Members Daily Post: 05/12/19 (complete)

write up,Tipsx2, Section 2 (x1), test zone, Sat pointers

1.My Tips

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

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1.My Tips

Daily  Tips Main (running total below) (Test: 7/57,22p,+9.3) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 6/99,27p, -45.8,)

Daily Chase Tips: Main(2019: 22/142, 45p +3o.8)

(handicap chases, 2m7f+, C4+)

1.30 Wincnton

#1 – MARBLE MOON – 1 point win – 22/1 (WH/BV) 20/1 (bet365/BetfS/PP) UP

#2 – COOPERS SQUARE  – 1 point win – 10/1 (bet365) 9/1 (gen) UP,

woeful, i’ll reflect on that briefly tomorrow. 

as of 08.25, that’s all for today, write up at bottom of post…

 

2.Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

None... odd given the no. of jumps meetings but no TTP quals on Thursday

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TTP Chase Micros

2.40 Winc – Lizzie Langton (any) 11/4

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Please Read: All information regarding the members club and how to engage in the content, inc Videos. Inc contact info, research articles and much more can be found HERE>>>

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3.Micro System Test Zone

December Pointer

Trainers

12.00 MR – Zoffee 6/4

 

Chase Angles 2019/20

Trainers

1.30 Winc – Copperhead 5/1 WON 6/1 

3.15 Winc –  / Duc Kauto 15/8

 

Jockey Angles 2019/20

1.20 Leic – Leskinfere (25/1<) 16/1

 

Chase Eye-Catchers 2019/20

1.30 Winc – Cesar Et Rosalie 10/1 UP

 

4.General messages/updates/new reports etc

NEW….

I’ll post the ‘Trends Thursdays’ in the morning, but you can also find Saturday’s big race pointers HERE>>>

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Results… of some interest…

[poll id=”29″]

 

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1.30 Write Up

Marble Moon..

I’m scratching my head as to why he’s around 20s here as he relishes good ground, is in form, races prominently, Wedge is back on, trainer/jockey do well here, and I think the track will suit. I also think this extra 1.5f or so could bring out more. He tries, he’s tough, he likes winning. He ran well LTO given he doesn’t like soft ground and the jockey didn’t get after him for an age. He had the right two horses in front in conditions, both progressive enough. His defeat of Beau D B the run before was solid also and he did that a shade cosily off 4lb lower. The big field/nature of this race is a question, but more an unknown. And he’s 20s. That’s just a silly price to my eyes.

My original thinking was to back him EW, as I think he’s solid, but that isn’t me, and i’d rather throw a dart at another one in a race like this…

Coopers Square…

He looks open to further progress this year – again he tries, he stays, he’s very consistent and likes winning – and there could be more to come. He does need to step forward but that was a career best RPR LTO and PP is a 120s horse in such conditions, despite his age. He won that decent enough race at Cheltenham and CS did well to chase him home here in ground he wouldn’t have liked, on his first run back. He should strip fitter here. He races prominently, generally jumps well, relishes good and will stay. 9s looked a shade overpriced.

Elsewhere…

El Presente – well we could all be chasing his tail after the last and he is the correct fav – in part that influenced me thinking about EW for MM but he isn’t bombproof. He’s unexposed and there will be more to come, but at the same time he’s inexperienced on his second chase start – that was his first run back in over 500+ days, he could ‘bounce’, and he is up 5f or so in trip. He’s always shaped like a stayer but you do have to prove it. And i’m not convinced this track will be ideal. But he did travel well LTO and jumped very well, running on at the end in a decent race. He’s obvious but I didn’t think he was bombproof.

I didn’t like Copperhead at the prices – he looks around right. He’s plenty to prove also, including stamina – and he looks a big unit of a horse- i’m not sure around here on good will be ideal for him. In any case he needs to step forward from LTO and his jumping needs to sharpen up.

If those two fail it does have an open enough feel about it – well it does anyway – but the others have far more questions to my eyes.

The likes of Air Navigator are interesting – but he’s stamina to prove and he cut out too quickly LTO for my liking – he went from cruising to nothing – which in the context of having had a wind op, makes me cautious. I’d want to see more before backing but this trip may suit, and maybe he just badly needed it. His jumping can be scratchy also.

Above Board – interesting in that that could be more to come – I didn’t like the overall level of his form and more the fact that he can be ridden cold, and i’m trying to avoid those – albeit they do obviously win – he’s looking handicapped to go in and I can see the case to a point, and they may have him closer to the pace. But there wasn’t quite enough for me.

I could  go through them all but I won’t – I had reasons for leaving the rest and we shall see if I was right. I’ll stare long and hard if another biggie takes this, which they may.

PACE.. both mine should be up there in ‘no excuses’ positions, and hopefully one of them can be leading over the last, pulling away, job done 🙂

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

15 Responses

  1. AW T/T

    2 runners for Thursday.

    4.35 K Iron Heart… A Balding Class…11/2 to 11/1 365 /bf.
    8.00 S Sylviacliffs…K Burke Class…25/1 b365 22 gen

    Mike

  2. Karl Burke at Southwell micro
    5.25 Milagre Da Vida 10/3
    6.00 Angel Lane 15/2
    6.30 Astro Jakk 10/3
    8.00 Silviacliffs 22/1 (WH/Betway 4 places)

  3. My selections for today.

    MR
    12.00 Dawn Treader…66/1 ew
    Glorious Dane…20/1 ew
    12.30 Cronins Hill…10/1 to 16/1 Lad and Coral
    1.05 Little Rory Mac…7/4
    1.40 Two Hoots…8/1

    Mike

  4. TIP TOP
    1.40 M/R Dallas Cowboy 5/2
    2.15 M/R Tanrudy 9/2
    7.00 Southwell Honey GG 4/1
    7.30 Southwell Tynecastle Park 3/1
    Colin

  5. COLINS BETS
    6.45 Kempton Morning Shadow 9/2
    7.00 Southwell Honey GG 4/1
    8.00 Southwell Break The Silence 11/4
    Colin

  6. Poor day today with an awful lot of shorties on my list that have no chance of making the minimum. Most of these won’t make the cut, but here’s today’s jumps list….. 1.40, 1.55, 2.15, 2.40, 3.05, . AW races to follow.

    Back at 1.20

      1. 2.15 is out for similar reasons. TBH it’s a piss poor race full of dodgy characters when you look at it closely.

        Back at 2.20

          1. No bet for the 6.00, Close call with Tagur going down by a neck at 16.9 BFSP earlier at Southwell, but there’s always tomorrow.

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