Trainer Stats + Sat Big Race Trends

 

In this free stats post there are some pointers for this weekend’s racing and then some trainer stats for Sandy Thomson you may wish to note down >>> 

The following stats/trends/trainer pointers are taken from this week’s Members’ ‘Trends Thursday’ post, which looks ahead to at least one big Saturday handicap, given you plenty of time to ponder. This week there are a couple of races from Doncaster and Cheltenham. There are not too many race trends this week but the trainer records are always useful when trying to solve the puzzle, for those of you who like using information to help find your own winners >>>

Saturday Big Race Trends

Cheltenham

1.50 – 2m4.5f G3 Handicap Chase

15/178, 47p

15/15 sent off 14/1 or shorter SP (16/1+ : 0/56, 10p)

11/15 placed LTO (Last-Time-Out) (11/80, 26p)

11/15 WON or 2nd LTO (11/63, 20p, +30)

6/15 Ran at Chelt 2 Day Dec Meeting or Newbury Hennessy Meeting (6/30, 13p)

Track LTO

Chelt: 4/65, 23p
Newb: 4/11, 5p
Ascot: 2/20,3p
X1: Exeter/ Sandown/ Aint/ Kemp / Weth
Chep: 0/11,1p

Trainers (22 renewals)

P Hobbs: 3/15, 5p
N Williams: 2/3,2p
R Buckler: 2/4,2p
X1: D Pipe/ P Webber/ D Bridgewater/ A King/ H Daly/ M Keighley/ T Walsh/ NTD/ P Nicholls/ V Williams/ N Henderson /
T Tizzard: 0/7, 0p

*

Doncaster

3.15 : Skybet Chase

15/211, 47p

14/15 had won over 2m7f+ (had not: 1/61, 14p)

14/15 had 1-6 runs in prev year (7+ : 1/60, 12p)

10/15 had 5 or 6 runs in last year (10/81, 22p)

14/15 ran Left Handed LTO (RH: 1/62, 13p)

12/15 had 0-4 places (inc wins) in hncp chases (5+ : 3/72, 14p)

Other

Age 11+ : 0/28, 2p
Oldest horse in race: 0/23,2p
11-12+ : 0/15,1p
PU LTO: 0/18, 1p

Track LTO

Chelt: 4/31, 9p
Donc: 3/21, 5p
X2: Wetherby / Chepstow
X1: Newbury / Kempton/ Catterick/ Hayd
Aintree: 0/10,0p
Sand: 0/14, 2p
Ascot: 0/12,3p

Trainers (19 renwals)

NTD: 2/10,3p
P Nicholls: 2/17, 6p
A King: 2/8, 2p
X1: D Pipe/ Sue Smith/ K Bailey/ M Hammond/ A C Whillans/ P Hobbs
N Henderson: 0/11, 4p , V Williams 0/13,3p

***

 

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Below you can find some trainer pointers for Sandy Thomson, taken from a recent ‘Micro Monday’ posts in my members’ club. If you like your trainer stats/angles/pointers they may be worth keeping an eye on, for the rest of the season and into next…

Sandy Thomson

Last Monday I took an in-depth look at his yard/stats, and he’s fired in a few winners since. In fact from the 6th Jan to today he’s 5/16, 11p (inc wins), so certainly a yard in form. Peaking at this time of year also appears to be a habit. Whilst there are only 10 days left of Jan, the following stat may be worth tracking into next season…

  • Handicap Chase/Handicap Novice Chase
  • October/ November/ December / January
  • Any odds

95 bets / 26 wins / 47p / 27% sr / +62 SP / +85 BFSP / AE 1.37

 

Pace Analysis

Using the excellent Geegeez Gold and their Query tool, this analysis looks at the running style of Sandy Thomson’s Chasers over the last 5 years, as of 13th Jan 2020.

Sandy would appear to understand the importance of racing chasers ‘up in the van’ when you expect them to run their race/go close.

His handicap chasers that have raced prominently or led >>>

119 bets / 23 wins / 50p / 19% sr / +56 SP

Compare that to those who race mid division or are held up >>>

71 bets / 8 wins / 20p / 11% sr / -40 SP

Another demonstration, if it’s needed, of the benefits of racing a chaser ‘up there’ if they have the ability / temperament to do so.

Hopefully that information may point you to a few winners moving forward,

Happy Punting,
Josh

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

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