I’ve been trawling through various saved systems in my HorseRacebase accounts, updating or looking again at a few of them, inc Phillip Hobbs.
As always with these chase angles, which i’m tracking in the ‘Test Zone’ for you to use as you please, I’m keen for them to be seen as ‘starting points’ to help in any race analysis – including my own. Time will tell whether they work as a systematic portfolio.
So, the ‘rules’ >>>
- All Chases
- Class 1, 2, 3
- Saturdays Only
- Jockeys: B Geraghty / R Johnson
- 14/1< SP (guide, 0/15,2p, 16/1+)
162 bets / 42 wins / 76p / 26% sr / +77 SP / +108 BFSP / AE 1.34
The place % has generally been consistent in recent years, but of course you do need the horses to compete on Saturdays, which are generally the most competitive days racing all week. If he could get back to the heights of 2014>16, that would be great, and the yard did have plenty of health issues in 2018. In any case, a useful ‘way in’ if nothing else, and he clearly knows what to do with a good chaser when he gets one.
The below never comes through the clearest but again, using the excellent Geegeez Gold Query Tool, i’ve run through the above micro angle (or as near as I can get) with their pace scores.
1 – Held Up
2 – Mid Division
4 – Led
You wouldn’t discount a qualifier if they were held up as such, but again, as is becoming more and more obvious, the further forward a chaser’s starting point in/through a race, the better they perform. (certainly in terms of win/place %) Richard Johnson is generally one of the more aggressive chase jockeys out there, so those stats are no great surprise. Again, info to use anyway you please.
I will be pulling these angles together in an online PDF, for ease of reference, and the tables come through clearer.
Next week’s ‘Micro Monday’ is likely to focus on Nigel Twiston-Davies, in prep for ‘Twister Season’ (Sept/Oct) (i’ve borrowed that name from Ben Aitken, he won’t mind 🙂 )
Back next week,