Members Daily Post: 11/02/20 (complete)

A quiet day >>>

1. My Tips

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

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Both jumps meetings have been abandoned so nothing from me in the main post on Tuesday. 

This week’s Micro Monday post is HERE>>> , and Tracker Tuesday will follow by Tuesday lunchtime. 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

17 Responses

  1. AW T/T

    4.20 N Nataleena…B Haslam Hcp…5/2
    4.50 N Calevade…B Haslam Hcp…5/2
    5.50 N Epeius…B Haslam Hcp…20/1
    6.20 N Dream Game…B Haslam Hcp…11/2
    7.50 N Blindingly…B Haslam Hcp…11/1
    Silver Dust…R Fahey T/J…5/1
    Chosen World…J Camacho…14/1

    Mike

    1. Thanks Mike,

      For anyone interested and with a large pinch of salt… I’ve had a look through those for interest, we shall see if my subjective AW eyes are any good but I thought Silver Dust at 5s may be most interesting of those, possibly an EW bet to nothing with 1/5, 4 places – still a maiden, drop back in class, back in trip, and when he last ran over CD in Nov in same class that was off 71 (only 4 starts back, 65 today) and 43 day break, 2/ 1/4 L 4th and the front 2 have won a few since, decent race for grade. Tracks pace etc. So, we shall see – i’ll have an interest EW dabble on him for beer money. Obv Haslam will have a treble now 🙂
      Chosen World has halved in price so no doubt got him wrong! 67 day break niggled at me at 6s, but won’t begrudge the stats a 14s>6s winner!

  2. No bet from any of my Methods today

    Conditions terrible today snowing and high winds already, the high winds can spook the horses,let alone the noisy rattling stalls, could also be N/Rs later in the day, also the AW could be off later, so from my point of view not worth the risk of betting today.
    Colin.

  3. North American racing.

    No joy yet, 0/8, but it is a long term profit project.

    The selections for this evening will be posted around 5 PM as we need to run things a bit earlier today.

    1. Not sure short term profit projects exist in this game Martin!! 🙂 My word, February is proving tough for plenty in my tipping sphere at the moment, losing runs a plenty. That’s the game mind. Onwards.

    2. North American Racing for Tuesday.

      Mahoning Valley race 2, 6.12 UK, Secretariats Honor 20/1 Bet365.

      Philly Park race 2, 6.22 UK, Hibachi 15/2 Bet365.

      Philly Park race 8, 9.04 UK, Keeping The Pace 5/1 Bet365.

      Turf Paradise race 8, 11.25 UK, prices not available yet, will post later.

      Good luck.

  4. MONTHLY GUEST TIPS (Feb: 0/19,2p = -22.6)

    (email received 12pm)

    Recommended:

    6:20 Newc – 2pts win Dream Game @ 9/1 (general)
    7:50 Newc – 1pt e/w win Kind Review @ 10/1 (general – 4 places)

    Total staked 4pts

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    Newcastle and Chelmsford will be propping things up in Britain on Tuesday after proposed meetings at Lingfield and Ayr over the sticks bit the dust without even the agony of a morning inspection. The latter meeting features the Peter Andre Ladies’ Day Handicap as one of its features which seems warning enough to give the Essex venue a wide berth whenever that might be. The obvious ones there are already very short, however, and I can see better pickings, or at least longer odds, at Newcastle.

    Le Musee (4:20 Newcastle) had his last jumps run in the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury, and is a horse who has improved markedly in the winter game for Nigel Hawke, but his Flat rating lags a long way behind his jumps figure, and he was able to take full advantage with a facile victory in handicap company at Southwell recently. The son of Galileo won by 4¾ lengths from subsequent hurdles winner Bolt N Brown, and the margin could have been doubled.

    He has been raised 4lb for that success, and that seems nowhere near enough given the race has thrown up two subsequent winners, but more because he promises to be seen to even better effect with his stamina drawn out further. He has the right run style for Newcastle, and looks capable of running up a sequence given the discrepancy between his Flat and jumps ratings.

    Dream Game (6:20 Newcastle) is a filly I’ve been waiting for in handicaps, and although it’s a tad disappointing that she ran so well in defeat here on her final qualifying run, thereby alerting many more to her latent ability, and slightly spoiling the chance of getting a lenient mark, she still looked rough around the edges and appeals as the type to rate much higher with experience, The daughter of Brazen Beau caught the eye on her first two starts, when showing bright speed after starting slowly, and she did so again last time, getting away better and disputing a strong pace with the front pair in the betting, eventually getting the best of the argument only for one who had been ridden off the pace to pounce late and cost her a deserved victory.

    Dream Game has Coast Ofalfujairah to pull her into this contest, and if she can settle just a little better than she has been doing, then she can be the pouncer rather than the pounce on this occasion.

    The Bombardier Golden Beer Handicap is not without its intrigue, but I’m hopeful that Kind Review (7:50 Newcastle – Nap) can go close to winning having had the benefit of an encouraging comeback run over a mile here last month. The son of Kodiac cost Godolphin £125,000 as a yearling, but was resold to current connections just over 12 months ago for just £800. He has clearly needed time, and a personal touch, but shaped pretty well for Tracy Waggott in two handicaps last year, finishing clear of the others when third at Carlisle in July, and then finishing a close fifth of 12 at Redcar, when the first three home occupied the lowest stalls. He was a little buzzy on his return here last month, and racing freely in front is not ideal at Newcastle, but he still found some improvement to be third to Curfewed, just behind stablemate Proceeding.

    Proceeding was an easy winner of a similar handicap next time, and Kind Review has arguably more scope to progress, and its encouraging to note that the Waggott stable has had five winners, and as many placed runners from just 23 runners on the Flat since the start of November, all of them at this venue.

    Regards,

    Rory

      1. I was dreading I’d cursed Rory but that’s the value game and how he plays it. A +30 day as advised, and he was +14 or so in Jan so back to not looking too bad now. Hopefully he can add plenty more in the rest of the month, time will tell.

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