Daily Members Post: 31/07/20 (complete)

Quals + Good/Galway pointers…

1.Tips

2.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

3.Other Micro Angles

4.Horses to Follow

5.Other/Updates

(Blog Content Explained: Read HERE>>>)

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1.Tips

(90 tips/14 wins/31 places (inc wins) /+71.8 points, advised/+70.05 Betfair SP)

NONE from me on Friday. GL with any bets. 

 

2.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

1.10 Good – Al Qaqaa (7/1< guide) 6/4 UP

1.55 Ponte – Isola Bella May (9/1<)  4/1 UP

2.45 Good – Montatham (10/1< guide) H1 13/2

4.20 Good – Zamaani (12/1< guide) H4 13/8 WON 13/8> Evens

 

3.Other Micro Angles

Sires/Breeding

2.55 Ponte – Boulevard Beauty (14/1<) 25/1 ‘DNQ’ UP

 

Jack Mitchell 

6.05 Wolv – Fast Spin 6/1 WON 6/1>11/4 

7.35 Wolv – Follow Intello 13/2

8.05 Wolv – Yorktown 18/1

 

4.Horses to Follow

Losing Tips

1.45 Good – Wasmya (1st run/UK)  20/1 UP

2.45 Good –

  • Afaak (2nd run) 25/1 3rd
  • Cardsharp (1st run) 16/1 UP
  • Vale of Kent (1st run) 8/1 UP

 

5.Other/Updates

Goodwood + Galway Micro Quals

(as per report HERE>>>)

Goodwood

Trainer/Jockey Combos

1.10 – First Impression

1.45 – Althiqa

2.45 – Vale of Kent

3.15 – Liberty Beach

 

Galway 

T Mullins (20/1<)

6.15 – Chavi Artist

Willie Mullins (any) 

7.15 – Blazer / Livelovelaugh

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Goodwood

Big Handicap Pointers

2.45

Trainers (to have won race last 12 years/with runners)

  • Montatham (trainer 12 year race record… 1/7,4p)
  • Urban Icon (1/6,3p)
  • Blown By Wind / Vale of Kent / Cardsharp (3/19, 8p)

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

19 Responses

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  1. No joy on Thursday – 0/3. After a good month a bad finish to it. I think that they should enter English King in The Stayers Hurdle next March, as the course and distance may give him a chance to get going before the race is over?

    I have four for Friday:
    1.45 Goodwood, Valeria Messalina – over from Ireland and her trainer is having winners. Frankie in the saddle. A winner in this class and has won at the distance. Draw is OK. 1 point each way.
    2.45 Goodwood, Prompting – has crept in at the bottom of the weights, looks a bit short in the market but is improving. 2 points win.
    4.20 Goodwood, Perotto – first run in a handicap, won well LTO but steps up in class here. Trainer in form, course winner. 1 point each way.
    8.05 Wolverhampton, Byron Hill – his trainer the Honorable Charlie Fellowes rates him highly and gets a gentle introduction here. Could be an each way steal? 1 point each way.

    Good luck Martin

  2. I know that I have mentioned this before but there must be an angle for Gary Moore runners on the flat? I did run him through reporting tools but could not come up with anything but????
    The 50/1 winner Thursday will skew things but he is a canny trainer and does not run horses for the fun of it.

    1. This angle seems promising
      Gary Moore handicaps 2015 onwards on turf
      8 furlongs or further, jockey has had 1,2 or 3 rides on horse previously and is the same jockey as last time out.
      horse age 3 or 4
      results are 17 / 55 +£77 SP +£105 BSP
      This didn’t pick yesterdays 50/1 but still worth keeping an eye on

  3. yesterday……..
    4 winners 2 seconds and 5 3rd places from the c3+ video replay list
    of my 3 picks FINALLY a winner a 50/1 a 20/1 close second and one thats still running as i type this (annoyingly i mentioned the winner)
    thanks to everyone that commented and i hope some of you had a few pence on them. 🙂
    i’m posting todays c3+ video list and picks early due to work commitments. even good days dont pay the bills.!
    pontefract
    15:25 squelch / where’s jeff

    goodwood
    13:10 al qaqaa / mafia power
    13:45 agincourt / breathtaking look / valeria massalina
    14:15 khaloosy / mystery power
    14:45 montatham / fox premier / baltic baron
    15:15 battash / al raya
    15:45 pablo escobarr / communique
    16:20 perotto / risque / porfin
    16:55 enoughisgoodenough / rhythm / ventura diamond
    my picks
    VALERIA MASSALINA E/W again hard to read irish form but another sent over from the harrington yard lightly raced been keeping good company narrowly beaton by rose of kildare last year who won the musidora easily this year. frankie on board he won with alpine star in coronation stakes earlier in the month add that to the narrow defeat yesterday of one voice in the nassau stakes makes me think her horses are going well. 10/1 looks good value in what i think will be a tight race.

    RISQUE/PORFIN E/W both out of the handicap. porfin all runs at 5f i think he needs 6f finished not to far behind Different face who second in the 16:45 yesterday yard showing a bit of form.
    Risque. Hannon seems to winning at any price at the moment. pitched in a couple of good races one of which was a group 2 and by looking at the results its not a group horse but then this is not a group race. again been running at 5f and judging by her win on the all weather she looked like she would of won by more if it was 6f. both get 6f today. if either of them have a turn of speed there low weight can do nothing but help. there are potentially some good horse at the top of the market and these two maybe a punt to far but at 20/1 and 33/1 why not, ive got a bit of spare change from yesterday. 🙂

    as allways good luck everyone.

      1. Cheers George not had time to watch any of today’s races yet to see how good or how bad they were lol 🙂

  4. Not having the fav in the 2.45.
    Sure it can go and win but short price at this track in a big field
    Interesting one’s are Afaak back down to last winning mark and blinkers on. Just hanging on at Ascot for big win but faster track may just hit the line faster than anything else here

    Also interseting if De Sousa has pick of horses and goes for Zwayyan
    Had a run out and did quite well in that but you’d hope he’d cone on for it and finishing fast. Hugley on the drift tho now wen iv just checked

    Do think most likely winner Sir Busker. Speed horse just obviously whether gets a break or a gap

    1. Would of liked Montatham but a tuff ride from out there
      Would also add that iv not been able to pick my nose this week so probly best ignoring all that

  5. Ascot list runners:
    12.25. Pont. Virginian Plane
    16.20. GD. Julie Johnston/Porfin/Risque/Rooster/Zamaani/
    16.30. Wolv. Bilandy/Zoetic
    16.55. Gd. Sarsaparilla
    17.55 Ling. Dream Chaser.

    No selections. My notes are Porfin will struggle to win. Zamaani possible improver. Bilandi was upset on debut and may improve…..Gd luck whatever you are backing today.

  6. *************************************************************************************************************
    LGB BAKERY = CHEF SPECIALS
    *************************************************************************************************************
    ****** NOT TIPS JUST ADDED SUPPLEMENTS TO YOUR BETTING DIET OF THE DAY ******
    *************************************************************************************************************
    3.05 Leopardstown 1 Kerandi = RUNS/HANDICAP SYSTEM (STILL WORKING ON THIS RECIPE ! )
    4.55 Goodwood RHYTHM / BEAUTIFUL NEWS / VENTURA DIAMOND
    6.05 Wolverhampton PALLAS DANCER = 4TBP PLACED ONLY FOR ME ON BF
    6.25 Lingfield SOVEREIGN BEAUTY / VIXEN / SIBERIAN NIGHT
    6.55 Lingfield FLUTTERSHY = TRAINER CKPCS RECIPE = 4TBP FOR ME
    7.05 Wolverhampton QUICKLY DOES IT = trainer / track / hcps recipe = 4TBP FOR ME
    ***********************************************************************************************************
    BAKERY’S JULY 1ST – 30TH INC
    569 BETS / 145 WINS / 25.48% WIN RATE / P/L SP = £ 31.72 / P/L BFSP = £ 121.04
    PLACED HORSES FROM 569 SELECTIONS = 50.01%
    WHAT ARIDE ..LOL 🙂 ……………. DON’T GIVE UP THE DAY JOB MY WIFE KEEEEEEPS TELLING ME ! 😉
    ***********************************************************************************************************

    ENJOY YOUR DAY ! 🙂
    LGB
    LIVE FROM LA LA LAND 😉

    1. Lord George take my hat off to you very good returns again, and thank you for recording and putting the results on the board, after 2 months of them being proved may take a closer look.
      Out of the 569 bets what was the longest losing run!
      Keep them coming George
      Cheers
      Colin

      1. Great strike rate mi amigo, if only the number of bets could be reduced! Five hundred plus bets would blow the top of my head off 🙂 50% placed is super impressive tho.

  7. today’s ew L15.
    LEOP 1-35 Funny Little Ways
    Good. 1-45. Valeria Mescalina
    Gal. 6-15 The Jam Man
    7-45. Cusp of Carabelli
    to late to put up Musharrif pont 1-25 , haven’t seen result

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