Members Daily Post: 13/08/19 (complete)

Section 1 (complete), updates…

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

3.Nick’s Tips

4.Micro System Test Zone

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

Ffos Las

4.45 – Diocletian (all Hc’s) H1 11/4

5.15 – Greeley (all Hc’s) w1 H1 I1 2/1 S1

 

Nottingham

4.00 – Zapper Class (3yo+,micro’s dist) H3 I3 G1 5/1 S4 

4.30 – Tan (3yo+) I3 14/1 

5.00 –

Deinonychus (m runs) H3 I3 G1 5/2 S4

 

Carlisle

5.45 – Blank Canvas (m age) G3 7/2 

7.15 –

Mac Alley (m TJC and -class) I3 10/1 

Juals Spirit (all Hc’s) 66/1

7.45 – Zoravan (m -class) G1 12/1 S6 

8.15 – Beechwood Jude (m age) w1 H3 G1 7/4 

 

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Please Read: All information regarding the members club and how to engage in the content. Inc contact info, research articles and much more can be found HERE>>>

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2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

Daily Chase Tips: Main (2019: 17/85, 29p +38.8) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 6/99,27p, -45.8,)

None. One more day until some jumps action!

In other news Cheltenham are adding a Mares’ Chase to the Festival from 2021, prob at expense of a handicap I suspect – hmmm. Albeit Team Super now have a long term chase target, if we can get her rating high enough. Fences ‘could’ (or could not) be the making of her. She’s down to run in a hurdle back at Worcester on 21st, so we shall see how that goes. 

 

3.Nick’s Tips

(2018: +532.33 ; 2019 running total End JUNE -8.605 BOG / -10.105 Advised; May -8.22/-8.97, June -31.04 / -31.79, July: 7/44, 15 w|p, +19.495 advises/bog)

None.

Nick’s going to say hello in the comments at some point…

 

4.Micro System Test Zone

None.

 

5.Any general messages/updates etc

Micro Monday…

A new post HERE>>> (and in the Monday Micro tab/it’s permanent home)

A look at Michael Scudamore and his handicap chasers. There’s a video of me poking around in HorseRaceBase (only 14 minutes!!) and a pace profile using Geegeez Query tool. Shock horror, the hold up chasers struggle, to a point.

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The Comments Functionality …

Well apologies for that cock-up! On paper that comments ‘enhancement’ looked good but in reality it felt like unleashing a monster. Thankfully it didn’t cost me anything, but dented creativity pride. The comments feature does need improving but i’ll get my head back together with my techie/web friend. Could be a bespoke solution, but the idea certainly wasn’t to raise barriers/concerns for participation! I do want them to be more interactive (images/gifs etc), fun (in terms of emojis/ ‘likes’ etc), and for you to get email alerts from certain posters etc if you so wish. But that piece of kit wasn’t the solution. So apologies for that, but you have to try the odd thing to progress and sadly this one didn’t come off. Onwards.

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Saturday Trends... looking ahead it looks like the two sprints from Ripon, inc the Great St Wilfred, will be the focus, for those of you who enjoy using that info to help narrow the field. I’d like to think they are worth it for the trainer race records, as those lists have found plenty of winners in recent weeks from memory. Just a case of landing on the right ones, but just focusing on those trainer lists, possibly with Each-Way eyes, may not be a bad approach. 

Anyway, i’ll get any stats/trends posted by Thursday lunch at the latest. 

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Note… there’s no Tracker Tuesday today as there hasn’t been any jumps/chases of note in the last week. There should be one or two for the notebook this time next week.

 

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

14 Responses

  1. Lambourn
    Ed Walker today 10/3 R4 10p backed to 11/10 won and 1 loser.
    Richard Hughes spot on again by not backing his two runners
    Small profit on the day.
    Colin.

  2. COLINS BETS
    8.15 Carlisle Flood Defence BOG 6/1
    ELITE BETS
    8.00 Lingfield Sonnetina BOG 7/1 yesterday 2nd itis again!
    Colin

  3. Lambourn
    Decided to add Willie Muir to my portfollio of trainers i back
    Willie Muir
    4.45 F/L General Zoff BOG 4/1 thinks he has a big, big chance.
    8.00 Lingfield So Claire BOG 15/2 more risky proposition however he always liked So Claire and with main jockey Martin Dwyer in the plate and at the price i will back it.
    Will be back later with update when other trainers put their views up.
    Colin

    1. Hi Colin, have total respect for your judgement and if Mr Muir is good enough for you then it’s good enough for me. As always thankyou for taking the the time and effort to post, it’s always appreciated!!
      Many thanks, Tom.

      1. Thanks for that Tom, had watched him for some time and with Jamie Osbourne on the cold list which he openly admits himself decided to look at Muir for he also has runners on the AW so an all round trainer on the flat.
        Lets hope we can start with a winner today!
        Colin

    2. Sonnetina now a N/R, Colin.
      I have been “tracking” Willie Muir’s comments on the Lambourn site for a short period and on the two occasions when he has been as bullish as he is about General Zoff, both horses have won.

  4. Hi guys. Just thought I would post. Work for the past few months has been mental to the point I have been totally drained and its dawned on me that putting an extra three hours of “work” really wasn’t helping and letting me unwind. Combine that with the fact I am struggling to actually enjoy horse racing at all has made it seem more and more like a chore and given I simply need to relax has meant I haven’t been looking. At the end of the day this is my hobby and it hasn’t really felt like a lot of fun. Combine that with the fact that just about everyone in my portfolio is performing badly has made it a struggle to even put bets on recently. So my lack of bets hasn’t got a massive amount to do with how I have done from my own tips. Obviously if I was flying like last year it would be different. So long story short is I will be back doing this full time at some point but for me to do I need to regain my passion for the sport which may actually mean have a longer break although as everyone knows this game is all about the long term so if I am away for a month or two it shouldn’t make too much of a difference. At the moment I am taking it on a week by week basis.

    1. Nick
      It takes a wise man to know when to take the break. The deluge of low level flat racing exacerbated by constant ground changes hasn’t helped recently either no doubt
      Anyway recharge the batteries and when your raring to go then come back firing as long term devotees will want a match fit Nick on side
      This isn’t intend as a criticism of either you or Josh but the “elevation” to the top of the page must have brought extra pressure as well perhaps an ease your way back in approach might be helpful
      Take Care

      1. Hear Hear Final,

        This was obviously never meant to be Nick’s site and it is just unfortunate that last year’s heroics put him on a pedestal. I am grateful and full of admiration for anyone that posts tips on the site and I think that we are blessed with a great collection of successful “tipsters” on here through the various pages and this helps to shoulder Nick’s burden. There is no point in doing anything in life if it doesn’t bring you fulfilment so I agree that a break is absolutely the best thing and hopefully Nick can find his enjoyment from it again soon.

        In the meantime, thanks again to all the regular contributors on here who make it such a friendly and informative site.

        Cheers

        Ben

      2. Don’t worry, much chat was had between us in private before the elevation haha. We do speak regularly on all things horses and his record the year before in private was decent also. The elevation wasn’t a sudden thing albeit I may have blown the trumpet a bit too loudly. But given my increased focus on jumps etc long term this will work well. The current situation is just one of those things. It will turn at some point and a handful of winners and back in profit etc. When Nick was posting in comments he was aware that there was a large following, that was obvious given comments of joy etc. But part was a test I suppose for him but I think we are confident the elevation hasn’t been the reason for this current mild dilemmas but we are always chatting. And if it’s felt that is an issue we can always revert back etc. Onwards.

    2. Hi,

      I will drop you an email soon for a chat.

      I have said before that it is hard for you guys who are not involved in any form of sports betting full time. When I used to work 50 hours a week and then do the punting stuff 3 hours a day it was very draining. It is hard enough doing it full time but at least you can put the hours in.

      My strengths, in terms of sports, are golf and football. However I do work at the horse racing as there is a daily market there at decent odds that you can profit from. It is hard work as there are so many different facets to it. I do agree with the theory of specialising in types of races etc to narrow it down. However each to their own.
      I do know for certain that if you are not mentally fresh and on the ball when you do the study, you will struggle.

      So, take it easy and I will be in touch. I may even buy you a beer.

  5. NIckM thanks for your post. I quite understand your position and I hope that soon you can recover your momentum. Stupid to carry on when “drained”, your health is more important than anything else. I didn’t get to enjoy all you bumper year but have enjoyed your posts and the winnners that have been there. Get your sttrength up and come back when YOU are ready.

  6. Lambourn
    Charles Hills not put up his views he has runners in the 4.15, 4.45 and 8.00 doubt that he will put anything on the board today.
    Jamie Osbourn his one runner doubts that it will win today.
    Will stick with the two Muir horses today.
    Colin.

    1. Osborne’s wins at 14/1 but you certainly wouldn’t have backed it with any confidence based on what he said!

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