York Dante Day 3: Stats & Trends

Final day trends & micro quals

Below you can find pointers for the final day of The Dante Festival. There are trends for the 2.40 and the qualifiers against my micro angles…

York Day 3

2.40 – C2 10.5f Handicap

12/173, 40p

12/12 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger; 0/93, 10p)

12/12 had 5 or fewer places (inc wins) in handicaps (6+ : 0/66,13p)

11/12 had 0-1 run this season (2+ : 1/48, 12p)

11/12 had placed at least once last three runs (did not: 1/40, 6p)

11/12 had 0-2 handicap wins (3+ : 1/63, 11p)

10/12 had won at least once last four starts (had not: 2/72, 15p)

9/12 had won at least once last three starts (9/79, 20p)

9/12 had 0-3 runs in handicaps (9/40, 15p, +27 BFSP)

8/12 had 6 or fewer career runs (8/36, 15p, +22)

5/12 ran in a race for 3YO only LTO (5/16 runners, 6p)

Trainer (12 years)

  • R Varian : 2/3,2p
  • J Gosden: 2/6, 3p
  • Saeed Bin Surror: 2/4, 3p
  • X1: D Menuisier, R Hannon Jnr, P Niven, B Millman, Sir Michael Stoute

Applying the stats…

The horse placing at least once on last three runs and with 0-5 places (inc wins) in handicaps , 11/12, (11/80 runners, 24p) would cut the field in half, if upholding…

Blue Cup G3, Irish Admiral H2 G2, Satono Japan, Fishable, Makram, Chichester

All of those bar Chichester hit the other 11/12 stats also.

At least one win on last four runs is a positive… Blue Cup G3, Irish Admiral H2, Satono Japan, Makram

Those four also have 0-3 runs in handicaps.

Trainers (to have won race/with runners)

  • Blue Cup G3
  • Satono Japan

*

York Day 3 Micro Qualifiers

1.40

  • Canonized (trainer; WH)
  • Crazyland (trainer, CC) H2
  • Devious Angel (M2)
  • Nymphadora (trainer, AB)
  • Russellinthebushes (M2) H3

2.10

  • Kestenna (trainer/jockey; JG/Frankie)

3.10

  • Sir Ron Priestley (M1) H1 G1
  • Spanish Mission (trainer; AB) H3 G1

3.40

  • Muntadab (M3)
  • Presidential (M3)
  • Shawaamekh (M2)

4.15

  • Hey Mr (trainer/jockey; RV/AA) H2
  • Tweet Tweet (trainer; DC) H1 G3
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