2. Summer Jumps Angles (report TBC)
3. Flat Turf Angles (report TBC)
4.Other/Updates (Punting Pointers HERE>>> )
(Members’ User Guide/Info : READ HERE>>>) (to be updated)
2. Summer Jumps Angles
(all qualifiers = 5/28, 11p, -1) (star rating ‘ ♦ ‘ = 1/6, 3p, +1)
3.47 Strat- Larch Hill H1 10/3 2nd -1
3. Flat Turf Angles
(all qualifiers = 2/16, 2p, -12.17) (star rating ‘ ♦ ‘ = 0/2, 0p, -2)
It’s the final part that’s most important…
I’ve just about moved on from another failure on my part at Aintree – watching Burbank make all was rather painful and it wasn’t the first time this month i’ve watched the end of a race through my fingers. That race was over very early, when it was clear how much the leader was enjoying himself, tactics i’d predicted but failed to act on. Anyone who reads my write ups, esp this month, may have noted the numerous winners who were given strong shouts/dangers/’next best’ but who were not tipped. (usually in italics or underlined) It makes for torturous reading on my part… Captain Tommy (9s), Uptown Harry (9/2), Burbank (22s, 30p R4, 15/1), Minella Bobo (9/2) could have all easily been found this month and if i’m being ultra self-critical, I could throw Dell Arca (20s) into the mix also. And then there’s the x2 9/2 winners I had 1/2 points on. I was very close to all of those, I could be sat here on +35-50 odd points for the month and the fact I’m not has dominated my thinking since that Aintree race. In truth I’m not totally sure on what the solution is at the moment but that’s for me to work out. Im getting 90% of analysis/thinking correct, it’s the final little bit, which is the most important.
As it happens the tipping stats for May so far for UK pokes… 17 bets / 3 wins / 8 places (inc wins, x5 seconds) / -2.75 advised. (and -3 from Punchy’s last day) To have had a 1st or 2nd on eight occasions (all in chases), and to have been so close to many others as above, is more a positive than a negative. But still frustrating. If I keep repeating those stats/how consistent many have run, the profit pile will only go one way in time. (Blow by Blow should have won at 8s) However, while I will always make some errors like that long term (the nature of the beast, it’s generally a game of frustration but that’s why its so compelling, and it’s meant to be difficult) I clearly need to be making fewer of them, and it indicates on occasions i’m doing something wrong late in the piece. The final part of this puzzle solving game is the most important – pulling the tigger/the final decision, and evidently I haven’t got enough of those calls right. It’s something I’m reflecting on as it needs to improve, given what that profit pile should be sat on, the effort put in to get to the final shortlist/ones I’m interested in, only to then pick incorrectly. In part it’s about relying on instinct more/not over thinking, not being scared to lose (fear of an outsider running atrociously etc) and making sure I can live with whatever the result is. I’ve made a couple of tweaks to my approach this month, including turning the odds off within Geegeez racecards and making sure I go through a race/horses properly with no idea what the odds are, which isn’t something i’ve always done (and i’m sure that affects you subconsciously). I’ve tweaked my method a bit inc more emphasis on ‘class’ and ‘hot form’. But, Burbank was a real kick in the groin. 22/1 winners are not easy to find, he was, and I failed to pull the trigger. Maybe I should have just tipped all three of them, nothing else was ever getting competitive in that race. But, living with a JohnBB un-tipped at 4s, is a lot easier than a Burbank at 15s. Esp when two biggies are on a shortlist of 3. A game of fine margins, and i’ll be trying my best to get a few more calls correct. They’ll be some avalanche of profit when I do. I’m enjoying my renewed focus on the ‘3m’+, esp chases, and am excited for the year ahead, esp given the results with those since October (+78 or so). But I can’t be sat here in 6-12 months time writing similar to the above again.
A quiet day today, back first thing Monday morning. Enjoy the rest of your weekend. Josh