Members Daily Post: 17/12/19 (complete)

Section 2 (complete), test zone

1.My Tips

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

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1.My Tips

Daily  Tips Main (running total below) (Test: 7/57,22p,+9.3) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 6/99,27p, -45.8,)

Daily Chase Tips: Main(2019: 23/157, 47p +20.8)

(handicap chases, 2m7f+, C4+)

None, no races of choice again.

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Best of The Stats

None today… explanation below in section 4…

 

 

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

JUMPS

Catterick

12.25 – Armattiekan (micro class) G1 12/1 S1 UP

2.55 – Maxed Out King (HcCh) w1 ES+ H1 I3 G3 9/4 S3A# S4 3rd 

 

Fakenham……..None

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TTP Chase Micros 

2.55 Catt – Maxed Out King H1 I3 G3 9/4 3rd

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Please Read: All information regarding the members club and how to engage in the content, inc Videos. Inc contact info, research articles and much more can be found HERE>>>

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Chase Angles 2019/20

LTO Winners Starting Point (12/1<) 

1.40 Fake – Kilbrew Boy 9/4 UP

 

Jockey Angles 2019/20 

1.40 Fake- Nobel Leader (25/1<) 10/1 UP

 

Chase Eye-Catchers 2019/20

2.40 Fake – Agent Westy 7/2 WON 4/1 

 

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

NEW Micro Monday Post HERE>>>

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‘NEW’ – Best of The Stats….

To help compliment the ‘main tips’ i’m going to try again to do a ‘best of the stats’ picks (jumps only), using Section 2 and Test Zone quals – and i’m going to stick with it for the jumps for foreseeable future – this won’t be at the expense of the main tips nor Festivals but I’m conscious my focus just on 2m7f+ chases can lead to some quiet periods during the week – the quality of weekday jumps racing and field sizes, is a growing concern more generally – esp when I think we have ‘perfect’ winter ground in most places. Im not sure what’s going on. In any case I don’t use the stats content on here as best I could and now i’ve done the ‘ratings research’ etc (can be found in Welcome Post link near bottom) and have better ideas on ‘shortlisting’ and have refreshed the Test zone,  I should give this idea a proper go. 

I’m very conscious not to ‘burn out’ on the analytical front which I think happened at the back end of last year – as race analysis intensity can have a neg mental impact (on top of running the blog how I want etc), even more so when on a losing run – actually I think one of the main reasons ‘tipsters’ can struggle, outside of natural variance/bad luck, is what goes on between the ears. 

The idea is for it to be focussed and to compliment the rest of the content – we shall see if it works ‘tipping’ wise but if nothing else the ‘write ups’ may be informative. I’ve tried ‘tipping’ in handicap chases shorter than 2m7f but again that’s also intense, and I really should be getting more out of my own stats content, or trying to. Time will tell if it works. 

I don’t think there’s been enough ‘action’ at times on here, and I’ve tried various things to solve that in the past but I’m best relying on myself and trying again. I need to work harder on that front as it all feels a bit mediocre at the moment. I won’t go forcing bets, and ‘less is more’ imo, but hopefully it adds more of interest/worth. And the main focus will be on the 2m7f+ chase tips (+ ‘The Festival’ as always, and Aintree/Punch/Galway) 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

7 Responses

  1. Just to say I think you’re plan is a good one josh. Whilst I agree less is more it feels pretty flat in here at the moment. I have to say I enjoy george and Mark’s interaction and knowledge pulling in the free section.
    I also appreciate the regular contributions of Colin, Stewart and Tim etc too!

    1. I do think the racing at this time of year does become a bit flat also, the number of times I have bemoaned the standard of racing at this time of year, but, the weekends do give us something to focus on, therefore you get feast and famine time. Not ideal, but, gives the grey matter more time to recuperate.

  2. For me, it’s easier to find winners during the week on NH turf. Reason being the number of highly competitive races at the weekend. Frequently lose at the weekend and win it back during the dire midweek care you complain about 😉

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