Daily Members Post: 15/08/20 (complete)

Video, Tipsx4, Sat quals

1.Tips

2.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

3.Other Micro Angles

4.Horses to Follow

5.Other/Updates

(Blog Content Explained: Updated:  Read HERE>>>)

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1.Tips

The Flat 2020

(107 tips/17 wins/36 places (inc wins) /+82.6 points, advised/ +79.06 Betfair SP)

#1 – 4.00 Donc – Blackheath – 1 point win – 18/1 (gen) UP 12/1  -1

#2 – 5.00 Newm – Expressionism – 1 point win – 9/2 (bet365) 4/1 (WH/betV/Boyle) -1

#3 – 2.25 Newb – Overwrite – 1 point win – 9/1 (bet365) 8/1 (gen) 2nd, -1

#4 – 4.35 Donc – Lomu – 1 point win – 16/1 (gen) UP, -1

ALL TIPS x4 now posted, #1/2 at 8am, #3/4 at 9am…  14 minute video preview at bottom of post…

 

2.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

2.25 Newb – Jahbath (10/1< guide) H2 6/1 UP

2.25 Newb – King Carney (14/1< guide) 8/1 3rd

2.25 Newb – Tempus (any) 4/1 WON 4/1 

2.50 Donc – Rebel State (9/1<) 50/1 ‘DNQ’ UP

4.00 Donc – Diocles Of Rome (16/1<)  25/1 ‘DNQ’ UP

4.45 Newb – Shauyra (10/1< guide) 20/1 UP

5.00 Newm – Expressionism (any) H1 4/1 (10p R4) UP

5.55 Newb – Monjeni (9/1<) 18/1 ‘DNQ’

6.10 Donc – Mac Ailey (9/1<) 9/2

 

3.Other Micro Angles

Trainer/Sires

3.35 Newb – Threat (10/1< guide) 6/1

Jim Crowley (any)

2.25 Newb – Afaak H3 4/1 UP

K Stott

2.40 Newm – Black Caspian (16/1<) H3

5.00 Newm – Expressionism (16/1<) H1 4/1 (10p R4) UP

 

4.Horses to Follow

Losing Tips

2.25 Newb – Afaak (3rd run) H3 4/1 UP

2.25 Newb – Overwrite (3rd run) H4 9/1 2nd 

2.40 Newm – Dancing In The Woods (1st run) 14/1 2nd 

3.25 Donc – Serenading (2nd run) 9/1 2nd 

4.00 Donc – Blackheath (1st run) 18/1 UP

5.55 Newm – Monjeni (1st run) 18/1

Hot-Form

4.35 Donc – Lomu (3rd run) 16/1 UP

Eye-Catchers

6.00 Chep – Jumaira Bay (2nd run/sectionals) 4/7

 

5.Other/Updates

 

Tips… 14 minute video preview below…

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

25 Responses

  1. 0/2 Friday.

    Saturday picks at Newbury:

    3.00, Hukum – unexposed, improving, trainer in form. 1 point each way.

    3.35, Surf Dancer – won well last time out, trainer in form, distance winner. 1 point each way.

    5.55, Sula Island – won well last time out, has won in this class, distance winner, his trainer is good in this type of race. 1 point each way.

    Good luck Martin

  2. yesterdays c3+ 1 winner and 2 places. a bit naff….
    c4-5-6 across the cards had 3 winners highlight being militia at 5/1 which josh tipped. there were 8 placed horses including three hat day and jungle inthebungle both at 28/1.

    todays c3+ video replay list
    newbury
    13:50 jumby / guru
    14:25 king carney / modern millie / pride of america
    15:00 morando / max vega / alignak
    15:35 surf dancer / dream of dreams / breathtaking look

    doncaster
    16:00 tinker toy /magical wish / ghalyoon
    16:35 jonah jones / lomu / line of reason / machree

    newmarket
    14:40 black caspian / blackcastle storm / karibana
    15:50 teodalina / ventura diamond
    17:00 believe in love / table mountain / expressionalism

    my picks.
    PRIDE Of AMERICA E/W lightly raced 3yr old been over to france and ran a decent race last time out. last uk ride trip to far and back at a mile today which should suit. fairlty unexsposed and may have a bit more to come.

    MAX VEGA 12/1 well down the field in the derby when last seen. horse likes cut in the ground. 2 good performance last in the softer stuff including a very nice win in the zetland stakes (group 3). reproducing that form would put him in contention.

    no c4-5-6 list today but a few of horses i noted down.
    13:00 newmarket megallan. gosden trained has derby entry. noted for the owners colours
    (A E Oppenheimer) we dont see that often over here
    doncaster roger varian/jack mitchell + 36.75 last five years
    14:15 narum
    16:00 tinker boy
    over in Ireland
    12:55 zaffys pride
    14:30 equilove
    15:05 eshitaya.

    as always these are not tips i’m no tipster, i have a day job these are just my thoughts and observations.

    good luck today everyone 🙂

  3. Hi peeps got to be quick again.

    14:25 Newbury
    AFAAK 1pt win 4/1 gen ( top jock, worthy favourite, form impressive, one to beat on speed and RPR)
    JAHBATH 1pt win 13/2 (value of race, by no means pacesetter for fav, good form, could surprise, good speed also)

    15:15 Newmarket
    ENDOWED 1pt win 7/1 gen (wind op, 2yo form impressive, jockey in form, trainer does well with these type of horses)
    UGO GREGORY 1pt win 8/1 gen (thrown in at bottom of hcp, stable coming into form, value of race, rpr quite good also, bit of an unkown, but, value)

    15:35 Newbury
    THREAT 1pt win 11/2 gen (classy individual, needs to rekindle form, dropped in class, value at prices)
    SURF DANCER 1pt win 7/1 gen (improving 3yo, trainer at the course form, if the fav and threat falter this fella should win)

    As always, hope all horses and jockeys come back safe and sound and good luck with whatever you select today.

    1. Threat is in the sales at the end of this month. Perhaps there is something up with him and they are trying to get shot of? But why would they then run him here? I am against him anyway but we shall see.

      1. Hannon’s quote (bearing in mind they’ve thought he would have great chances every race so far. The last few words probably explain the sales entry…..

        ”I don’t think he ran too badly in the July Cup last time where he was close to the pace before getting short of room at a crucial stage and I’m not saying he would’ve won but may of finished a little bit closer. We aren’t ruling out sprint trips again but 7 furlongs could end up being his optimum and on what he shows at home I have no doubt the raw ability and talent is still there, so with that in mind I’m pretty hopeful he can run a much better race here. Pat has ridden him in plenty of work so knows the horse well. It’s D Day for him, really.”

  4. with nothing standing out as any sort of value this side of the Irish Sea i’m off to the emerald isle for hopefully some big price chances.
    Dundalk.
    1-55. War Hero 18-1, back on the aw after some pretty poor runs on turf, all 4 wins have come here and even though probably better over 7f thought it worth a go at the price. £3 ew
    4-15. A couple in this look interesting Sky Seven 25-1 and Tandem 20-1, both have won here on this surface in the past and below last winning marks. £2 ew on both
    Tramore
    6-45. Mandarin Monarch, won some ew money on him lto when 2nd @40-1 so will have another shot, hopefully the 8 left in will go off. Bugger as i write this the favourite has dropped out so just £1 win @ 16-1
    7-45. Flindt 33-1, noticed he won in this going and distance on my birthday last year so a silly £1 ew

  5. Ah Overwrite… You may get paid 1st past post but I’ll be shocked if he’s not chucked out there. Bugger. That interference prob has cost the winner. Still, a good bet, but think officially at least that will be a loser.

    1. That was Unlucky, may have hung left if stick was in the other hand, one of those and well done on that assessment Josh, spot on at end of day. Me, I’ll lick my wounds and wait for the jumps in Ireland.

      1. Well I had £2 e/w on it and after I posted this morning forgot about it. Wondered where the money had come from in my account. Was a nice suprise. 🙂

      1. Yep luck of the draw.. Ma few paid out, some didn’t, some refunded. A nice return if lucky enough but sadly can’t be officially declared this end.

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