Members Daily Post: 10/09/19 (complete:08.34)

Test tip x1, Section 1 (complete),

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

3.Nick’s Tips

4.Micro System Test Zone

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

JUMPS

Worcester

3.10 – New Millenium (all Hc’s)    w1   ES+ H3 3/1 S3A WON 6/1 

4.45 – Shanksforamillion (HcH) H3 5/1

 

Kelso

5.00 – Arizona Bound (m -class) 11/1

5.35 –

One Night In Milan (m +class)    w1 H3 9/4

Ryedale Racer (m’s dist and runs) 7/1

7.10 – Touchedbyanangel (m -class) G1 10/1 S1

 

FLAT

Catterick

3.00 – Menin Gate (micro’s going and age) I1 G3 15/2 S6 UP

4.00 – Beechwood Izzy (3yo+) G3 14/1 

4.35 –

Indian Pursuit (3yo+,m’s dist and class) I3 7/2 

Oriental Splendour (m age) 20/1

5.10 – Lydiate Lady (all Hc’s) 8/1

 

Leicester……..None

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2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

Daily Chase Tips: Main (2019: 19/91, 32p +51.8) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 6/99,27p, -45.8,)

Daily Chase Tips: Main 

(handicap chases, 2m7f+, C4+)

None.

 

Daily Chase Tips: Test (14/07/19>: 2/14,7p, +3.3)

(handicap chases, 16-22f, C4+) 

2.10 Worc – Carolines Charm – 1 point win – 15/2 (bet365/WH/BV)  3rd 16/1…. ran well, better than his SP anyway… it was exciting to a point turning in. To me he ran as if he didnt have the gears late on, and I suspect they’ll step him back up in trip, and he could stay 3m+ potentially. He travelled and jumped well again. 

as of 08.25, write up…

I’m slightly puzzled as to why this fit, in form, LTO winning chaser is such a big price, relatively, in this race. He was running over fences for the first time LTO and that, along with the yard being in better form, and the removal of the TT, appears to have transformed him. He was beating a 143 rated horse at Fontwell who arrived in form and i’m not sure it was a fluke as such. The odds on fav was able to dictate there and had everything go his way, and still got beaten. Carolines Charm jumped superbly and he is in the ‘could be anything’ category. Maybe it was just one of those strange results and this mark will over-estimate him, but his RPR of 114 would indicate it’s about right, esp with the promise of more to come. 

Pipes is a worthy fav I think but isn’t value to my eyes, and the selection has fewer questions than the rest. I thought he should be a few points shorter here, so we shall see. He showed some speed LTO so I hope the drop in trip, esp around here, wont be a problem, and with experience under his belt Sam may track the pace, which could come from Regulation and Trumps Benefit. 

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3.Nick’s Tips

(2018: +532.33 ; 2019 running total End AUG -16.535 BOG / -18.035 Advised; Aug 1/26,10p, -7.93 adv/bog)

None.

 

4.Micro System Test Zone

None.

 

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

7 Responses

    1. My personal form is a bit scratchy to say the least right now, but I’ve backed B Fifty Two (4.00) and Rose Marmara (4.35) there today.

      Usual “buyer beware” caveat applies 😉

  1. COLINS BETS
    Catterick
    3.00 Remember Rocky BOG 9/1
    3.00 Flower Power BOG 3/1
    4.00 B Fifty Two BOG 10/3
    4.35 Rose Marmara BOG 3/1
    ORIGINAL
    Catterick
    1.55 Kendred Soul BOG 7/1
    3.00 Flower Power BOG 3/1
    4.00 B Fifty Two BOG 10/3
    4.35 Rose Marmara BOG 3/1
    6.10 Kelso My Renaissance BOG 2/1
    Colin

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