.66 | 102.54 | 88.4 | 14.11 | 1.63 |
| 2020 | 23 | 5 | 21.74 | 19.3 | 8 | 34.78 | 22.29 | 96.9 | 0.22 | 1.49 |
| 2019 | 35 | 12 | 34.29 | 42.51 | 15 | 42.86 | 59.58 | 170.24 | 7.96 | 2.09 |
| 2018 | 25 | 5 | 20 | -1.07 | 8 | 32 | 0.4 | 1.61 | -3.01 | 1.25 |
| 2017 | 20 | 3 | 15 | -3.4 | 7 | 35 | -0.38 | -1.9 | 3.46 | 1.02 |
| 2016 | 13 | 5 | 38.46 | 15.66 | 8 | 61.54 | 20.65 | 158.81 | 5.47 | 2.12 |
#10 David O’Meara
- Handicaps
- Class Move: Drop 1 class from last start
- Horse had 0-1 wins in career
- Jockey: Danny Tudhope
| Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% | P/L(BF) | ROI(BF) | P/L(Plc) | BF A/E | |
| ALL | 35 | 13 | 37.14 | 64.5 | 19 | 54.29 | 83.19 | 237.69 | 22.9 | 2.56 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5 | 23 | 4 | 50 | 27.68 | 346.04 | 7.33 | 3.7 |
| 2019 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 4.5 | 5 | 62.5 | 6.26 | 78.25 | 5.8 | 1.4 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 8.75 | 2 | 50 | 12.52 | 313.09 | 0.93 | 3.51 |
| 2017 | 11 | 4 | 36.36 | 19.25 | 6 | 54.55 | 26.82 | 243.82 | 6.37 | 2.58 |
| 2016 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 9.91 | 247.68 | 2.47 | 2.82 |
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That’s all for this free report.
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Best of luck,
Josh (racingtoprofit.co.uk)