Members Daily Post: 31/01/20 (complete)

Section 2 (x1), test zone

1.My Tips

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

*

1.My Tips

Daily Chase Tips Main (2019: 24/165, 49p +16.8 ) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 6/99,27p, -45.8,)

Daily Chase Tips: Main (2020: 1/23,4p, -19)

(handicap chases, 2m7f+, C4+)

None.

 

Best of The Blog? (test: 1/12, 6p; -3.5)

None.

 

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

JUMPS

Catterick

4.10 – Gabriel Oak (micro class) 16/1 S2A

 

Chepstow

2.55 – Cock A Doodle Doo (m dist) 14/1 

3.25 – Looks Like Power (all Hc’s) 16/1 S2A

 

*

Please Read: All information regarding the members club and how to engage in the content, inc Videos. Inc contact info, research articles and much more can be found HERE>>>

*

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Chase Angles 2019/20

LTO Winning Starting Point (12/1<) 

3.40 Catt – Alohamora  H1 G1 I3 8/11 

 

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

February Guest Tipster: Info/Intro HERE>>>

Trends Thursday Post HERE>>>

*

 

 

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on telegram
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

18 Responses

  1. Dissapointed with Pop Rockstar
    Thought he’d be going well into the finish looking such a strong traveller in previous wins
    Do spend quite a bit of time looking back at races and trying to find reasons for a poor run but can’t be explained every time I suppose

    Look ahead to Dublin at the weekend now

    1. hmm, he’s running as if he’s got issues at the moment, and the market seemed to know as much – did have a breathing op after Chelt, maybe he’s still choking/feeling something inside – hard to know, as he was beat a long way out – he has hurdles form on soft/heavy, but maybe he wants better ground over fences- certainly may help with breathing. Who knows, but then again we backed a hold up horse around that CD so probably deserve what we got!
      How I thought Cyclop had the class to trap along in a race like that I’m not quite sure, although he ran as if amiss.

      Kings Writ should have a make all victory in him on that evidence, maybe slight drop back in trip and back to Exeter.

      ‘In-form’ eyes would have had Worthy Farm onside there, maybe a coin toss whether blinkers would work again but 5s for a coin toss is quite good in hindsight! I’ve gone chasing the spectacular again (I’m just hearing Colin tutting as I re read my ‘4/1< hncp chase' research)- he was entitled to do that, based on his RPR for his win LTO - 136, hncp mark up from 125>130, lightly raced, promo racer (well not HU type), Harry on, PN in form – he was also so strong in various HRB ratings/Inform Speed LTO etc – everything hinted that on paper that run was good, oh and hit some stats angles – I’m trying to chase the biggie too much, and he should have been onside given every box he ticked. He lacked ‘hot form’ as such, but then nothing else really had any of that from recent runs either and all the ‘numbers’ made up for that. Apparently he’s been out Hunting to keep his mind on the job/fresh.
      If I owned Broadclyst I’d move him to a better chase trainer – he ‘let form down’ although he clearly resented CP and didn’t handle Warwick at all to my eyes LTO but his form has been boosted there. The rest have a few issues at moment but you wonder if some of the trainers have concluded they need to get their marks down.
      A big weekend ahead.

  2. AW T/T
    No Winners Thursday.

    3.15 L Sky Defender…M Johnston T/J…9/4
    5.45 N Silver Dust…R Fahey T/J…9/1
    6.15 N Castlehill Retreat…B Haslam Hcp…2/1
    Been Bobbied…R Fahey T/J…7/1
    6.45 N Forever Mine…B Haslam Hcp…6/1

    Mike

  3. one selection for today,
    Catterick 4-10. Gris De Pron 10-1 1/2 pt ew.
    one that came so close to a selection apart from weight is Bob Ford 8-1 Chepstow 4-00 and i’m having a half normal stake in case he can lug top weight around at 13.

  4. After hitting the post twice yesterday, let`s see how today’s fare..
    TEST ONLY
    14:55 Chepstow
    SUMMITLIKEHERBIE 1pt win 5/1 Hills
    GOODGIRLTERESA 1pt win 8/1 gen
    15:25 Chepstow
    JUGE ET PARTI 1pt win 8/1 gen
    SILVER KAYF 1pt win 16/gen
    16:00Chepstow
    CAVOK 1pt win 6/1 gen
    BILL AND BARN 1pt win 9/2 gen

    TEST ONLY at the moment, will be back tomorrow with some mouth watering races at Leopardstown and Sandown.

    1. Apologies if anyone followed me in, think they are still lost in the mist….as always this was a test that shows I’m way off the mark at the moment! Back to the write ups tomorrow! Again, apologies!!

  5. ARUBA
    2.35 Catterick Reve 10/3

    FAVOURED
    1.00 Catterick Black Abbey 3/1
    7.15 Newcastle Blackcurrent 5/1

    COLINS BETS/ TIP TOP/ MAX BETS
    No bets
    Colin

  6. Hi all,

    Kiss of death coming up but here are my bets for today, good luck all.

    My logic is all on form, liking the ground, handling distance and how strong is the competition. I don’t post that often, watch this lot fall out the back of the TV lol

    13:20 C Springfield Fox
    14:20 C Mercian Knight
    14:55 C On the Road and Summit Like Herbie
    16:00 C Top and Drop
    16:30 C Unohu

    Cheers,
    Nige C

  7. As a ‘bonus’ and a day early, given it’s quiet from me – Racing Consultant’s tips >> received in my inbox at 11.45, posted 15 mins after >>>

    Recommended:

    3:25 Chep – 2pts win Le Cameleon @ 3/1 (Bet365, BetVictor, Unibet)
    7:15 Newc – 1pt win Amelia R @ 25/1 (general)

    Total staked 3pts

    ——————————————–

    Le Cameleon (3:25 Chepstow) looks an excellent bet to prove himself well handicapped in the Johns Electrical 1989 Handicap Hurdle at the Monmouthshire track. The selection is by far the least exposed in the field, and while the form of his recent course win is open to question, my reading of it is that he was much better than the bare result having been held up in a race run at a slow pace.

    Chepstow may get pretty deep in the winter, but its reputation as a course which suits stayers has more to do with the Martin Pipe era that it has with current facts. The truth is that it’s difficult to make ground from off the pace at the undulating track, and that was exacerbated in La Cameleon’s case by a tendency to race very freely. He will settle better off a stronger pace, which he will get here, and although there are plenty of runners, hardly any are on the upgrade, and normal improvement, allied to a better position in the race, should see him come home in front.

    There’s not much to interest me at Newcastle, at least until the last race, where I can see a sudden return to form for one who ought to be a big price. Amelia R (7:15 Newcastle – Nap) is the one I fancy to make a mockery of recent form in the (in)appropriately titled Heed Your Hunch at Betway Handicap. The Ray Craggs owned and trained mare has a fair level of ability, but tends to down tools when the going gets tough, which has led to some comprehensive recent defeats. It’s also seen her mark drop sharply, and she has quickly fallen below her last winning mark, which came when responding well to a positive ride to land a 0-60 event at Nottingham in July.

    Amelia R has struggled off higher marks and in largely better races since, but the latest drop for her non-staying effort over 7f here last time means she can drop to 0-50 class, and this race will take little winning. Given her raw ability, I’d expect her to be competitive, and when she realises she doesn’t have better horses snapping at her heels, she might just relax and let herself run to her potential. That’s what happened at Nottingham, when she ran out a six-length winner, and she clearly has the ability to blow this race wide open.

    Regards,

    Rory

  8. Hi Josh – “Harry’s Historical Fact of the week”. I have chosen the Scilly Isles Chase this week
    The Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase is a Grade 1 National Hunt steeplechase, which is open to horses aged five years or older. It is run at Sandown Park over a distance of around two miles and four furlongs and during its running there are 17 fences to be jumped. The race is for novice chasers. Prior to 1988 the distance of the race was 2 miles

    It would be easy to confuse the title of the race as being named after the islands off the Cornish coast containing England’s most southerly point. Instead, the race is probably the only sporting event named after a roundabout, namely one situated between the nearby towns of Esher and Kingston. Perhaps fittingly given Sandown Park’s own quirks such as the Railway and Pond fences, the Scilly Isles is a double roundabout that is notoriously tricky to navigate.

    The race was first run in 1964 and won by Buona Notte trained by Bob Turnell who trained the winner 3 times, 1967 (Bowgeeno) and 1980 (Beacon Light) being the others

    In 1970 a six-year-old named Royal Relief returned the winner. Two years later he was a Champion Chaser and another two years afterwards, he repeated the trick. Until the feats of Moscow Flyer and Sprinter Sacre, he was the last horse to regain the Champion Chase

    Nicky Henderson is the trainer with the most victories in the race than anyone else (an incredible six). First of those was First Bout, scoring under Steve Smith Eccles in 1987 the year before a half mile was added to the distance. Banjo became the youngest winner when driven to success by Adrian Maguire in 1995. The nineties provided a number of fan favourites as both the hardy Young Hustler and flashy grey Senor El Betrutti took the trophy. Paul Nicholls had great success in the late noughties as he claimed four successive victories between 2006 & 2009
    The greatest winner of the race can surely only go to one horse. Best Mate, then a green and inexperienced first-season chaser, took the 2001 running. In the proceeding three years, he would win every Cheltenham Gold Cup, the first to win three since Arkle and ensuring racing immortality for himself and trainer Henrietta Knight.

    Best Mate is this weeks choice for the re-run. Simon Holt says “it’s a good horse this,” he wasn’t wrong Enjoy!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOFFJdWRCoQ

    1. Ah I do enjoy reading these Harry, thanks for taking the time to post.
      The youtube link didn’t work, i’ve replaced it with one above which I hope is the correct race!
      Is the stuff about the name of the race true??! I have learnt something today!
      Brilliant, keep it up,
      Josh

  9. Thank Harry for the piece above. I was a follower of Bob Turnell in the 60’s and made quite a bit with his winnners. Remember Bowgeeno well, along with my Favourites Rondetto, Bueno Notte and Salomon Spray with others. Great times.

  10. AW T/T

    12.35 L Phuket Power…T Dascombe Hcp…2/1
    1.10 L Reflector…T Dascombe Hcp…7/1

    Jan figures to follow.

    Mike

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.