Members Daily Post: 24/08/19 (complete: 09.21)

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

3.Nick’s Tips

4.Micro System Test Zone

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

FLAT

Goodwood

3.15 – Pattie (3yo+) w1 G3 9/1 

York

3.40 –

Raheen House (4yo+) I3 G3 7/1 

Cleonte (all Hc’s) w2 33/1 

4.45 – Johnny Drama (all Hc’s) 8/1 

Redcar

7.00 –

Shrewd (all Hc’s,3yo+) G1 50/1 S6 

Rashdan (all Hc’s,3yo+) 12/1 

7.30 – Yes You (all Hc’s,3yo+) H3 9/1 

8.00 – Grimsdyke (micro class) w2 H1 I1 G1 10/3 S1 S4 

Windsor

5.50 –

Tin Hat (3yo+,m dist) w2 H3 5/1 

Iconic Knight (all Hc’s) ES+ I1 6/1 S3A S6 

Silca Princess (m going) G3 16/1 

7.50 –

Jack D’Or (all Hc’s) ES+ H3  8/1 S3A

Noble Fox (m going) H3 G3 6/1 

Newmarket…….None

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JUMPS

Cartmel

2.50 –

Bannixtown Glory (m dist) w1 H3 I3 5/2 

Oksana (all Hc’s) w2 H3 I3 13/2 

4.00 – Trumps Benefit (all Hc’s) ES+  9/1 S3A

4.35 – Forever My Friend (all Hc’s) ES+ 8/1 S3A

5.10 – Candy Burg (all Hc’s,HcH) ES+ 11/2 S3A

2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

Daily Chase Tips: Main (2019: 18/86, 30p +45.8) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 6/99,27p, -45.8,)

Daily Chase Tips: Main 

(handicap chases, 2m7f+, C4+)

4.35 Cartmel – Day Of Roses- 1 point win – 7/2 (bet365) 10/3 (gen)

that’s all for today from me, as of 08.31, write up…

An eye-catcher 5 days ago I eventually concluded 10/3 was fair and he should be fav in this line up. I thought this was between the top three in the market but that run at Bangor is the best recent form in this, he’s fewer miles on the clock than the other two, and I think the track will help, as will this trip. He will be held up but provided he jumps as well as he can there’s a long long run in to get rolling. If this were proper soft I may have left it but the sun is shining and it’s drying all the time. He’s made a quick return before after a similar break and I don’t think that will be a problem. Brian Hughes rides this track very well and I thought he could just outclass these, relatively. It was borderline, but hopefully I’ve got it right. I have no idea whether Henry Brooke got to pick or not in truth, as he’s ridden both, so I decided not to over-think that!

Daily Chase Tips: Test (14/07/19>: 2/9,5p, +8.3)

(handicap chases, 16-22f, C4+) 

None.

3.Nick’s Tips

(2018: +532.33 ; 2019 running total End JULY -8.605 BOG / -10.105 Advised; May -8.22/-8.97, June -31.04 / -31.79, July: 7/44, 15 w|p, +19.495 advised/bog)

7.00 Redcar – Queens Sargent – 1 point EW – 14/1 (gen)

7.30 Redcar – Yes You – 1 point EW – 9/1 (lad/coral) 8/1 (gen)

that’s all from Nick today, as of 09.21

4.Micro System Test Zone

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

LTO winning trainers

2.50 Cart – River Icon (10/1, guide)

5.10 Cart – Candy Burg (8/1<)

Henry Brooke (25/1<)

4.35 Cart – Nortonthorpelegend

Jockeys/Chasers

4.00 Cart – Mash Potato (9/1< best)

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Chase Eye-Catchers

4.35 Cart – Day of Roses (1st run)

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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YORK: Ebor Pointers: READ HERE>>> 

York Day 4 Starting Points 

Trainers

2.25 – Hamish

3.40 – Raheen House / Dramatic Queen

5.20 – Que Amoro

Jockeys

1.50 – Wissahickon

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Stats/trends for a couple of York handicaps on Sat… HERE>>>

Saturday York Handicaps

Ebor Handicap

Trainers (to have won race/with runners) T

• Ben Vrackie / Weekender /
• True Self / Max Dynamite
• Red Galileo
• Desert Skyline

Stats ‘shortlist’ 

Given that 3 of the top 4 last year carried 9-8+ it could be this race, like many top handicaps given the prize money, is going to the classier weighted horses near the top of the weights.

Looking at my other pointers, ignoring age, points to 13 of the last 15 winners and leaves 10…

Kings Advice / Withhold / Ben Vrackie T / Baghdad / Mustajeer / True Self T/ Prince of Arran / Dramatic Queen / Raymond Tusk / Cleonte 

From that subset those drawn 14+ are 10/57, 20p in the last 15 years, and leaves 5…

Kings Advice / Ben Vrackie / Baghdad / Prince of Arran / Raymond Tusk 

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4.45 York 

Trainers (to have won race/with runners) T

• Forest of Dean
• Johnny Drama
• Furzig / Another Touch / Society Red

Stats ‘shortlist’ 

The 15/15, 13/15 stats leave 13/96, 33p in the last 15 renewals and leave 9…

Rise Hall / Johnny Drama T / Beringer / Furzig T/ Cockalorum / Poets Dawn / Society Red T / Star Archer / Glasses Up

Irish Breds have a fine record in this, and from that list above… Johnny Drama / Cockalorum 

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