Tracker Tuesday: More Hot Form

 

Hot-Form Horses

Below are four more horses I’ve picked out who contested races this season that are already working out well. Their profiles and the form of said races suggests they ‘could’ be well handicapped and ready to strike soon. As always with any ‘Tracker Tuesday’ posts, those mentioned will be highlighted in the free to air Daily Members Posts for their next three starts, hopefully stopping at a winner. I personally use such horses as a ‘way in’ before further assessment of their chance, in the context of today’s race conditions/the opposition. 

You can watch a video of what I mean by ‘hot form’ and how I research it, HERE>>>

 

Makthecat

  • 4YO Bay Gelding
  • Trainer: Karl Burke
  • Hot form Race: 5th, Pontefract 15th June (8f, C4, Good, 11 runners)

 

This race is working out well with subsequent runners now 3/9, 5p, including the 2nd, 3rd and 7th winning on their next starts. It suggests this is a ‘hot’ race for the grade and that 72 is a workable mark for this lightly raced son of Makfi. He has since run again at Hamilton in a class 3 over a stiff 8.5f on Soft finishing 3rd. The first past the post was Hortzadar (90), disqualified for weighing in light, the promoted winner rated 89. There’s a chance the ground was soft enough, the competition too hot and also the yard have yet to truly fire with their turf horses this season.

He won a novice over 1m at Southwell suggesting that he may want further than that trip as a 3YO. Or he needs returning to the all-weather, but I’d be surprised if connections don’t find a handicap for him soon. He can be exuberant and could be worth trying in a hood.

 

Steadman

  • 2YO Bay Colt
  • Trainer: David O’Meara
  • Hot Form Race: 2nd, Yarmouth 3rd June (5f, C5, GF, 10 runners)

 

This horse hasn’t been seen again since and maybe he felt the quick ground, or they’re just taking their time with him. I thought I’d mention him even though he’s likely to be a short price, but if looking at the race you may recognise the horse who he chased home – The Lir Jet. He was purchased by Qatar Racing after this track-record breaking win and has since won The Norfolk Stakes. On paper then this run would suggest Steadman is above average and surely a winner in waiting. The 4th and 6th have both won since also, to give further substance to the form. Indeed it could well be a race to track, especially if you like your 2YO betting.

 

Mustaqbal

  • 8YO Bay Gelding
  • Trainer: M Dods
  • Hot Form Race: 4th, Pontefract 10th June (8f, C5, Good, 12 runners)

 

This handicapper is at the exposed end having had 48 career starts. However, this was a seasonal return of promise, keeping on to be beaten 4.6l. He was sent off 22/1 and ran better than those odds suggested he would. The 3rd there was Harry George who came into it rated 66 and has since won his next two. The 7th and 11th have also won since. So, for a C5 handicap there’s some substance there. He’s arguable best with some cut in the ground also… in turf handicap on Good / Good to Firm he’s 1/24, 6p. With some cut, Good to Soft or worse he’s 4/20, 9p. He ran here off 68 which puts him within winning range – he’s 5/14, 9p when rated 61-70, 0/30, 9p when rated 71+. This run suggests Dods will find a race for him this season, although will need to be well placed as he’ll obviously be open to attack from more progressive legs.

 

Casina di Notte

  • 6YO Chestnut Gelding
  • Trainer: M Botti
  • Hot Form Race: 4th, Yarmouth 3rd June (7f, C5, firm, 10 runners)

 

This 22 raced handicapper (but only 2/8, 4p on turf vs 0/14 4p on the AW) arrived here on a mark of 72, his last win coming four starts back off 70 (- 3lb claim) and shaped well, and if he’d come on for it. He split two subsequent winners here, Golden Force winning off 75 NTO and Global Hope winning off 69.  He’s 2/5,4p at Yarmouth and 2/4 on Good to Firm. Both career wins to date when returning within 30 days and small fields (7< runners) he’s 2/5,5p. This run and the subsequent form suggests his turn may not be far away, especially if returned to Yarmouth and maybe with another decent claimer doing the steering.

 

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

3 Comments

You can post comments in this post.


  • I’d made a mental note, when they ran, of the two Ms but the others had yet to catch my eye. However, anything trained by Marco is always going to be of interest as he quietly goes about his business and places his team carefully.

    Chris 08/07/20 11:20 AM Reply


  • Hi Josh
    I have both geegeez and horserace base and can’t get my head
    around the hot form races and how to find the best races, but
    thanks to you I have found it a lot easier to use over the last
    couple of hours, so thanks for the help it’s much appreciated
    Cheers,have a good day
    Dave

    David Whitehead 08/07/20 3:52 PM Reply


    • Hi Dave,

      No problem, glad you found the video etc of some use.

      Hot form is a decent weapon in the armoury – but yep interpreting it and then using it for horse X is then the tricky part! Esp in the context of today’s race etc – I like the idea that such ‘hot form’ indicates a horse was running in a race with other horses that were either coming to the boil and/or are well handicapped – giving hope that horse X could also be well handicapped, and won’t always be pitched into such ‘hot races’ if well placed.
      I remain hopeful that my ‘hot form’ horses may work as a systematic portfolio for next 3 starts/stop at a winner, but that awaits to be seen! It’s a fun research process though and I enjoy it.

      Josh

      Josh 08/07/20 4:28 PM Reply


Post A Reply