Micro Monday: 17/02/20

Festival Report Update 3 >>>

For the next few weeks the Micro Monday posts will focus at The Cheltenham Festival. 

Firstly, you can find last year’s report HERE>>>

The link below looks ahead to this year’s Festival, firstly with a look at the four trainers who’ve won 46% of races at the meeting in the last decade. I’m sure you can guess who they are! 

This is ‘update 3’ and includes pointers for Gordon Elliot and Paul Nicholls and all Festival 2020 research to date.



NOTE: Just to note that all stats in this report are from HorseRaceBase and the stats never accounts for a horse’s runs outside of UK/Ireland. 


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4 responses

  1. An excellent piece of work.

    What about horses that qualify for a festival handicap by going up in the weights in February through finishing position of fifth or better in a race?

    Also what about, in novice races rather than handicaps, horses that have their first run under rules in this country in February and then run at the festival?

    Just a couple of ideas.

    1. Thanks Martin.

      They’re very specific requests! 🙂 I don’t think HRB is sophisticated enough for such researching things but i’ll take a look!Have you read something somewhere for such ideas to come to you or you’ve been spending plenty of time pondering?? Albeit i’m not sure I quiet understand the first idea?

      I was still in trainer mode for this week’s additions, but will add to the micros also using last year’s as a guide- although 10 was probably too many given I like to post the quals etc

      1. I was listening to the podcast of the Cheltenham preview at Ascot on Saturday after racing on a dog walk today.
        Paul Nicholls mentioned that Greanateen had now crept into the handicap for a race at the festival and looked to be well in and that he also had a french import called Solo running this week for the first time, who he liked very much and may go for the Triumph.
        That sparked the thought of such angles.

        Nicholls said he liked Sir Psycho at 20/1 for The Triumph.

        He also said that he was going to try to qualify Danny Kirwan for the festival this week in a race.

        1. Ah ok, very good use of a dog walk!

          handicap weights etc are not out for a few days more? and I assume Greanateen is being lined up for Close Brothers- in fairness i’m don’t know qualifying for that, and whether it’s an early cut off? But I didn’t think it’s like the Grand National etc – he was rated 147 when dotting up in that Fakenham Novice, so I cant think he’s getting into the Close Brothers which has a ceiling of 145 – unless you get in beforehand but i’m sure that race doesn’t work like that but I could be wrong! Unless he means another handicap which would be quite a test for him. But good to know he thinks he’s well handicapped.

          The pertemps has a qualifying element obviously, being in top 6/8 in various qualifiers, but even then you can have to hope you get in, depending on what top weight is etc and all of that is TBC – so you’re always educated guessing a bit. The other handicaps – well if you think your horse may not get in, only way to try to is actually win a race and go up in ratings that way? Not sure about that top 5 point. But maybe i’m showing some naivety there.

          His french imports always worth a look, I prefer when they run at Festival for first time in a handicap/first run in UK, had a couple of biggies go in.

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