The Victoria Cup: Stats, Trends, Trainer Pointers, Shortlist (complete)

Victoria Cup pointers

One Flat Heritage Handicap to focus on this Saturday…

Saturday’s Big Race Trends

3.40 Ascot – The Victoria Cup

12/310, 48p

11/12 yet to run above class 2 in career (had run Listed +: 1/148, 15p)

11/12 running at same distance or drop (up in trip: 1/57, 2p)

11/12 had 0-2 wins over the distance (3+ : 1/89, 11p)

11/12 ran right handed or straight track LTO (Left handed: 1/103, 11p)

11/12 ran in a handicap LTO (non-handicap: 1/47, 1p)

10/12 aged 4 or 5 (6+ : 2/115, 13p)

10/12 had 1-3 career wins (4+ : 2/164, 20p)

10/12 had 0-2 handicap wins (3+ : 2/153, 20p)

10/12 had 2-7 places in handicaps (inc wins) (10/162, 31p) (0-1: 0/33,2p)

9/12 rated 96 or lower (97+ : 3/126, 22p … rated 102-104: 3/33, 7p)

9/12 11th or lower in the weights (top 10: 3/135, 21p) (although all 3 in last 6 renewals)

9/12 had never run over the CD (9/140, 25p)

8/12 origin of horse: IRE (8/143, 29p)

  • GB: 3/140, 14p

Other

  • Sent off 33/1+ : 0/110, 8p
  • 5&7lb claimers: 0/56, 6p
  • Horse WON LTO: 1/48, 8p
  • Track LTO:-
    • Haydock (0/21,4p); Thirsk (0/20,0p); Doncaster (0/28,5p), Lingfield (0/34,4p)

Trainers (12 years)

  • D Elsworth: 2/5,3p
  • X1: B Ellison, W Haggas, J Goldie, D J Coakley, G Margarson, D Hills, B Meehan, R Varian, D Marnane, C Appleby
  • D OMeara (0/11,0p); K Ryan (0/10,0p); R Fahey (0/18,2p)

*

Applying the stats…

Looking at those who’d yet to run above Class 2, were running at the same distance or down in distance from last start, with 0-2 wins over the distance.. 9/12 (9/94 runners, 25p)… only a guide as always but would point to a longlist of eight, if upholding…

Acquitted, Jumaira Bay, River Nymph, Karibana, Walhaan, Harrison Point, Greenside, Kaeso

Of those… a positive for 4 or 5 YO, 1-3 career wins, 0-2 handicap wins…

Acquitted, Jumaira Bay, River Nymph, Karibana

Trainers (to have won race prev 12 renewals, with runners)

  • Jumaira Bay
  • Ropey Guest

*

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on telegram
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.