From my members’ ‘Micro Monday’ post… a trainer to follow in February? 

February Trainer

Paul Nicholls

• February
• National Hunt
• Horse Runs Prev 90 days: 1 only
• 2015>

109 bets / 37 wins / 49p / 34% sr / +54 SP / +79 BFSP / AE 1.39

• • 8/1< SP best: 90 bets / 36 wins/ 48p / 40% sr / +47 SP / +58 BFSP
  • 17/2 + SP: 1/19,1p, +21 BFSP (Brio Conti last Feb, 25/1)
  • PU LTO: 5/13,6p, +55

A small name to follow in February! It’s well known that Nicholls gives his horses flu jabs at the end of December/early January, which can see a dip in performance/fewer runners. In the last 30 days they’ve been going ok… 9/40, 15p… 1/12 in handicaps. Having dived into the stats it does appear that lightly raced horses this season (just 1 run in previous 90 days) are the place to focus. (from a ‘systematic’ perspective) February really does stand out with this angle, and with the flu jab regime it logically makes sense. We shall see how they do this year but it should be a good ‘way in’ to finding bets and with any luck will turn another profit systematically. Qualifiers will be posted in my Daily Members’ Posts. 

Josh 

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