York Dante Meeting: Stats, Trends, Pointers (inc Day 1)

Intro

Below you can find various stats & trends pointers for this week’s York Dante meeting.

First up you can find some historical trainer, jockey and sire pointers.

Secondly you can find stats, trends and trainer pointers for the two Class 2 handicaps on Day 1. There then follows a few shortlists, ‘applying’ the trends and trainers who’ve won the race previously/with runners.

There’s three more Class2+ handicaps throughout the rest of the week and these will follow asap.

Day 1 ‘qualifiers’ for the micro angles below then follow. You can find a video preview of Day 1 within the Free Members Daily Post.

As always I hope the following helps you have a profitable week. Let’s crack on…

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York Dante Festival 2021

Stats for the previous eight meetings unless stated…

Trainer & Jockeys

John Gosden & Frankie Dettori

• All races

23 bets / 10 wins / 16p / 44% sr / +11 SP / +16 BFSP / BF AE 1.28

Roger Varian / Andrea Atzeni

• All races

20 bets / 6 wins / 12p / 30% sr / +18 SP / +23 BFSP / BF AE 1.78

Trainers

Clive Cox

• Distance: 5-5.5f

5 bets / 3 wins / 4p / 60% sr / +17 SP / +21 BFSP / BF AE 3.41

Andrew Balding

• All Class 1 races

9 bets / 3 wins / 4p / 33% sr / +18 SP / +23 BFSP / BF AE 3.61

William Haggas

• All Class 1 races

19 bets / 4 wins / 9p / 21% sr / +13 SP / +16 BFSP / BF AE 1.51

• 3/8, 7p, +23 BFSP since 2017

Declan Carrol

• All Class 3 races

10 bets / 3 wins / 5p / 30% sr / +36 SP / +75 BFSP / BF AE 2.65

Richard Fahey

• Horse having 1^st career start

12 bets / 3 wins / 5p / 25% sr / +5 SP / +7 BFSP / BF AE 2.29

Other

Micro 1

• Horse ran at Newmarket Guineas meeting last time out (LTO)
• Class 1
• 1-11 career runs

36 bets / 9 wins / 13p / 25% sr / +49 SP / +106 BFSP / BF AE 2.24

Micro 2

• Horse ran at Chester’s May meeting LTO
• Top 4 LTO

26 bets / 5 wins / 14p / 19% sr / +36 SP / +67 BFSP / BF AE 1.81

Micro 3

• SIRE: Invincible Spirit
• All races

37 bets (29 races) / 8 wins / 15p / 22% sr / +25 SP / +41 BFSP / BF AE 2.1

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Big Race Stats, Trends & Trainer Pointers

A look at all C2+ handicaps…

Day 1

1.40 – Jorvik Handicap, 1m4f

12/158, 38p

12/12 aged 4 or 5 (6+ : 0/46, 6p)

12/12 top 3 at least once last three runs (did not: 0/35,3p)

12/12 placed at least once on last two runs (did not: 0/59, 5p)

12/12 had 1+ handicap win (0: 0/31,1p)

12/12 sent off 14/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 0/63, 6p)

11/12 had 0-1 wins over the distance (2+ 1/42, 7p)

10/12 Top 3 LTO (were not: 2/90, 14p)

Trainers (12 years)

• M Johnston: 2/10,2p
• Sir Michael Stoute: 2/8,3p
• X1: R Fahey, E Tuer, J Gosden, R Varian, A Newcombe, K Burke, C Appleby, J O’Keefe

Applying the trends…

Looking at those aged 4 or 5, top 3 at least once last three starts, placed at least once last two starts, 1+ handicap wins, ‘removes’ 7 and leaves…

My Frankel H3, Illaraab H1, Shandoz, Throne Hall G2 H3, Labeebb, Win O’Clock, Luigi Vampa, Straight of Hormuz, Rhythmic Intent G3

Of those… who had 0-1 win over the distance and top 3 LTO… 9/12 winners (9/36 runners, 19p)…

Illaraab H1 (WON) , Throne Hall G2 H2 (3rd), Labeebb (5th), Luigi Vampa

Trainers (to have won race with runners)

• My Frankel H3
• Shandoz
• Taqareer G1
• Strait Of Hormuz

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2.10 – C2 6f Handicap

12/209, 45p

12/12 aged 4-6 (7+ : 0/62, 8p)

12/12 official rating 99 or lower (100+ : 0/44,7p)

12/12 had 5< career wins (6+ : 0/64, 9p)

12/12 had 0-4 handicap wins (5+ : 0/56, 8p)

12/12 had 0-1 wins in the class (2+ : 0/61, 8p)

11/12 had 1+ win in the last 365 days (0: 1/71, 12p)

9/12 highest class win Class 3 or 4 (9/63, 19p, +122 BFSP)

Other

• Claiming jockeys: 0/32, 5p
• Ran in a non-handicap LTO: 1/33,5p

Trainers (12 years)

• M Easterby: 2/7,3p
• D O’Meara: 2/10,3p
• X1: R Fahey, T Easterby, M Dods, R Harris, K Dalgleish, T Barron
• K Ryan: 0/17,3p ; P Midgley 0/8,0p

Applying the trends…

Applying the trends…

Looking at those aged 4-6, rated 99 or lower, 0-5 career wins, 0-4 handicap wins, and 0-1 wins in the class would leave 12/12 winners (12/93, runners, 30p) and if upholding would point to…

Biesla G1 (5th), Woven (4th), Magical Spirit H3, Manigordo, Danzan (2nd 25/1) , Shallow Hal, Zargun (3rd, 125/1)

Of those with 1+ win in the last 365 days…

Magical Spirit H3, Manigordo, Shallow Hal

Trainers (to have won race/with runners)

• Gulliver
• Staxton H2, Manigordo, Danzan, Hyperfocus
• Woven
• Mr Lupton WON 14/1 , Brian The Snail G3
• Soldiers Minute, Aberama Gold H1

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York Day 1 Qualifiers (from the stats above)

2.10

• Bielsa (Micro 3) G1
• Brian The Snail (M2) G3

2.40

• Nahaarr (trainer; WH)

3.10

• Auria (trainer; AB) G1
• Mystery Angel (M1) H1
• Senita (trainer/jockey; JG/Frankie)
• Teona (trainer/jockey; RV/AA)

3.40

• Pivoting (M2) G3

4.50

• Emiyn (M3)

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