Micro Monday: 13/01/20

A look at Sandy Thomson >>>

 

Micro Monday

As is often the case with ‘Micro Monday’ I’m inspired to look at a trainer or jockey after the previous week’s racing, when something has caught my eye…

The win of Aloomomo at Kelso on Sunday was a further demonstration of the skill of Sandy Thomson – this horse had lost his way and had serious injuries – credit to his owner who revealed that he broke his shoulder at Cheltenham and was advised to euthanise him. They ignored this official advice and got him back to good health. He then had ‘a leg’ (tendon injury) which required plenty of patience. At Doncaster he returned after 602 days off and ran well over hurdles, plugging on/going forward which is always a positive especially with one off a long break. Given he once hit a rating of 140 he was entitled to decimate a mark of 110 if ever getting back to anywhere near his best back over fences, on what was only his 11th chase start and 18th career start. 

The yard are in great form at the moment, in the last 30 days… 

26 bets / 7 wins / 14p / +37 SP 

In recent weeks Ryan Mania has also returned to race riding and he appears to be de facto stable jockey for the yard -this consistency of jockey should help improve results in time also. He’s hit the ground running and is one to keep an eye on ‘up north’. 

With that in mind, let’s take a look, as always much of the thrust is on the Chasers.

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You can find a report of the following, so that you can print it off/keep it handy>>> READ HERE>>>

 

A M (Sandy) Thomson

2015>

All: 531 bets / 72 wins / 180p / 14% win SR / -32 SP / +180 BFSP / AE 0.88

(BFSP figure helped by a 216/1 winner)

 

Odds

Looking at all runners/all races in the period…

18/1 or bigger SP

  • 119 bets / 4 wins / 23p / +29 SP / +202 BFSP / AE 0.95
  • Those four wins were equally split between Novice hurdles and Handicap Chases
    • 60 bets / 4 wins / 11p / +88 SP / +261 BFSP / AE 1.96

 

11/4 or shorter SP

  • 92 bets / 37 wins / 64p / 40% sr / +14 SP / +17 BFSP / AE 1.09
  • Handicap Chase/Handicap Novice Chase
    • 40 bets / 17 wins / 27p / 43% sr / +9 SP / +10 BFSP / AE 1.21
  • 16.5f or shorter: 27 bets / 14 wins / 20p / 52% sr / +15 SP / +17 BFSP / AE 1.43

 

Ryan Mania

28th October 2019 > (all rides)

39 bets / 9 wins / 14p / 23% sr / +36 SP / +53 BFSP / AE 1.66

 

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Handicap Chase / Handicap Novice Chase

196 bets / 31 wins / 70p / 16% sr / +10 SP / +58 BFSP / AE 0.93

 

Horse Runs 90 Days: 0 or 1

106 bets / 21 wins / 39p / 20% sr / +65 SP / +110 BFSP / AE 1.17

 

Days Since Run: 151-300 days

30 bets / 8 wins / 13p / 27% sr / +45 SP / +57 BFSP / AE 1.83

 

Runs this Season: One only

35 bets / 10 wins / 16p / 28% sr / +49 SP / +82 BFSP / AE 1.7

 

Distance Move: DOWN in distance from last run

85 bets / 19 wins / 36p / 22% sr / +49 SP / +84 BFSP / AE 1.28

 

Time of Year: October/ November/ December / January

95 bets / 26 wins / 47p / 27% sr / +62 SP / +85 BFSP / AE 1.37

 

Pace Analysis

Using the Geegeez Query tool as always, this analysis looks at the running style of Sandy Thomson’s Chasers over the last 5 years, as of 13th Jan 2020.

Sandy would appear to understand the importance of racing chasers ‘up in the van’ when you expect them to run their race/go close.

His handicap chasers that have raced prominently or led >>>

119 bets / 23 wins / 50p / 19% sr / +56 SP

Compare that to those who race mid division or are held up >>>

71 bets / 8 wins / 20p / 11% sr / -40 SP

Another demonstration, if it’s needed, of the benefits of racing a chaser ‘up there’ if they have the ability / temperament  to do so.

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

3 Responses

    1. My pleasure. Glad you enjoy flicking through. And I enjoy sticking my head into HRB for a couple of hours on a Monday. It’s a good routine. Josh

  1. A horse to watch from the Thomson stable over fences is Saint Leo. He won 5 times in France and is well related. He wants soft ground. He has been backed on a couple of his runs but has not covered himself in glory. Off his current mark and on soft ground he could go in at a price.

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