Trends Thursday

A look ahead to Sat, from Ascot/Haydock

A look ahead to Saturday and the two big handicaps from Ascot and Haydock..

You can read an online PDF of the stats HERE>>>

Repeated below…

As always these stats/trends are a starting point/guide. This week’s races don’t look as robust as some on the trends front, however some useful pointers… and the ‘trainer stats’ are always useful, and any runners from those trainer’s who’ve previously won the race are always worth close attention, and are a decent ‘way in’…

 

RTP Saturday Big Race Trends

 

2.45 Ascot: 7f Handicap

Only 8 renewals to date… 8/138, 31p

 

8/8 yet to RUN above group 3 (had run G1/2: 0/36, 4p)

8/8 highest class win was class 2 or 3 (0/36, 6p outside this)

8/8 carried 8-9 or more (8-8<: 0/25,1p)

8/8 had 1+ handicap wins (0: 0/23,1)

8/8 had 3+ places (inc wins) in handicaps (0-2: 0/34, 6p)

8/8 sent off 16/1< SP on last start (bigger: 0/33,5p)

8/8 ran in 3yo+ race LTO: (0/20,2p did not)

7/8 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (14/1+ : 1/76,7p)

7/8 had 1-2 wins this season (had not: 1/73, 12p)

6/8 aged 4 or 5 (6/65, 21p) (not: 2/73, 10p)

 

Other

  • Yet to RUN over 8f+ : 0/27, 7p
  • Yet to WIN over 7f+ : 0/20,3p
  • 11 or fewer career runs: 0/23,5p
  • 0 runs at Ascot: 0/15,3p
  • 4/22 runners, 6p, won by 3/5lb claimers
  • Ran non-hncp LTO: 0/15,1p
  • Rn 6-10 days ago: 0/18,2p

Track LTO

  • Newmarket (July): 3/16, 7p
  • Ascot: 2/21, 7p
  • X1: Goodwood / York/ Ripon

Trainers

  • X1: J Gosden / D OMeara / H Morrison / E Vaughan / D Elsworth / J Gallagher / C Appleby
  • M Johnston: 0/10,0p

 

 

 

3.35 Haydock: 1m6f Handicap

15/222, 53p

 

15/15 sent off 20/1 or shorter SP (22/1+ : 0/63, 4p)

15/15 had 1-8 places (inc wins) in handicaps (did not: 0/67, 9p)

14/15 had same official rating as LTO or higher (lower: 1/87,15p)

14/15 ran over 1m6f or shorter LTO (further: 1/72, 10p)

12/15 placed on last start (12/85, 28p, +51)

12/15 Top 4 LTO (5th> : 3/116, 19p)

Other

  • Aged 3: 4/16 runners, 8p
  • Stall 15+ : 0/39, 5p
  • Carried 9-10+ : 0/19,4p
  • Dropping in class: 0/30, 5p
  • 0 handicap wins: 0/26,3p
  • Ran 46+ days ago: 0/31, 7p

Track LTO

  • York: 5/80, 21p
  • Hamilton: 2/7, 2p
  • X1: Ripon/Leic/Notts/Newbury/Hayd/Goodw/Myss/Newm (J)
  • Chester: 0/22,3p

Trainers (15 years)

  • M Johnston: 4/29, 9p
  • I Jardine: 2/4,2p
  • J Gosden: 2/5,5p
  • X1: I Williams/ J Fanshawe / D Elsworth / P Kirby / Sir M Stoute / K Burke
  • R Fahey: 0/13,0p

 

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