1.Tips

2.Monthly Trainers

3.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

4.Other Micro Angles

5.Horses to Follow

6.Other/Updates

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1.Tips

None today. I’ve had a flick through the Newc Sires quals below, hopefully one or two winners there but just too much educated guesswork required for serious punting imo, esp given some of the prices / race types. Stone Mason hasn’t been missed – he could be an 80s horse in the making given his form and development since last season. I suspect he’s just taken time. But I don’t know if he’s a1 and the track is an unknown. I’d want a bigger price- for me I sort of hope he blows up 1f out/hates the surface, and may be a bigger price NTO. But he could sluice up, as could any of the others given their unexposed profile. Zoran is interesting at the prices and should enjoy this trip/stamina test, given how he’s run to date. Palmer does well at the track, in non-hncps (1/2,2p in maidens here last 730 days) and with horses returning after a break. His last race has yet to work out that well but his experience may count for plenty. He will of course get a mark after this run though, and maybe hncps are the aim. The market suggests there are two well fancied ones to beat, so we shall see. Those other Newmarket trainers represented do well in maidens here also (messrs Gosden, Varian and Crisford) but I suspect we could see a career best run today from Zoran, and that could be enough. It will be interesting to see if his price keeps shortening. 

Anyway, racing returns, and if you’re getting seriously involved, good luck! I’ll have eyes on those below to note anything for the future, some beer money on Zoran EW for interest, and an eye on runners from my 15 ‘Trainer Profiles’ trainers, for any hints and clues moving forwards. 

2.Monthly Trainers

None, they’ll return in September.

3.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

None, no turf racing.

4.Other Micro Angles

Newcastle Sires (20/1< SP)

(1/4,1p, +2.5)

1.00 N – Stone Mason 11/8 UP (a bit disappointing, and jockey didn’t use fitness as an excuse post race- maybe he does have a niggle, but a question now, as not first time he’s travelled strongly and found little for pressure)  

1.00 N – Heavenly Tale 9/2 UP

3.55 N – Oakenshield 5/1 WON 5/1

6.15 N – Zoran H3 14/1 UP 8/1 (faded into 4th, having been fresh enough, in the right spot. Decent run and right horses beat him, has races in him soon on that evidence I think) 

5.Horses to Follow

Hot Form

1.00 N – Stone Mason (1st run) 11/8 UP

6.Other/Updates

You can read the ‘My Plan’ Post HERE>>> (which gives info on all the above/content plans moving forwards)

And also now a video intro…

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Newcastle… my twitter community, and those who do plenty of AW punting, tell me that when it’s hot, Newcastle, (like all AW tracks) becomes very slow/testing, as the wax melts , opening up the surface (any rain makes it quicker etc). And that when it is slow, it can sometimes pay to be closer to the pace, as it’s much harder to come from further back. Whether that rings true, we shall see! Of course that would also indicate they’re ‘summer’ and ‘winter’ Newcastle form, and one horse could relish one, but hate the other.

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