Members Daily Post: 18/09/20 (complete)

1.Tips

2.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

3.Other Micro Angles

4.Monthly Trainers (Jumps) 

5. Horses to Follow

6.Other/Updates

(Blog Content Explained: Updated:  Read HERE>>>)

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1.Tips

The Flat 2020

(163 tips/19 wins/56 places (inc wins) /+34.1 points, advised/ +29.4 Betfair SP) 

#1 – 4.15 Newb – Jash – 1 point win – 18/1 (SkyB/WH/UniB) UP, 4th, 8/1, -1

that’s all for today, as of 08.05, write up at bottom of post…

 

2.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

2.30 Newb – Mankayan (14/1< guide) H3 9/2

2.30 Newb – Dubai Future (10/1<) 6/1 2nd

5.20 Newb – Mayfair Pompette (14/1< guide) 12/1

5.20 Newb – Maurimo (any) (x2 angles) 9/1 UP

5.20 Newb – Idilico (9/1<) 40/1 ‘DNQ’ UP

 

3.Other Micro Angles

Jim Crowley (any)

1.20 Newb – Haajoos 11/10 UP

4.15 Newb – Jash 18/1 UP 8/1

Jack Mitchell (10/1< best)

5.10 Kemp – Daphene May  H2 6/1  WON 6/1 > 13/2 

5.40 Kemp -Araifjan H1 4/1 3rd

7.45 Kemp – Fraser Island H1 9/2 3rd

Kevin Stott

4.55 Ayr – George Ridsdale (16/1<) H3 10/3  3rd

Straight Track Specialists 

3.05 Newb – Genuflex 7/2 UP

3.05 Newb – Rhythm H1 11/2 UP

 

4.Monthly Trainers (Jumps) 

None.

 

5. Horses to Follow

Hot-Form

4.25 Ayr – Elysian Flame (from York race/1st run) H3 3/1 3rd

Losing Tips

2.30 Newb – Dubai Future (1st run) 6/1 2nd

2.30 Newb – Mankayan (3rd run) H3 5/1 

5.15 Catt – Gold Souk (1st run) 9/1 UP

 

6.Other/Updates

Ayr Day 2

David O’Meara (12/1< SP best) (0/18, 2p bigger)

4.55 – Blonde Warrior H4 8/1 UP

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Tips write up…

There’s not much to cheer at the moment given my current struggles but Really Super lifted the mood slightly. (as did Gary at Always Back Winners putting up True Blue Moon at 14-16s, taking his 1k-10k challenge back up to £2460 for the season. And I think he put him in a double with Super, happy days. Sadly I didn’t!) She’s an incredible horse ,the best i’ll ever have a share in I suspect so I’d best enjoy every moment. Her 6th win for us – her record in all handicaps for us now 6/22, 12p. How the boys picked her out from Ralph’s for just 22k, i’ll never know! She carted KS around the track for one further circuit after crossing the line, so safe to say she was back to herself after the Stratford blip. Amy working wonders again. Thankfully I decided against tipping her officially as such is my form, that gap wouldn’t have opened! 🙂 She was meant to lead/be prom but was slow away. A decent ride from there, and she was brave, against that kickback and barging her way through. The dream remains, as we still haven’t reached her ceiling in all codes, which is rather exciting.

I’ve left Ayr today – incorrect going descriptions are a part of this game over here, esp this time of year on the flat, so no point moaning about those/using as an excuse, but the times yesterday were a range of 6 to 13 seconds below standard – suggesting it was proper soft/hard work.  Haydock like accuracy! It’s rarely that bad a discrepancy, but how they’ve called it ‘good to soft’ i’ve no idea.  There was no wind. Maybe it was that drying ‘tacky’ ground, who knows. Although it didn’t seem to dry out/quicken up through the day. But those times were slow, across the board, all race types etc. And you generally needed to be on the pace, impossible to make up ground. It should be drying out through to tomorrow i’d have thought, unless it doesn’t drain that well, and i’ll work on the basis of it being good, and hope today’s times get a bit closer to standard. I’m not sure they’ll be any firm in the going on that evidence. Or maybe best to assume testing still?

Jash – one for the Crowley angle and probably not the sort to back when in a prolonged rut but connections must think there’s something there, and that one day he’ll build on his decent 2YO form. This operation are not afraid of gelding their colts but they still haven’t done so with him. Maybe they will after today. This looks an open race, everything with some sort of question. Maybe he’s just bang out of form but it’s his 3rd run back after 400+ days off. He was far too keen at Newcastle and no doubt needed it, 35 days off before that York run, going well for a time. Returns 12 days later here – maybe they’ve been building him up. Or he’s just fragile. I can hope this has been the plan. They now step him back up to 7f which they thought he needed as a 2YO and the ground should be faster than it was at York. The yard are flying and he’s one of only three in here proven at C1 level. The market will probably guide but at 18s I couldn’t resist throwing a dart to see if it clicks again, in these conditions. Maybe he’s been out of his comfort zone over 6f.  He should sit prominently and settled well LTO. Here’s hoping.

I’d put Glorious Journey WON as the most interesting of the rest at the prices.

For Saturday I’ll be focusing on the two sprint handicaps, 1-2 horses in each, 1 point win, as is my want. Any tips will be posted by 6pm today, and a video ‘walk through’ will follow by lunchtime. I’ll get Friday’s post, inc the Ayr Gold Cup trends pointers etc up by 10.30am

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

3 Comments

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  • A non runner and a loser on Thursday. Well done to Really Super, a nice drift to 8/1 and then came back in a bit!
    Two for Friday:
    1.45 Catterick, Fiveandtwenty – on a hat trick, has won in this class, course winner, will be up with the pace. 2 points win.
    5.20 Newbury, Maori Knight – drops in class here, has won in this class, go form the front, draw OK. 1 point each way.

    Good luck Martin

    Martin Colwell 17/09/20 8:45 PM Reply


  • Nothing from me today and maybe tomorrow as currently have no internet. Virgin media technical difficulties apparently. 🙁

    Warren bottomley 18/09/20 7:56 AM Reply


  • nothing much today just a few biggies for loose change,
    Ayr.
    2-10. The Flying Ginger 28-1
    3-20. Star In The Making 12-1
    3-55. Dark Defender 50-1
    4-55. Mustaqbal 18-1
    5-25. Forever A Lady 40-1

    martin whittle 18/09/20 9:42 AM Reply


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