Daily Members Post: 01/06/2020 (complete/video)

1.Tips

2.Monthly Trainers

3.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

4.Other Micro Angles

5.Horses to Follow

6.Other/Updates

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1.Tips

None today. I’ve had a flick through the Newc Sires quals below, hopefully one or two winners there but just too much educated guesswork required for serious punting imo, esp given some of the prices / race types. Stone Mason hasn’t been missed – he could be an 80s horse in the making given his form and development since last season. I suspect he’s just taken time. But I don’t know if he’s a1 and the track is an unknown. I’d want a bigger price- for me I sort of hope he blows up 1f out/hates the surface, and may be a bigger price NTO. But he could sluice up, as could any of the others given their unexposed profile. Zoran is interesting at the prices and should enjoy this trip/stamina test, given how he’s run to date. Palmer does well at the track, in non-hncps (1/2,2p in maidens here last 730 days) and with horses returning after a break. His last race has yet to work out that well but his experience may count for plenty. He will of course get a mark after this run though, and maybe hncps are the aim. The market suggests there are two well fancied ones to beat, so we shall see. Those other Newmarket trainers represented do well in maidens here also (messrs Gosden, Varian and Crisford) but I suspect we could see a career best run today from Zoran, and that could be enough. It will be interesting to see if his price keeps shortening. 

Anyway, racing returns, and if you’re getting seriously involved, good luck! I’ll have eyes on those below to note anything for the future, some beer money on Zoran EW for interest, and an eye on runners from my 15 ‘Trainer Profiles’ trainers, for any hints and clues moving forwards. 

 

2.Monthly Trainers

None, they’ll return in September.

 

3.Trainer Profiles 2020: The Flat

None, no turf racing.

 

4.Other Micro Angles

Newcastle Sires (20/1< SP)

(1/4,1p, +2.5)

1.00 N – Stone Mason 11/8 UP (a bit disappointing, and jockey didn’t use fitness as an excuse post race- maybe he does have a niggle, but a question now, as not first time he’s travelled strongly and found little for pressure)  

1.00 N – Heavenly Tale 9/2 UP

3.55 N – Oakenshield 5/1 WON 5/1

6.15 N – Zoran H3 14/1 UP 8/1 (faded into 4th, having been fresh enough, in the right spot. Decent run and right horses beat him, has races in him soon on that evidence I think) 

 

5.Horses to Follow

Hot Form

1.00 N – Stone Mason (1st run) 11/8 UP

 

6.Other/Updates

You can read the ‘My Plan’ Post HERE>>> (which gives info on all the above/content plans moving forwards)

And also now a video intro…

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Newcastle… my twitter community, and those who do plenty of AW punting, tell me that when it’s hot, Newcastle, (like all AW tracks) becomes very slow/testing, as the wax melts , opening up the surface (any rain makes it quicker etc). And that when it is slow, it can sometimes pay to be closer to the pace, as it’s much harder to come from further back. Whether that rings true, we shall see! Of course that would also indicate they’re ‘summer’ and ‘winter’ Newcastle form, and one horse could relish one, but hate the other.

 

 

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35 Comments

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  • We are back! I am going to have a go and concentrate on course form for horses and trainers and class form of horses at Newcastle for a first day back each way Yankee. Bet365 prices as I post.

    1.00, Zodiakos 25/1;
    1.35, Indian Viceroy 33/1;
    2.45, Electric Mistress, 20/1;
    3.20, Brian The Snail 7/1.

    Keeping it simple to start with and we will see how things evolve.

    Good luck Martin

    Martin Colwell 31/05/20 7:33 PM Reply


    • Blimey. Good call sir (Zodiakos). His record after a break certainly stood out. Shame I’ve only just read this!

      Philip Talbot 01/06/20 12:16 PM Reply


    • Credit where credit is due wd 🙂 nice e/w yankee for the lgb merci 🙂

      George B 01/06/20 2:27 PM Reply


    • Simplicity is genius Martin! Or something like that. Well done, top shooting.

      Josh 01/06/20 2:31 PM Reply


      • Yes, excellent picking Martin, the break has done you good 🙂

        Mark Curtis 01/06/20 3:10 PM Reply


    • Shame electrical mistress didn’t win but you did very well

      Thomas Brooks 01/06/20 5:28 PM Reply


    • Hey Martin…..what a great piece of tipping.
      Well done.
      What is happening tomorrow?

      Ash 01/06/20 6:47 PM Reply


    • Great selections Martin, so pleased I logged in this morning and saw this.

      Steve Goodall 01/06/20 8:01 PM Reply


  • My selections, why not could be anything today.

    Treble
    1.00 Stone Mason
    1.35 Mutasaamy
    5.40 Frankly Darling

    Gosden Double
    5.05 Good Tidings
    6.15 Byzantine Empire

    Single
    2.10 Blazing Hot

    Good Luck everyone.

    Mike

    Michael Dennis 01/06/20 8:33 AM Reply


  • furloughed with plenty time on my hands.
    £1 Patent
    3.55 Shoot to kill
    4:30 Be proud
    5:5 Alignak

    Ian 01/06/20 9:01 AM Reply


  • ON THE BRIDLE

    4.30 Newcastle Queen of Kalahari prices via Sportsworld

    Just the one bet for me today
    Colin

    cleafe 01/06/20 9:21 AM Reply


    • WD Colin excellent pick 🙂

      George B 01/06/20 3:35 PM Reply


  • Hope Ben Curtis can start with a win, top jockey at Newcastle, Al Ozzdi 15/2 looks value against the fav

    James Barker 01/06/20 9:54 AM Reply


    • So close, halved in price, travelled the best, just touched off by stablemate!

      James Barker 01/06/20 12:19 PM Reply


  • For what its worth I have a Patent for today of: 2.10 Freedom Flyer @ 9/2 – 3.55 Rock Of Diamonds @ 4/1 – 4.30 Be Proud @ 6/1 all taken on Saturday obviously with BOG… Mutasaamy looks a good thing in the 13.35 also but price is no good so left alone.
    Best of luck to you all today and its just great to be back.
    Regards
    Tom

    Tom Kenyon 01/06/20 10:19 AM Reply


  • REST O’WANT OV WINNERS
    *****************************
    TAPAS MENU FOR TODAY :
    Not many qualifiers yet for my Ovens to turn out ? 🙁
    But my definite positives today are :
    5.40 Newcastle 3 Dream With Me (IRE) e/w
    5.40 Newcastle 11 Frankly Darling
    Both these are Frankel progeny and he has already had winners at this c/d …… can’t help thinking the M johnston one is better value e/w f/c ??
    6.15 Newcastle 7 Valyrian Steel (IRE)
    Sire good at this c/d
    Looks like it it could be the Frankel off spring day ? 🙂
    Have fun ……………….let the good times flow !!
    cheers
    lgbster
    shout out to the mc crew ! 🙂 where are ya ? 🙂

    George B 01/06/20 11:06 AM Reply


    • Ah, less can be more Mr B!! 🙂 GL today, as always.

      Josh 01/06/20 11:08 AM Reply


    • Well done and great call about Frankel.

      Ash 01/06/20 6:45 PM Reply


      • A Good start for you GB, well done 🙂

        Mark Curtis 01/06/20 8:45 PM Reply


    • Great stuff as always George

      Leif Collins 01/06/20 9:56 PM Reply


  • My ew lucky 15
    13:00 muatadel
    15:20 tathmeen
    15:55 written broadcast
    17:05 makawee

    Good luck everyone!

    Leif Collins 01/06/20 11:33 AM Reply


    • Nice to hear from you Leif .. hope all good in your patch of the lock down woods ? 🙂 …set those winners free !! glt (Good luck Today :))
      rgds
      lgb 🙂

      George B 01/06/20 11:37 AM Reply


      • Greetings GBster, Leif and other old virtual chums, it’s been a long time

        I too like Heavenly Tale in the First but what’s the odds on the first winner back being a coincidence bet in the shape of Curfewed?!

        Also like Good Tidings in the 5.05 – but obvs not a day for proper punting. Mrs MC and I celebrate our 35th Wedding anniversary today so will not have time for proper study as would get the thick end of the rolling pin

        Good luck to all it’s fantastic to be back.

        Mark Curtis 01/06/20 11:57 AM Reply


        • your quality sandy input is always worth waiting for my friend 🙂 glt and heap load of felicitations for today and your anniversary ..treat mrs mc well ..or even to a winner 🙂

          laterz mon frite
          lgb 🙂

          George B 01/06/20 12:00 PM Reply


          • Thanks george and mark good to hear from you both. I’m hoping lockdown was the refresh I needed but time will tell! Glad to have George’s kitchen back cooking out some winners with any luck! Hopefully you’ll be serving them up too Mark!

            Leif Collins 01/06/20 1:29 PM Reply


  • Thanks for your thoughts in your video, look foward to more as racing progresses and gives more stats for picking purposes. Just a few small bets today, more of a watching brief. The usual following of B Curtis, O Murphy and L Morris. Good luck, let the enjoyment begin!

    Dave Andrews 01/06/20 11:47 AM Reply


  • blimey looks Roger Fell has not let up in the break .. 1st 2nd and 4th i think in da 1st 🙂 ??

    George B 01/06/20 12:08 PM Reply


  • And the first winner from Josh’s Sires shortlist, nice one!

    Mark Curtis 01/06/20 3:12 PM Reply


  • RTP!!! Martin on fire and one of Josh’s Newcastle Sires goes in too!!

    Happy day 🙂

    Nigel Clark 01/06/20 3:12 PM Reply


  • Well done Josh, Nice start for newcastle sires

    jamesm 01/06/20 3:14 PM Reply


  • Well done Colin nice one in ONTHE BRIDLE, can you refresh my memory is ONTHE BRIDLE a new name for ARUBA or one of you other like TipTop. Long time ago since we played. Gordon

    Gordonfr 01/06/20 3:47 PM Reply


    • Hi Gordon
      ON THE BRIDE is the same method as Aruba, but after 1 month in December realized that i had got the starting rules wrong, after 25 years of laying dormant wonder why, and quickly sorted them out for January, to market and sell it when successful could not continue with the Aruba name people have long memories.
      Jan + 37.5 level stakes win only
      Feb – 0.5
      Mar + 31.5 last bet 13 March
      Have to be honest Gordon do not know how long i will be able to put them up for said before cannot back with bookmakers so i have gone down the advisery route for i need an income.

      Tip Top is already being used as an advisery service so this will not surface again.
      Still reviewing some more old methods, one is called Victory which i started putting up on RTP on 14 Feb and the last bet was on 14 March and in that time is + 36.66 to level stakes win only.
      Colin

      cleafe 01/06/20 5:17 PM Reply


  • Excellent work from the Leafemeister, back with a bang, many thanks.

    Mark Curtis 01/06/20 3:53 PM Reply


  • A big hello and a huge WELL DONE to Josh and his merry band of tipsters. Well done guys on the first day back and thankyou all for taking the time and trouble to post your tips.
    Best wishes, Tom.

    Tom Murgatroyd 01/06/20 7:56 PM Reply


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