Members Daily Post: 26/10/20 (complete)

Quals, updates

1.Tips

2.Jumps Profiles 20/21

3.Monthly Trainers (Jumps)

4.Other/Updates

(Blog Content Explained: to follow. Punting Pointers HERE>>>)

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1.Tips

None.

 

2.Jumps Profiles 20/21

(All ‘any odds’) (6/38,16p, -2.7)

1.40 Ayr – Empire Steel H2 ♦ ♦ 9/2  WON 9/2>5/2 

 

3.Monthly Trainers (Jumps)

NTD

(3/34, 7p, -18.2)

None.

E Lavelle

(2/13,6p, -4.25)

None.

 

4.Other/Updates

The week ahead…

I’ve no time for moping around after that weekend of being close, but not close enough, and making one too many u-turns/naff decisions for comfort. There should be plenty happening…

New website – The new site will be up at some point in the next few days. Every post will be accessible until next Sunday. Delivery of content is the same – daily posts etc – and you’ll see everything clear enough I hope. That change over may happen Monday evening, so things may be iffy into Tuesday. The address will be the same obviously. 

Trainer Profiles – on Monday I will sort out this report and put a link up to the research in Tuesday’s post. I’ll record a weekend review video also that’s hopefully of some use. 

Next Sunday – Well it’s a big day, and ideally i’d have had a better weekend going into it, but that’s the game. You’ll be able to join for the 30 day trial/sign up if you so wish. The paywall will return from a week Monday for Members Daily Posts, which in effect includes everything that’s been here in recent weeks – but with the addition of Adam Norman, a pro. Who will hopefully add plenty of value with daily selections and his exclusive ‘Notes from the North’ every two weeks. Although a few things I’ll try and improve as always. It’s a business/future defining few weeks /season and we shall see how it goes. Obviously they’ll still be the odd free to access post for those who don’t wish to join, but not daily. I’ll be in touch with those old members who I owe substantial ‘time’ to with regards to subs when they were paused etc. 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

17 Responses

  1. Early post as moving house tomorrow.

    A decent 2nd place on Friday despite the drift from 14s to 25s (recorded to 14s)

    Results to date 4/15 (9places) + 15.1

    7.30 The Mackem Torpedo 1pt e/w (sp) 4places – beaten less than a length by the Cmon Cmon a month ago, gets a swing in weights, has Harry Russell on board with his 5lb claim and is drawn high.

    7.30 The Red Skye Delight 0.5pts e/w (sp) 4places – bottom weight, good draw, claimer and TT goes on for first time.

  2. A 15/2 winner and a loser on Sunday.

    Two for Monday:

    1.40 Ayr, Empire Steel – handicap debut, trainer in OK form, goes on the ground, has won in this class. 2 points win.
    6.30 Newcastle, Ask The Wind – down in class, first run on the all weather, draw OK, likes to be held up which should suit here. 2 points win.

    Good luck Martin

  3. No winners on Sunday.

    Reckless Endeavour………..20/1
    16:10Redcar
    Overwrite…………………….10/1
    14:35Leicester
    Violette Szabo……………….16/1
    15:55Newcastle
    Secretinthepark…………….20/1
    17:30Newcastle
    Hoylake……………………….25/1
    18:00Newcastle

    Mike

  4. A couple for today,
    Leicester 12-20. Rivers Lad 22-1, down in grade and up in trip, his 2nd to Roman Dynasty (who has gone on to be a close 4th in a C1) on the aw back in August showed he has some ability .
    Galway 1-55. In From The Cold 7-1 4p, has placed 12/24 and won 4 in this grade or higher.
    both 1/2 pt ew

  5. COLINS BETS
    4.10 Redcar Round the island
    Newcastle
    5.30 Duke of firenze
    6.00 Traveller
    7.30 Phantasmal
    7.30 Peachy Carnehan

    Colin

  6. well done those who had winners over the weekend. I’m enjoying the new layout, the content and also the rationale behind selections. Both from Josh and other contributors. Your chat with Martin C was a good read yesterday,

    I thought that was a good link on Saturday Josh where you put the showcase pointers on a seperate thread rather than cluttering the page. I also noted on Friday and Saturday, the showcase trainer pointers had winners in Frodon and Dr Newlands on Friday with both selections in the top three of Horse Race Base ratings. Frodon was a H1 and Dr Newlands a H3 I think. A possible angle there for the future? I dont know.

    Good luck this week everyone.

    1. Hi Paul,

      I’m still a bit miffed about what was going through my head from Thursday onwards! It really was poor – more pros than cons given how close I was, but to not land on any of the winners in the races I played in was more than disappointing. It just wasn’t good enough.
      Some of those stats did point the way – yep Frodon and Newlands on the trainer lists, and a couple of the ‘course winners’ angle also, Honest Vic on the trends shorlist for that race.
      That’s the worst weekend i’ve had for second guessing/changing my mind – it is fine calls at that end, but i’ve got every one wrong!

      It’s just painful as I reflect – hand on heart my initial picks/views were Rouge Vif, Cloth Cap/Frodon, Honest Vic/Champagne Court, Minella C and Nutswell was the initial/instinct pic

      I don’t know what’s gone through my mind with Rouge, not only leaving him but wading in with two others- I got too clever around 4s – he was miles clear top rated on HRB.

      As was Frodon – still not sure why I didn’t back both, influenced by Nicholls blog which was a bit silly and lesson now learnt there. I’ve no problem with the Cloth Cap pick but should have just had the pair.

      Honest Vic – well that was agonising over price, 7s. He’s his SP when I look, 12s, I know I back him – a Festival pick on his last run, I knew he shaped as if would relish the trip, yard in form, great record fresh, course form, 2nd rated HRB- again, too clever over price. As I have been with Minella C, stupidly agonising over the ground, despite his Donny run on soft, and it was fresh ground so wasn’t going to be a bog – he was miles clear Top HRB also. Yep – grim reading! Those HRB ratings, esp chasers, are a superb guide and i’ve ignored them all, trying to out smart them maybe like a fool.
      And Nutswell ensured a painful weekend that could have been glorious. I thought he’d out run his odds and on first flick through looked big at 16s, I dont’ know why I haven’t even done a 1/2 EW, for all that I then convinced myself there may be one or two better, but he had fitness onside also etc. Top 4 HRB!
      So, just woeful really, not to land on any. Close, but that only gets you so far!

      We trudge on 🙂
      At least Sandy has just had a winner to lift the mood – I was tad concerned a few were needing the run/not fully firing, but that winner has ended those doubts.
      Josh

  7. GORDON ELLIOT
    Noted horses from his large string running today –
    Homme D’Un Soir
    4g Hurricane Cat – Country Girl
    Simon Munir & Isaac Souede
    13-
    RPR 115b OR –
    He won his bumper at Gowran Park but got beaten next time in a messy six-runner
    bumper at Leopardstown. He’s jumping very well and we’re looking forward to
    getting him out soon.
    Curlew Hill
    5g Carlotamix – Flags Flying
    Noel and Valerie Moran
    414123
    RPR 132h OR –
    He ran well at Punchestown and then got beaten by a smart horse at Downpatrick
    when the ground was a bit soft for him.
    O Connell Street
    6g Fame And Glory – Victorine
    Vincent Caldwell & Mrs Kathleen Caldwell
    24/2-6
    RPR 112h OR –
    He got a bit tired on his first run for us at Limerick but he qualifies for a mark now
    and should be able to pay his way in handicaps.
    Milan Native
    7g Milan – That’s The Goose
    Gigginstown House Stud
    24221-1
    RPR 152c OR 149c
    He won well at Galway on his return and there’s a race at Navan in a few weeks for
    second-season novices which he might go to. There’s also a race at Wexford. Long
    term, I’m hoping he’d be a horse for the Nationals, either Aintree or Fairyhouse.
    Andy Dufresne
    6g Doyen – Daytona Lily
    JP McManus
    1/1/1213-
    RPR 150h OR 145h
    He’s schooled very well over fences and will be ready to start in the next week or ten
    days. We’ve viewed him as a chaser from day one and we’re really looking forward to
    seeing what he can do over a fence.

  8. Listened to the podcast fell, brilliant, if RS does go to the Galway Plate I think she`ll run well, your right though, always softish ground!

    1. Ha, thanks Stewart, glad you enjoyed it. I probably talked too much but it’s needs to be an interesting listen! I’ll put a link up in tomorrows post for others. we shall see if I get invited back!
      Yep, I can dream over Super- I also think, like a few others in my twitter circles, that The Topham would be ideal – i’m just not sure if we would put her over those fences, however safe they are now. Mares Chase will be initial target I suspect, free day out at the Festival with any luck! If things are more like normal then, we shall see.
      First, she can hack up on Wednesday on the sand,
      Josh

      1. Have you ever thought of having a podcast from peeps on here? I`m no expert, but, think the views from different perspectives of some of us old hats, may help some of the newbies with their picks? Only a thought and I suppose you`d have to get us all in a line for more than 10 minutes….

        1. hmm… well I have I suppose… I need to look at what ‘tech’ is required but nothing fancy – we just used skype for that one – i’ll ask the boys what they use etc – but yes, an RTP Punting Pointers podcast could be good – i’m sure Martin C would be keen, i’ve got Adam N to call on and we may do the odd thing. 3 works as a number, but yep, a review of the weekend inc punting pointers could work well for sure.

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