Micro Monday: 20/01/20

A look at Olly Murphy…

 

Below you can find some pointers for the Olly Murphy yard who’ve hit a rich vein of form in recent days. If you wish to print off the pointers and keep them handy there’s a link below… 

Download HERE>>>

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From his website….

A bit about Olly >>> 

“From an early age Olly’s future lay in the racing industry. Originally Olly’s ambitions were in the saddle. He attended Pony Club, hunted and led his Mum’s string, before riding in point-to-points and progressing to riding as an amateur under rules. He rode 30 winners before he inevitably outgrew his breeches!

Once Olly had decided he wanted to a train, he spent a year with Alan King. He then made the move to Ireland, joining Gordon Elliott as Assistant Trainer. Olly spent four seasons with Gordon, tasting success at the highest level. During Olly’s time, Gordon won several Grade 1’s, numerous Festival winners and was all topped off by Don Cossack winning the 2016 Gold Cup.

In 2017, the time came for Olly to take up the reins himself. Two years into his training career, Olly has trained 170 winners and won over £1.3 million in prize money. Not a bad start so far!”

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Olly Murphy

2017 (from when he started training) –

All: 1089 bets / 197 wins / 423 places (inc wins) / 18% sr / -265 SP / -120 BFSP / AE 0.82

 

Odds

16/1 – 33/1 : 132 bets / 4 wins / 20p / 3% sr / -34 SP / +30 BFSP / AE 0.69

40/1+ SP: 0/57, 1p

 

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Angle 1

  • Aged 5+
  • Horse Runs Career: 0
  • 25/1 or shorter SP

 

41 bets / 15 wins / 24p / 37% sr / +43 SP / +61 BFSP / AE 1.47

 

Angle 2

  • Aged 5+
  • 1+ career run (under rules)
  • 0 runs in national hunt race type (NHF/hurdle/chase)
  • NOT Novice Hurdles
  • 25/1 or shorter SP

 

41 bets / 12 wins / 19p / 29% sr / +38 SP / +59 BFSP / AE 1.26

 

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Handicap Pointers

Odds

The market may be some indication as to the chances of Olly Murphy’s handicappers as not many ‘biggies’ go in….

12/1 > 16/1 SP: 1/57, 6p, -40 SP

18/1+ SP : 0/67, 5p

That’s 1/124, 11p for those sent off 12/1 or bigger SP.

 

For now pointers will focus on those sent off 11/1< SP

 

Hurdles

Handicap Hurdle Debut

  • 43 bets / 9 wins / 17p / 21% sr / +12 SP / +21 BFSP / AE 1.04

 

Age: 7

  • 42 bets / 12 wins / 19p / 29% sr / +24 SP/ +32 BFSP / AE 1.27

 

Chases

Age: 5 or 6

  • 24 bets / 9 wins / 13p / 38% sr / +17 SP / +21 BFSP / AE 1.4

 

Chase Runs: 0, 1 or 2

  • 24 bets / 10 wins / 13p / 42% sr / +25 SP / +30 BFSP / AE 1.49

 

Handicap Chase Debut  (inc novice hncps)

  • 13 bets / 5 wins / 7p / 38% sr / +23 SP / +28 BFSP / AE 1.64

 

Finishing Position Last Time Out: Did Not Complete

  • 14 bets / 6 wins / 7p / 43% sr / +10 SP / +13 BFSP /AE 1.35

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That’s all for this week’s Micro Monday, 

Josh 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

2 Responses

  1. Hi Josh, Another very good piece of work, many thanks for this. Ive been following Mrs Smith for about the last month now and have made very good profits mostly based on your monday article . Any more of these would be most welcome, particularly on those trainers that have been out of form recently and whose horses maybe well hcapped now. Seamus Mullins, James Ewart are 2 that spring to mind. Cheers

    1. Hi James,

      No problem… yep sometimes the most simplest idea can be best… Sue Smith / Handicaps / Jan/Feb – certainly as a basis – and so far so good – that angle logically worked well this season, or has so far – in that she was so out of form before Xmas – and it was clear they were running many of them into fitness/yard wasn’t sparking – combine that with fact her stats suggested they were coming into form, and a perfect mix.
      Same for Sandy to an extent.

      I’m always happy to take ideas for these posts and i’ll jot those two down – I think both may have been under a virus cloud and off the top of my head their horses can usually thrive when it’s a bog. I know Seamus had a nice winner at Plumpton yesterday and James E has had a few start to go in.
      I’ll also try and find one more ‘Feb’ trainer to go alongside Sue, and then from Feb a lot of the trainer research will prob be focused on the Festival etc.

      Josh

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