Irish National: Stats, Trends, Trainers and Shortlists…

Irish National stats, trends, trainers and shortlists…

Below you can find my unique big race stats/trends pointers, winning trainers/their runners, and my own trends ‘shortlists’…

Irish Grand National: Stats, Trends & Trainer Pointers

12/328, 46p

12/12 had 1-3 runs prev 90 days

  • 0: 0/19, 0p
  • 4+ : 0/38, 4p

12/12 had 0-2 handicap wins (3+ : 0/67, 14p)

12/12 had 1-3 chase wins

  • 0: 0/19,0p
  • 4+ : 0/50, 4p

12/12 ran in a Novice chase, novice hurdle or handicap chase LTO (did not: 0/128, 12p)

11/12 Origin of Horse: IRE

  • GB: 0/22,4p
  • FR: 1/50,4p

11/12 had 13 or fewer chase runs (14+ : 1/91, 14p)

11/12 had 0-2 runs in month of April prev in careers (3+ : 1/154, 15p)

11/12 had 0-6 runs in handicap chases

  • 0: 4/59, 9p
  • 1-2: 0/71, 6p
  • 3-6: 7/99, 14p
  • 7+ : 1/99, 17p

11/12 had 2-4 career wins

  • 0-1: 0/9, 1p
  • 5+ : 1/153, 21p

11/12 ran over further than 2m5f LTO (did not: 1/104, 12p)

10/12 carried 10-9 or less (exc claims) (10/238, 38p)

  • 10-10 – 10-13: 1/40, 5p
  • 11-0- 11-4: 1/28, 3p
  • 11-5+ : 0/22, 0p
  • Top 2 in the weights: 0/26, 0p

10/12 max distance win was between 3m and 3m1.5f (10/143, 23p) (inc last 8)

  • Yet to win beyond 2m7f: 2/123, 13p
  • Had won over 26f+ : 0/59, 9p

10/12 won at least once last 4 starts (had not: 2/150, 16p)

10/12 had 1-3 career wins

  • 0: 2/117, 14p
  • 3+ : 0/30, 2p

9/12 had won at Listed level or above (inc prev 6 winners) (had not: 3/123, 16p)

Other

  • Horse had 2+ track wins: 0/29, 2p
  • Horse had 3+ handicap chase wins: 0/37, 6p
  • Horse PU LTO: 0/29, 2p
  • Horse Fell LTO: 0/16, 2p
  • Ran in race for 4YO+ LTO: 0/32, 3p

Trainers (runners representing trainers to have won race prev 12 renewals)

  • Mullins (1/34, 6p) – Agusta Gold, Robin De Carlow, Brahma Bull, Salsaretta, Dragon DEstruval
  • Elliot (1/45,5p) Run Wild Fred, Coko Beach, Escaria Ten
  • Jessie H (1/2,1p) Discordantly

‘Applying’ the stats/trends

As always, only ever some sort of guide/’way in’…

Looking at a profile of 1-3 runs prev 90 days, 0-2 handicap wins and 1-3 chase wins would point to a long list of seventeen…

Latest Exhibition, The Big Dog, Agusta Gold, Coko Beach, Escaria Ten, Home By The Lee, Espanito Bello, Moyhenna, Ten Ten, Fitzhenry, Brahma Bull, Discordantly, Eurobot, Jerrysback, Atlantic Shore, Dragon Destruval, Mortal

Of those to have run in a Novice Chase, Novice Hurdle or Handicap Chase LTO would point to eleven…

Latest Exhibition, The Big Dog, Coko Beach, Escaria Ten, , Espanito Bello, Ten Ten, Fitzhenry, Brahma Bull, Discordantly, Jerrysback, Mortal

Looking further at those who had 13 or fewer chase runs, 0-6 runs in handicap chases and 0-4 career wins.. 10/12 (10/64 runners, 25p)…

The Big Dog, Coko Beach, Escaria Ten, Espanito Bello, Discordantly, Ten Ten, Jerrys Back

From that shortlist.. a maximum career win between 3m-3m1.5f is a positive… Coko Beach, Escaria Ten

As is at least one win on last fours starts… The Big Dog, Coko Beach, Escaria Ten, Espanito Bello

*

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on telegram
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.